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Shareholders in Changchun High-Tech Industry (Group) (SZSE:000661) Are in the Red If They Invested Three Years Ago

Shareholders in Changchun High-Tech Industry (Group) (SZSE:000661) Are in the Red If They Invested Three Years Ago

長春高新技術產業(集團)(深交所股票代碼:000661)的股東如果在三年前進行投資,則處於虧損狀態
Simply Wall St ·  05/23 23:05

As an investor, mistakes are inevitable. But really bad investments should be rare. So spare a thought for the long term shareholders of Changchun High-Tech Industry (Group) Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000661); the share price is down a whopping 73% in the last three years. That'd be enough to cause even the strongest minds some disquiet. And the ride hasn't got any smoother in recent times over the last year, with the price 32% lower in that time.

作爲投資者,錯誤是不可避免的。但是真正糟糕的投資應該很少見。因此,不用考慮長春高新技術產業(集團)有限公司(深圳證券交易所股票代碼:000661)的長期股東;股價在過去三年中下跌了73%。這足以讓即使是最強的人也感到不安。而且在過去的一年裏,這種行程並沒有變得更加順利,同期價格下降了32%。

Now let's have a look at the company's fundamentals, and see if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

現在讓我們來看看公司的基本面,看看長期股東回報是否與基礎業務的表現相匹配。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

引用巴菲特的話說:“船隻將在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大差異...”研究市場情緒如何隨着時間的推移而變化的一種方法是研究公司股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。

Although the share price is down over three years, Changchun High-Tech Industry (Group) actually managed to grow EPS by 11% per year in that time. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.

儘管股價在三年內下跌,但長春高新技術產業(集團)實際上設法在那段時間內每年增長11%的每股收益。鑑於股價的反應,人們可能會懷疑每股收益並不能很好地指導該期間的業務表現(可能是由於一次性的虧損或收益)。否則,該公司過去曾被過度炒作,因此其增長令人失望。

Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

由於每股收益的變化似乎與股價的變化無關,因此值得一看其他指標。

Revenue is actually up 15% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. It's probably worth investigating Changchun High-Tech Industry (Group) further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.

在過去的三年中,收入實際上增長了15%,因此股價下跌似乎也不取決於收入。長春高新技術產業(集團)可能值得進一步研究;雖然我們在分析中可能遺漏了一些東西,但也可能有機會。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖描述了收入和收入隨時間推移而發生的變化(點擊圖片即可顯示確切的數值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:000661 Earnings and Revenue Growth May 24th 2024
SZSE: 000661 2024年5月24日收益和收入增長

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. If you are thinking of buying or selling Changchun High-Tech Industry (Group) stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

可能值得注意的是,首席執行官的薪水低於類似規模公司的中位數。但是,儘管首席執行官的薪酬總是值得檢查的,但真正重要的問題是公司未來能否增加收益。如果您正在考慮買入或賣出長春高新技術產業(集團)的股票,則應查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

We regret to report that Changchun High-Tech Industry (Group) shareholders are down 30% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 7.4%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 4% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. Keeping this in mind, a solid next step might be to take a look at Changchun High-Tech Industry (Group)'s dividend track record. This free interactive graph is a great place to start.

我們遺憾地報告,長春高新技術產業(集團)的股東今年下跌了30%(甚至包括股息)。不幸的是,這比整個市場7.4%的跌幅還要嚴重。話雖如此,在下跌的市場中,一些股票不可避免地會被超賣。關鍵是要密切關注基本發展。遺憾的是,去年的業績結束了糟糕的表現,股東在五年內每年面臨4%的總虧損。我們意識到羅斯柴爾德男爵曾說過,投資者應該 “在街頭流血時買入”,但我們警告說,投資者應首先確保他們購買的是高質量的企業。考慮到這一點,下一步可能是看看長春高新技術產業(集團)的股息記錄。這個免費的交互式圖表是一個很好的起點。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

對於那些喜歡尋找獲利投資的人來說,這份最近進行內幕收購的被低估公司的免費清單可能只是入場券。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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