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JINHUI LIQUOR Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603919) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

JINHUI LIQUOR Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603919) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

金輝酒業有限公司, Ltd. (SHSE: 603919) 股票一直在下滑但基本面看起來不錯:未來市場會修正股價嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  05/23 18:36

It is hard to get excited after looking at JINHUI LIQUORLtd's (SHSE:603919) recent performance, when its stock has declined 3.3% over the past week. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. Specifically, we decided to study JINHUI LIQUORLtd's ROE in this article.

近期,JINHUI LIQUORLtd(SHSE:603919)的股票經歷了3.3%的下跌,因此你可能不太會對此感到興奮。但是,如果你仔細觀察,你可能會發現它的關鍵財務指標看起來相當不錯,這意味着在市場通常對長期基本面更具彈性的情況下,該股票可能有潛力在長期內可能會上漲。具體來說,我們在本文中決定研究JINHUI LIQUORLtd的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

對於股東來說,股東回報率(ROE)是一個重要的考慮因素,因爲它告訴股東他們的資本被有效地再投資了多少。換句話說,它是一個衡量公司股東提供的資本回報率的盈利能力比率。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎樣計算ROE?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股東權益報酬率可以使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for JINHUI LIQUORLtd is:

因此,根據上述公式,JINHUI LIQUORLtd的roe爲:

10% = CN¥361m ÷ CN¥3.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

10%=CN¥361m÷CN¥3.5b(截至2024年3月追蹤的最近十二個月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.10 in profit.

“回報”是指公司上一年的收益。另一種思考的方式是,對於每1元人民幣的股權,公司能夠獲得0.10元人民幣的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

ROE與盈利增長有什麼關係?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到ROE衡量公司利潤的效率如何。基於公司選擇再投資或保留多少利潤,我們隨後能夠評估公司未來產生利潤的能力。總的來說,在其他條件相等的情況下,具有高ROE和利潤保留的公司的增長率比沒有這些特徵的公司要高。

JINHUI LIQUORLtd's Earnings Growth And 10% ROE

JINHUI LIQUORLtd的盈利增長和10%的roe。

On the face of it, JINHUI LIQUORLtd's ROE is not much to talk about. Next, when compared to the average industry ROE of 16%, the company's ROE leaves us feeling even less enthusiastic. Although, we can see that JINHUI LIQUORLtd saw a modest net income growth of 6.1% over the past five years. So, the growth in the company's earnings could probably have been caused by other variables. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

從表面上看,JINHUI LIQUORLtd的roe並不值得一提。接下來,與行業平均roe相比,該公司的roe讓我們感覺更不熱情。儘管如此,我們可以看到,在過去的五年中,JINHUI LIQUORLtd的淨利潤增長了6.1%。因此,公司收益的增長可能是由其他變量引起的。例如,公司具有較低的派息比率或正在有效地管理。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that JINHUI LIQUORLtd's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 15% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

其次,與行業的淨利潤增長相比,我們發現JINHUI LIQUORLtd的報告增長在過去幾年中低於行業的15%,這是我們不願意看到的。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603919 Past Earnings Growth May 23rd 2024
SHSE:603919過去的盈利增長。2024年5月23日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is 603919 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

盈利增長是佔股票估值非常重要的因素。對於投資者來說,了解市場是否已經爲公司的預期盈利增長(或下降)定價非常重要。通過這樣做,他們將了解股票是朝着明確的未來還是陷入泥濘的未來。603919是否被公平地估值?有關公司內在價值的信息圖表將一切盡在其中。

Is JINHUI LIQUORLtd Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

JINHUI LIQUORLtd是否有效地利用其保留收益?

JINHUI LIQUORLtd has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 38% (or a retention ratio of 62%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

JINHUI LIQUORLtd具有健康的組合,即適度的三年中位派息比率爲38%(或62%的保留比率)和可觀的盈利增長,如上所述,這意味着公司一直在有效地利用其利潤。

Besides, JINHUI LIQUORLtd has been paying dividends over a period of seven years. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 52% over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for JINHUI LIQUORLtd is speculated to rise to 14% despite the anticipated increase in the payout ratio. There could probably be other factors that could be driving the future growth in the ROE.

此外,JINHUI LIQUORLtd已經連續七年支付股息。這表明公司致力於與股東分享利潤。我們最新的分析師數據顯示,公司未來的派息比率預計將在未來三年內上升到52%。儘管如此,即使派息比例有所增加,JINHUI LIQUORLtd未來的roe預計也會上升到14%。可能有其他因素正在推動roe的未來增長。

Conclusion

結論

In total, it does look like JINHUI LIQUORLtd has some positive aspects to its business. That is, a decent growth in earnings backed by a high rate of reinvestment. However, we do feel that that earnings growth could have been higher if the business were to improve on the low ROE rate. Especially given how the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

總的來說,JINHUI LIQUORLtd的業務看起來還是有一些積極因素的。也就是說,收益增長相當不錯,受到高比例再投資的支持。但是,我們認爲,如果該業務改善roe,則收益增長本應更高。特別是考慮到公司正在再投資其利潤的大部分。儘管如此,根據當前的分析師估計,我們發現該公司的收益預計將增加。要了解更多關於該公司的最新分析師預測,請查看此可視化分析師預測。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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