Is Yingkou Jinchen Machinery (SHSE:603396) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Yingkou Jinchen Machinery (SHSE:603396) Using Too Much Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Yingkou Jinchen Machinery Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603396) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
傳奇基金經理李錄(得到了查理•芒格的支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是資本的永久性損失。”因此,明智的投資者會認識到,通常與破產有關的負債是評估一個公司風險的非常重要的因素。與許多其他企業一樣,金辰股份有限公司(SHSE:603396)也利用負債。但是,這筆債務是否令股東擔憂呢?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
當企業不能輕鬆地通過自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌集資本來滿足債務義務時,債務和其他負債會給企業帶來風險。如果情況變得非常糟糕,放貸人會接管企業。儘管這並不太常見,但我們經常看到,因爲放貸人迫使它們以破產價籌集資本,受負債公司會永久地稀釋股東。然而,在取代稀釋的情況下,債務可以成爲需要以高回報率投資於增長的企業的一種極好的工具。在我們審查債務水平時,首先考慮現金和債務水平,兩者結合在一起。
How Much Debt Does Yingkou Jinchen Machinery Carry?
金辰股份持有多少債務?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Yingkou Jinchen Machinery had CN¥661.6m of debt, an increase on CN¥410.0m, over one year. However, it does have CN¥1.24b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥582.5m.
您可以點擊下面的圖表查看歷史數據,但是數據顯示,截至2024年3月,金辰股份擁有6.616億的債務,比一年前的4.1億增加了1.5億。然而,公司擁有12.4億現金,抵消了這筆債務,淨現金爲5.825億。
How Healthy Is Yingkou Jinchen Machinery's Balance Sheet?
金辰股份財務狀況如何?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Yingkou Jinchen Machinery had liabilities of CN¥3.60b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥157.6m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.24b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.39b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.12b.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,金辰股份有限公司有36億元的短期負債,以及15.76億元的長期負債。公司的應收賬款價值爲13.9億元,將於12個月內到期。因此,其負債比現金和(近期)應收帳款低1.12億元。
Of course, Yingkou Jinchen Machinery has a market capitalization of CN¥5.80b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Yingkou Jinchen Machinery also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
當然,金辰股份擁有58億元的市值,因此這些負債可能是可以控制的。然而,我們認爲,值得關注的是其資產負債表的強度,因爲它可能會隨時間發生變化。儘管它確實有值得注意的負債,但金辰股份也有比負債多的現金,因此我們相信它有能力安全地管理其債務。
On top of that, Yingkou Jinchen Machinery grew its EBIT by 62% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Yingkou Jinchen Machinery's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
此外,金辰股份過去12個月內增長了62%的息稅前利潤(EBIT),這種增長將使其更容易處理債務。分析負債水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,是金辰股份的盈利將影響資產負債表將來的情況。因此,在考慮負債時,絕對值得關注盈利趨勢。點此查看交互式快照。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Yingkou Jinchen Machinery has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Yingkou Jinchen Machinery saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤是沒用的。雖然金辰股份有在銀行帳户上的淨現金,但看一下其將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力還是值得的,這可以幫助我們了解其建立(或消耗)現金餘額的速度。在過去的三年中,金辰股份的自由現金流明顯爲負。雖然這可能是爲了擴張支出,但這會使債務更加危險。
Summing Up
總之
While Yingkou Jinchen Machinery does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥582.5m. And we liked the look of last year's 62% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't have any problem with Yingkou Jinchen Machinery's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Yingkou Jinchen Machinery , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
雖然金辰股份的負債高於流動資產,但它還擁有5.825億元的淨現金。我們喜歡去年62%的年增長率息稅前利潤(EBIT)。因此,我們對金辰股份使用債務並不擔心。當你分析負債時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的領域。然而,並不是所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,離它還有很遠的路要走。我們已經發現了1項對金辰股份的警告信號,理解它們應該是你投資過程的一部分。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有負債負擔的股票的投資者,則今天就可以發現我們的獨家淨現金增長股清單。
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