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Is Suzhou Centec Communications (SHSE:688702) A Risky Investment?

Is Suzhou Centec Communications (SHSE:688702) A Risky Investment?

蘇州森泰通訊(上海證券交易所股票代碼:688702)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  05/24 22:02

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Suzhou Centec Communications Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688702) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

巴菲特的搭檔李錄支持的外部基金管理員李錄明確表示:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。” 因爲債務經常是企業崩潰的原因之一,所以當我們考慮一家公司的風險性時,首先考慮的是其資產負債表。就像許多其他公司一樣,蘇州中科通信股份有限公司也使用債務。但更重要的問題是:這些債務造成了多大的風險?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

當企業不能輕鬆地通過自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌集資本來履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債負擔將對企業構成風險。如果公司無法履行償還債務的法定義務,股東可能會一文不值。當然,雖然這種情況並不太常見,但我們經常看到負債累累的公司因爲債權人強迫它們以低價籌集資本而導致股東永久稀釋。當然,還有很多公司使用債務來資助其成長,而沒有任何負面影響。在考慮企業使用了多少債務時,需要先看看它的現金和債務狀況。

How Much Debt Does Suzhou Centec Communications Carry?

蘇州中科通信負債情況如何?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Suzhou Centec Communications had debt of CN¥379.9m at the end of March 2024, a reduction from CN¥767.4m over a year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥1.55b in cash, so it actually has CN¥1.17b net cash.

下面的圖像可以放大查看,它顯示2024年3月底,蘇州中科通信的債務爲3.799億元人民幣,比去年減少了7.674億元人民幣。但其資產負債表顯示它持有15.5億元人民幣的現金,因此實際上淨現金爲11.7億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:688702 Debt to Equity History May 25th 2024
SHSE:688702的資產負債歷史記錄2024年5月25日

A Look At Suzhou Centec Communications' Liabilities

蘇州中科通信負債狀況的一覽

According to the last reported balance sheet, Suzhou Centec Communications had liabilities of CN¥712.5m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥13.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.55b in cash and CN¥83.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥907.6m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根據最近公佈的資產負債表,蘇州中科通信負有7.125億元人民幣的短期債務,和1300萬元人民幣的長期債務。與此同時,它持有15.5億元人民幣的現金和8,380萬元人民幣的應收賬款(在12個月內到期)。因此實際上它有9.076億元人民幣的淨現金。總負債還多出了更多的流動資產。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Suzhou Centec Communications could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Suzhou Centec Communications boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Suzhou Centec Communications can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

這種短期流動性意味着蘇州中科通信可以輕鬆償還債務,因爲它的資產負債表還有很大的餘地。簡言之,蘇州中科通信擁有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有重債負擔!毫無疑問,資產負債表能夠讓我們了解大部分的債務情況。但最終企業的未來盈利能力將決定蘇州中科通信能否隨着時間推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您想了解專業人士的意見,您可能會對這份關於分析師盈利預測的免費報告感興趣。

In the last year Suzhou Centec Communications wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 13%, to CN¥997m. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

在上一年中,蘇州中科通信在稅息折舊和攤銷前淨收益(EBIT)上並未盈利,但其收入增長了13%,達到了9.97億元人民幣。我們覺得這種增長速率有些緩慢,但不同的增長速度展示了不同的市場類型。

So How Risky Is Suzhou Centec Communications?

那麼蘇州中科通信有多大風險?

Statistically speaking companies that lose money are riskier than those that make money. And the fact is that over the last twelve months Suzhou Centec Communications lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. Indeed, in that time it burnt through CN¥582m of cash and made a loss of CN¥41m. While this does make the company a bit risky, it's important to remember it has net cash of CN¥1.17b. That kitty means the company can keep spending for growth for at least two years, at current rates. Overall, its balance sheet doesn't seem overly risky, at the moment, but we're always cautious until we see the positive free cash flow. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Suzhou Centec Communications .

從統計學的角度來看,虧損的公司比賺錢的公司更具有風險性。事實上,在過去的12個月中,蘇州中科通信稅息折舊和攤銷前淨收益(EBIT)已經虧損。在那段時間裏,它燒掉了5.82億元人民幣的現金,並虧損了4,100萬元人民幣。雖然這使得該公司有些冒險,但重要的是要記住它有11.7億元人民幣的淨現金。這筆錢意味着該公司可以以目前的速度繼續爲增長而支出至少兩年的時間。總體而言,其資產負債表似乎不過分冒險,但在我們看到實現正向自由現金流之前,我們總是會保持謹慎。然而,並不是所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,甚至遠離它。爲此,您應該看到我們在蘇州中科通信上發現的1個警示信號。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

總的來說,專注於沒有淨債務的公司往往更好。您可以訪問我們的特別列表,其中包含這些公司(所有這些公司都有盈利增長的記錄)。這是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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