share_log

Shareholders in Travel + Leisure (NYSE:TNL) Have Lost 27%, as Stock Drops 7.0% This Past Week

Shareholders in Travel + Leisure (NYSE:TNL) Have Lost 27%, as Stock Drops 7.0% This Past Week

Travel + Leisure(紐約證券交易所代碼:TNL)的股東下跌了27%,上週股價下跌了7.0%
Simply Wall St ·  05/24 10:38

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But in any portfolio, there are likely to be some stocks that fall short of that benchmark. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Travel + Leisure Co. (NYSE:TNL) shareholders, since the share price is down 35% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 19%. On top of that, the share price is down 7.0% in the last week.

爲了證明選擇個股的努力是合理的,值得努力超過市場指數基金的回報。但是在任何投資組合中,都可能有一些股票未達到該基準。不幸的是,長期 Travel + Leisure Co. 就是這樣。紐約證券交易所代碼:TNL)的股東們,由於股價在過去三年中下跌了35%,遠低於19%左右的市場回報率。最重要的是,上週股價下跌了7.0%。

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

鑑於過去一週對股東來說很艱難,讓我們調查一下基本面,看看我們能學到什麼。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

引用巴菲特的話說:“船隻將在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大差異...”考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

During five years of share price growth, Travel + Leisure moved from a loss to profitability. We would usually expect to see the share price rise as a result. So it's worth looking at other metrics to try to understand the share price move.

在股價增長的五年中,Travel + Leisure從虧損轉爲盈利。我們通常預計股價會因此上漲。因此,值得研究其他指標來了解股價走勢。

We note that the dividend seems healthy enough, so that probably doesn't explain the share price drop. We like that Travel + Leisure has actually grown its revenue over the last three years. But it's not clear to us why the share price is down. It might be worth diving deeper into the fundamentals, lest an opportunity goes begging.

我們注意到,股息似乎足夠健康,因此這可能無法解釋股價下跌的原因。我們喜歡 Travel + Leisure 的收入在過去三年中實際上有所增長。但是我們尚不清楚爲什麼股價下跌。可能值得深入研究基本面,以免機會流失。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:TNL Earnings and Revenue Growth May 24th 2024
紐約證券交易所:TNL 收益和收入增長 2024 年 5 月 24 日

It is of course excellent to see how Travel + Leisure has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. If you are thinking of buying or selling Travel + Leisure stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

看到Travel + Leisure多年來如何增加利潤當然是件好事,但對於股東來說,未來更爲重要。如果你正在考慮買入或賣出Travel + Leisure的股票,你應該在資產負債表上查看這份免費的詳細報告。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Travel + Leisure's TSR for the last 3 years was -27%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的區別 股東總回報 (TSR) 和 股價回報。儘管股價回報率僅反映股價的變化,但股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設已進行再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。碰巧的是,Travel + Leisure在過去3年的股東總回報率爲-27%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

Travel + Leisure provided a TSR of 20% over the last twelve months. But that was short of the market average. The silver lining is that the gain was actually better than the average annual return of 5% per year over five year. This suggests the company might be improving over time. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Travel + Leisure you should be aware of, and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.

在過去的十二個月中,Travel + Leisure的股東總回報率爲20%。但這低於市場平均水平。一線希望是,收益實際上好於五年內每年5%的平均年回報率。這表明隨着時間的推移,該公司可能會有所改善。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。一個很好的例子:我們發現了你應該注意的3個旅行+休閒警告標誌,其中一個讓我們有點不舒服。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家財務狀況可能優異的公司——那麼千萬不要錯過這份已經證明自己可以增加收益的公司的免費名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論