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Is Ferretti S.p.A.'s (HKG:9638) Recent Stock Performance Influenced By Its Fundamentals In Any Way?

Is Ferretti S.p.A.'s (HKG:9638) Recent Stock Performance Influenced By Its Fundamentals In Any Way?

是法拉帝S.p.A嗎?”s (HKG: 9638) 近期股票表現受其基本面影響嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  05/24 21:51

Most readers would already be aware that Ferretti's (HKG:9638) stock increased significantly by 10% over the past month. Given that stock prices are usually aligned with a company's financial performance in the long-term, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely to see if they had a hand to play in the recent price move. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Ferretti's ROE today.

大部分讀者已經知道,費雷蒂(HKG:9638)的股票在過去一個月內大幅上漲了10%。 股價通常與公司的長期財務表現相關,因此我們決定更仔細地研究其財務指標,以查看它們在最近的價格變動中是否發揮了作用。 特別是,我們將關注費雷蒂今天的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

ROE(淨資產收益率)是股東需考慮的一個重要因素,因爲它告訴他們資本被有效地再投資的效果如何。換句話說,它揭示了公司將股東的投資轉化爲利潤的成功程度。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎樣計算ROE?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股東權益報酬率可以使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Ferretti is:

那麼,根據上述公式,費雷蒂的roe爲:

9.9% = €84m ÷ €840m (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

9.9% = € 8400萬÷€ 84000萬(基於截至2023年12月的過去12個月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each HK$1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made HK$0.10 in profit.

“回報”是過去十二個月的利潤。其中一種觀念是,對於每1港元的股東資本,公司實現了0.10港元的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE對於盈利增長的重要性是什麼?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到roe是衡量公司盈利能力的一種指標。根據公司再投資或“保留”的這些利潤的多少以及效率如何,我們能夠評估公司的盈利增長潛力。總體來說,在其他條件相同的情況下,roe和盈利“保留”高的公司比不具備這些屬性的公司增長率更高。

A Side By Side comparison of Ferretti's Earnings Growth And 9.9% ROE

費雷蒂收益增長率和9.9%的roe並列比較

At first glance, Ferretti's ROE doesn't look very promising. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 8.6%. Even so, Ferretti has shown a fairly decent growth in its net income which grew at a rate of 19%. Given the slightly low ROE, it is likely that there could be some other aspects that are driving this growth. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

乍一看,費雷蒂的roe看起來並不是很有前途。 但更仔細的研究表明,公司的roe與8.6%的行業平均水平相似。儘管如此,費雷蒂的淨利潤增長率較高,增長率達到19%。 鑑於roe略低,可能存在某些其他方面推動了這種增長,例如,公司的管理層可能已經做出了一些良好的戰略決策,或者公司的分紅比率較低。

As a next step, we compared Ferretti's net income growth with the industry and found that the company has a similar growth figure when compared with the industry average growth rate of 17% in the same period.

作爲下一步,我們將費雷蒂的淨收入增長與行業進行比較,並發現公司的增長數據與同期17%的行業平均增長率相似。

past-earnings-growth
SEHK:9638 Past Earnings Growth May 25th 2024
SEHK:9638過去的收益增長2024年5月25日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. What is 9638 worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether 9638 is currently mispriced by the market.

收益增長是股票估值的一個重要因素。投資者需要判斷下一個預計的收益增長,或其缺乏是否已經反映在股價上。然後,這可以幫助他們判斷股票是面臨光明還是黯淡的未來。9638今天價值多少?我們免費研究報告中的內在價值信息圖幫助判斷目前市場是否錯誤定價9638。

Is Ferretti Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

費雷蒂是否有效地再投資利潤?

Ferretti has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 26% (or a retention ratio of 74%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

費雷蒂具有在適度的三年中位數分紅比率(26%)(或74%的保留比率),同時收益也有不錯的增長,這意味着公司一直在有效地利用其利潤。

While Ferretti has been growing its earnings, it only recently started to pay dividends which likely means that the company decided to impress new and existing shareholders with a dividend. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 45% over the next three years. However, Ferretti's future ROE is expected to rise to 12% despite the expected increase in the company's payout ratio. We infer that there could be other factors that could be driving the anticipated growth in the company's ROE.

雖然費雷蒂一直在增長其收益,但它在最近才開始支付股息,這可能意味着公司決定通過股息來印象新老股東。經過研究最新分析師的共識數據,我們發現,該公司未來的股息支付比率預計將在未來三年內上升至45%。但是,儘管預計公司股息支付率將增加,其未來roe預計將增加至12%。我們推斷,可能還有其他因素推動了預期的roe增長。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we feel that Ferretti certainly does have some positive factors to consider. With a high rate of reinvestment, albeit at a low ROE, the company has managed to see a considerable growth in its earnings. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總的來說,我們認爲費雷蒂確實有一些要考慮的積極因素。儘管roe較低,但憑藉高比例的再投資率,公司成功地實現了利潤的可觀增長。然而,預計公司的收益增長將放緩,正如當前分析師估計的那樣。這些分析師的預期基於行業的廣泛預期,還是基於公司的基本情況?單擊此處轉到我們的分析師預測頁。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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