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Here's Why Paslin Digital Technology (SHSE:600215) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Here's Why Paslin Digital Technology (SHSE:600215) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

這就是爲什麼Paslin Digital Technology(SHSE: 600215)可以負責任地管理其債務的原因
Simply Wall St ·  05/24 21:18

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Paslin Digital Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600215) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們可以看到,帕斯林數字技術有限公司(SHSE:600215)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以誘人的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會成爲風險。資本主義的組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更頻繁(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。考慮公司的債務水平的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。

How Much Debt Does Paslin Digital Technology Carry?

帕斯林數字技術揹負了多少債務?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Paslin Digital Technology had CN¥761.3m of debt, up from CN¥265.1m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥229.5m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥531.8m.

如下所示,截至2024年3月底,帕斯林數字科技的債務爲7.613億元人民幣,高於去年同期的2.651億加元。點擊圖片查看更多細節。但是,由於其現金儲備爲2.295億元人民幣,其淨負債較少,約爲5.318億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600215 Debt to Equity History May 25th 2024
SHSE: 600215 2024 年 5 月 25 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

How Healthy Is Paslin Digital Technology's Balance Sheet?

Paslin 數字科技的資產負債表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Paslin Digital Technology had liabilities of CN¥1.57b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥222.1m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥229.5m and CN¥1.34b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥222.8m.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,帕斯林數字科技在12個月內到期的負債爲15.7億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲2.221億元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲2.295億元人民幣,還有價值13.4億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額2.228億元人民幣。

Given Paslin Digital Technology has a market capitalization of CN¥3.73b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

鑑於帕斯林數字科技的市值爲3.73億元人民幣,很難相信這些負債會構成很大的威脅。但是,我們確實認爲值得關注其資產負債表的實力,因爲它可能會隨着時間的推移而發生變化。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

爲了擴大公司相對於收益的負債規模,我們計算其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),將其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)除以利息支出(利息保障)。因此,我們將債務與收益的關係考慮在內,包括和不包括折舊和攤銷費用。

Paslin Digital Technology's debt is 3.5 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 4.1 times over. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. However, it should be some comfort for shareholders to recall that Paslin Digital Technology actually grew its EBIT by a hefty 110%, over the last 12 months. If that earnings trend continues it will make its debt load much more manageable in the future. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Paslin Digital Technology's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Paslin Digital Technology的債務是其息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的3.5倍,其息稅前利潤是其利息支出的4.1倍。綜上所述,這意味着,儘管我們不希望債務水平上升,但我們認爲它可以承受目前的槓桿率。但是,回想一下,在過去的12個月中,帕斯林數字科技的息稅前利潤實際上增長了110%,這應該讓股東感到欣慰。如果這種收益趨勢繼續下去,它將使其未來的債務負擔更加易於管理。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,未來的收益將決定帕斯林數字科技未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Paslin Digital Technology burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。因此,我們顯然需要研究息稅前利潤是否會帶來相應的自由現金流。在過去的三年中,帕斯林數字技術消耗了大量現金。儘管這可能是增長支出的結果,但它確實使債務風險大大增加。

Our View

我們的觀點

Paslin Digital Technology's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. There's no doubt that its ability to to grow its EBIT is pretty flash. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Paslin Digital Technology's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Paslin Digital Technology is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

儘管我們考慮的其他因素要好得多,但Paslin Digital Technology將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流對該分析來說確實是負面的。毫無疑問,其增長息稅前利潤的能力非常閃爍。查看所有這些數據使我們對Paslin Digital Technology的債務水平感到有些謹慎。儘管債務在更高的潛在回報方面確實有其上行空間,但我們認爲股東們一定應該考慮債務水平如何使股票更具風險。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。請注意,Paslin Digital Technology在我們的投資分析中顯示出3個警告信號,您應該知道...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,通常最好將注意力集中在沒有淨負債的公司身上。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長記錄)。它是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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