share_log

We Think Alpha Metallurgical Resources (NYSE:AMR) Might Have The DNA Of A Multi-Bagger

We Think Alpha Metallurgical Resources (NYSE:AMR) Might Have The DNA Of A Multi-Bagger

我們認爲 Alpha Metallurgical Resources(紐約證券交易所代碼:AMR)可能擁有多裝袋機的DNA
Simply Wall St ·  05/27 12:44

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. So when we looked at the ROCE trend of Alpha Metallurgical Resources (NYSE:AMR) we really liked what we saw.

如果想要找長期可以大幅增值的股票,需要關注什麼趨勢?首先,我們需要找到一個資本僱用增長的資產回報率:它是什麼?資本僱用回報率 (ROCE) 是一種早期趨勢,可以用來識別有可能在長期內翻倍增值的股票,然後在此基礎上,要尋找一個不斷增長的業務板塊和行業板塊。這告訴我們這是一臺複利機器,能夠不斷地將其收益再投入業務,從而產生更高的回報。因此,在這點上,Materialise (納斯達克:MTLS) 看起來相當有前途,因爲它在資本回報方面的趨勢相當不錯。資產回報率 = 利息和所得稅前收益(EBIT)÷(總資產-流動負債)如果您看到這個,那通常意味着這是一家擁有出色業務模式和豐富盈利再投資機會的公司。因此,當我們研究Alpha Metallurgical Resources(紐交所:AMR)的ROCE趨勢時,我們真的很喜歡看到的。

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

我們對 Enphase Energy 的資本僱用回報率的看法:正如我們上面看到的,Enphase Energy 的資本回報率沒有提高,但它正在重新投資於業務。投資者必須認爲未來會有更好的前景,因爲股票表現良好,使持股五年以上的股東獲得了 690% 的收益。最終,如果基本趨勢持續存在,我們不會對它成爲一隻多頭股持有期很久很有信心。

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Alpha Metallurgical Resources:

對於不了解的人來說,ROCE是衡量公司年度稅前利潤(收益)相對於業務所需資本的一種度量標準。分析師使用此公式計算Alpha Metallurgical Resources的ROCE:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

資產僱用回報率(ROCE)是指企業利潤,即企業稅前利潤除以企業投入的總資本(負債加股權)。如果ROCE高於企業財務成本的承受能力,那麼企業就會創造出更多的價值。

0.32 = US$686m ÷ (US$2.5b - US$341m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

0.32 = 美元68600萬 ÷ (美元25億 - 美元341m)在Elevance Health上,我們已經注意到的趨勢是相當令人放心的。數據顯示,過去五年資產回報率大幅提高至15%。投資所用資產的規模也增加了30%。這表明有很多機會進行內部資本投資,並以更高的速度不斷增長,這種組合在多倍增長方面很常見。.

So, Alpha Metallurgical Resources has an ROCE of 32%. That's a fantastic return and not only that, it outpaces the average of 9.1% earned by companies in a similar industry.

因此,Alpha Metallurgical Resources的ROCE爲32%。這是一個驚人的回報,並且不僅如此,它也超過了同行業公司平均9.1%的回報。

roce
NYSE:AMR Return on Capital Employed May 27th 2024
紐交所:AMR資本僱用回報率2024年5月27日

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Alpha Metallurgical Resources compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Alpha Metallurgical Resources for free.

您可以看到上面的Alpha Metallurgical Resources當前資本回報率與以往回報率的比較,但是從過去只能得出這麼多結論。如果您願意,可以免費查看覆蓋Alpha Metallurgical Resources的分析師的預測。

So How Is Alpha Metallurgical Resources' ROCE Trending?

那麼Alpha Metallurgical Resources的ROCE趨勢如何?

Alpha Metallurgical Resources has not disappointed with their ROCE growth. More specifically, while the company has kept capital employed relatively flat over the last five years, the ROCE has climbed 299% in that same time. So it's likely that the business is now reaping the full benefits of its past investments, since the capital employed hasn't changed considerably. It's worth looking deeper into this though because while it's great that the business is more efficient, it might also mean that going forward the areas to invest internally for the organic growth are lacking.

Alpha Metallurgical Resources的ROCE增長並未讓人失望。更具體地說,在過去的五年中,儘管公司保持了相對穩定的資本僱用水平,但ROCE在同期內增長了299%。因此,由於資本僱用沒有顯著改變,該業務現在可能正在收穫其過去投資的全部收益。儘管業務更加高效,但值得深入探究一下,因爲這可能意味着在內部投資實現有機增長的領域存在缺陷。

What We Can Learn From Alpha Metallurgical Resources' ROCE

我們可以從Alpha Metallurgical Resources的ROCE中學到什麼?

As discussed above, Alpha Metallurgical Resources appears to be getting more proficient at generating returns since capital employed has remained flat but earnings (before interest and tax) are up. And with the stock having performed exceptionally well over the last five years, these patterns are being accounted for by investors. In light of that, we think it's worth looking further into this stock because if Alpha Metallurgical Resources can keep these trends up, it could have a bright future ahead.

如上所述,由於僱用的資本保持不變,但收益(利息和稅前利潤)上升,Alpha Metallurgical Resources似乎越來越善於產生回報。而且,隨着這支股票在過去的五年中表現異常出色,這些模式正在被投資者所考慮。鑑於此,我們認爲值得進一步研究這支股票,因爲如果Alpha Metallurgical Resources可以保持這些趨勢,它可能有着輝煌的未來。

Alpha Metallurgical Resources does come with some risks though, we found 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable...

雖然Alpha Metallurgical Resources存在一些風險,但我們在投資分析中發現了3個警告信號,其中1個讓我們感到有些不舒服...

Alpha Metallurgical Resources is not the only stock earning high returns. If you'd like to see more, check out our free list of companies earning high returns on equity with solid fundamentals.

Alpha Metallurgical Resources並不是唯一一家賺取高回報的股票。如果您想了解更多信息,請查看我們的免費公司股本回報率高且基本面穩健的公司列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論