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KEBODA TECHNOLOGY Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603786) On An Uptrend: Could Fundamentals Be Driving The Stock?

KEBODA TECHNOLOGY Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603786) On An Uptrend: Could Fundamentals Be Driving The Stock?

科博達科技股份有限公司(SHSE: 603786)呈上升趨勢:基本面能否推動股市走高?
Simply Wall St ·  05/26 20:13

Most readers would already know that KEBODA TECHNOLOGY's (SHSE:603786) stock increased by 9.0% over the past three months. As most would know, long-term fundamentals have a strong correlation with market price movements, so we decided to look at the company's key financial indicators today to determine if they have any role to play in the recent price movement. In this article, we decided to focus on KEBODA TECHNOLOGY's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for KEBODA TECHNOLOGY is:

15% = CN¥739m ÷ CN¥5.0b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.15 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of KEBODA TECHNOLOGY's Earnings Growth And 15% ROE

To start with, KEBODA TECHNOLOGY's ROE looks acceptable. Especially when compared to the industry average of 8.1% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. Despite this, KEBODA TECHNOLOGY's five year net income growth was quite low averaging at only 4.0%. This is interesting as the high returns should mean that the company has the ability to generate high growth but for some reason, it hasn't been able to do so. We reckon that a low growth, when returns are quite high could be the result of certain circumstances like low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

As a next step, we compared KEBODA TECHNOLOGY's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 8.4% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603786 Past Earnings Growth May 27th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if KEBODA TECHNOLOGY is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is KEBODA TECHNOLOGY Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

While KEBODA TECHNOLOGY has a decent three-year median payout ratio of 41% (or a retention ratio of 59%), it has seen very little growth in earnings. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

Additionally, KEBODA TECHNOLOGY has paid dividends over a period of four years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

Conclusion

In total, it does look like KEBODA TECHNOLOGY has some positive aspects to its business. However, given the high ROE and high profit retention, we would expect the company to be delivering strong earnings growth, but that isn't the case here. This suggests that there might be some external threat to the business, that's hampering its growth. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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