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Do Fundamentals Have Any Role To Play In Driving Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery Co., Ltd's (SZSE:002461) Stock Up Recently?

Do Fundamentals Have Any Role To Play In Driving Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery Co., Ltd's (SZSE:002461) Stock Up Recently?

基本面在推動廣州珠江啤酒股份有限公司(SZSE:002461)最近股票上漲方面有什麼作用嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  05/25 22:13

Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery's (SZSE:002461) stock is up by 6.4% over the past three months. Given that stock prices are usually aligned with a company's financial performance in the long-term, we decided to investigate if the company's decent financials had a hand to play in the recent price move. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery's ROE today.

過去三個月,珠江啤酒(SZSE:002461)的股票上漲了6.4%。考慮到股票價格通常與公司的長期財務表現一致,我們決定調查該公司良好財務狀況是否在最近的股價上漲中起作用。特別地,我們將今天關注珠江啤酒的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回報率或roe是評估公司管理層如何有效利用公司資本的關鍵指標。簡而言之,ROE顯示每美元股東投資所產生的利潤。

How Is ROE Calculated?

淨資產收益率怎麼計算?

The formula for return on equity is:

權益回報率的計算公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery is:

因此,根據上述公式,珠江啤酒的roe爲:

6.7% = CN¥678m ÷ CN¥10b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

6.7% = CN¥67800萬÷CN¥100億(基於截至2024年3月的過去12個月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.07 in profit.

“回報”是指公司過去一年的收入。一種概念化方法是,對於每一元股東資本,公司賺取了0.07元利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE對於盈利增長的重要性是什麼?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我們已經確定roe對於公司未來收益的有效衡量工具。根據公司再投資或“留存”這些利潤的程度及其有效性,我們隨後可以評估公司的收益增長潛力。一般而言,其他條件相同的情況下,roe和利潤留存率較高的公司比不具備這些屬性的公司具有更高的增長率。

Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery's Earnings Growth And 6.7% ROE

珠江啤酒的盈利增長和6.7%的roe.

At first glance, Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery's ROE doesn't look very promising. We then compared the company's ROE to the broader industry and were disappointed to see that the ROE is lower than the industry average of 16%. Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery was still able to see a decent net income growth of 7.5% over the past five years. We reckon that there could be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

乍一看,珠江啤酒的roe似乎並不是很有前景。然後,我們將公司的roe與整個行業進行了比較,很失望地發現roe低於16%的行業平均水平。過去五年來,珠江啤酒仍然能夠實現7.5%的淨利潤增長率。我們認爲這裏可能還有其他因素在發揮作用。例如,公司有較低的支付比率或者被高效管理。

We then compared Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 15% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

然後我們將珠江啤酒的淨收入增長與行業進行了比較,發現該公司的增長率低於同一5年期內15%的行業平均增長率,這有點令人擔憂。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002461 Past Earnings Growth May 26th 2024
SZSE:002461過去的收益增長(2024年5月26日)

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

收益增長是考慮股票估值時應考慮的一個重要指標。投資者應該試圖確定預期的盈利增長或下降(無論哪種情況),是否已經被定價。通過這樣做,他們將了解股票是否進入清晰的藍色水域,或者是否等待泥濘的水域。如果您想知道珠江啤酒的估值,請查看它的市盈率,以及相對於同行業的比較。

Is Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

珠江啤酒是否在有效地重投資其利潤?

Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 43% (or a retention ratio of 57%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

珠江啤酒具有中等的三年中位數支出比率爲43%(或保留比率爲57%)以及像我們上面看到的可觀的盈利增長,這意味着公司一直在有效地利用其利潤。

Additionally, Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders.

此外,珠江啤酒在至少10年的時間內支付股息,這意味着公司非常認真地與股東分享其利潤。

Summary

總的來說,我們對偉明環保的表現非常滿意。具體而言,我們喜歡公司以高回報率再投資了其利潤的很大一部分。當然,這導致公司的收益大幅增長。但是,最新的行業分析師預測表明,該公司的收益預計將加速增長。

Overall, we feel that Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery certainly does have some positive factors to consider. That is, a decent growth in earnings backed by a high rate of reinvestment. However, we do feel that that earnings growth could have been higher if the business were to improve on the low ROE rate. Especially given how the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總體而言,我們認爲珠江啤酒確實具有一些積極因素需要考慮。也就是說,可觀的盈利增長受高額再投資率的支持。然而,如果企業改善低roe率,那麼我們認爲這種盈利增長可能會更高。特別是考慮到公司正在將其利潤的很大一部分重新投資。儘管如此,最新的行業分析師預測顯示,該公司的盈利預計將加速增長。這些分析師的預期是基於行業的廣泛預期,還是基於公司的基本面?點擊這裏進入我們的分析師預測頁面了解更多信息。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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