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Investors Fear Mounting US Debt Could Overshadow Bond Rally Ahead Of Presidential Elections

Investors Fear Mounting US Debt Could Overshadow Bond Rally Ahead Of Presidential Elections

投資者擔心不斷增加的美國債務可能會給總統大選前的債券漲勢蒙上陰影
Benzinga ·  05/24 10:09

Investors are growing increasingly concerned about the potential impact of the mounting U.S. debt on the bond market, with the issue expected to take center stage as the presidential election approaches.

投資者越來越擔心不斷增加的美國債務對債券市場的潛在影響,隨着總統大選的臨近,該問題預計將成爲焦點。

What Happened: The U.S. government's debt is expected to balloon, potentially overshadowing an anticipated bond rally. This is due to the ongoing large fiscal deficits, which show no signs of abating ahead of the presidential election, Reuters reported on Friday.

發生了什麼:預計美國政府的債務將激增,這可能會使預期的債券漲勢黯然失色。路透社週五報道,這是由於持續的巨額財政赤字,在總統大選之前沒有減弱的跡象。

Investors are already adjusting their portfolios to mitigate potential losses if Treasury yields surge due to supply and demand imbalances. There are also concerns that the uncertainty surrounding the necessary debt for deficit spending could destabilize the $27 trillion Treasury market, a cornerstone of the global financial system.

如果由於供需失衡導致美國國債收益率飆升,投資者已經在調整其投資組合,以減輕潛在的損失。還有人擔心,圍繞赤字支出所需債務的不確定性可能會破壞作爲全球金融體系基石的27萬億美元美國國債市場的穩定。

Despite the focus on the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cuts, analysts and investors anticipate that fiscal concerns will become more pronounced as the election nears. Both President Joe Biden and Republican candidate Donald Trump have not made reducing deficit spending a priority, according to the report.

儘管人們關注聯儲局可能的降息,但分析師和投資者預計,隨着大選的臨近,財政擔憂將變得更加明顯。報告稱,喬·拜登總統和共和黨候選人唐納德·特朗普都沒有將減少赤字支出作爲優先事項。

Why It Matters: The concerns over rising U.S. debt come amid a broader financial landscape marked by significant shifts. On May 16, disinflation hopes began reshaping Treasury yields, with expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts influencing market trends.

爲何重要:對美國債務增加的擔憂是在以重大變化爲標誌的更廣泛的金融格局中出現的。5月16日,反通貨膨脹的希望開始重塑美國國債收益率,聯儲局降息的預期影響了市場趨勢。

This shift contributed to an optimistic sentiment about potential rallies in bond ETFs, such as the Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (NASDAQ:BND) and iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF (NASDAQ:EMB).

這種轉變促使人們對債券ETF可能上漲的樂觀情緒,例如Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF(納斯達克股票代碼:BND)和iShares摩根大通美元新興市場債券ETF(納斯達克股票代碼:EMB)。

Additionally, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures showed resilience ahead of key Federal Reserve speeches, indicating a market buoyed by optimism. This positive sentiment was reflected in the performance of major indices like the Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (NASDAQ:QQQ), and SPDR S&P 500 (NYSE:SPY).

此外,標準普爾500指數和納斯達克期貨在聯儲局發表重要講話前表現出彈性,這表明市場受到樂觀情緒的提振。這種積極情緒反映在景順QQ信託、系列1(納斯達克股票代碼:QQQ)和SPDR標準普爾500指數(紐約證券交易所代碼:SPY)等主要指數的表現中。

Photo by Austin Distel on Unsplash

由 Austin Distel 在 Unsplash

This story was generated using Benzinga Neuro and edited by Pooja Rajkumari

這個故事是使用 Benzinga Neuro 創作的,由 Pooja Rajkumari

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