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Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600313) Stock Has Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Strong: Is The Market Wrong?

Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600313) Stock Has Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Strong: Is The Market Wrong?

中農發種業集團有限公司's(SHSE: 600313)股票一直在下滑但基本面看起來很強勁:市場錯了嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  05/27 19:18

It is hard to get excited after looking at Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group's (SHSE:600313) recent performance, when its stock has declined 9.1% over the past three months. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group's ROE today.

看了農發種業(SHSE:600313)最近的表現之後,很難感到興奮,因爲它的股票下跌了9.1%,而過去三個月。 然而,股票價格通常受公司長期財務表現的推動,在這種情況下,看起來相當有前途。 特別是今天,我們將關注農發種業的ROE。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

roe指股東權益回報率,是一種有用的工具,用於評估公司如何有效地從股東獲得的投資中產生回報。簡單來說,這衡量了一家公司相對於股東權益的盈利能力。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股東權益報酬率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股東權益報酬率可以使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group is:

所以根據上述公式,農發種業的ROE爲:

7.6% = CN¥225m ÷ CN¥2.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

7.6%=CN¥22500萬÷CN¥29億(截至2024年3月)(基於過去12個月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.08 in profit.

“回報”是年利潤。這意味着公司每1元股東權益中產生0.08元利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

既然我們已經確定ROE是一種有效的利潤生成標準,用於評估公司未來的盈利能力,我們現在需要評估公司“保留”爲未來增長而重新投資的利潤多少,這使我們對公司的增長潛力有了一個了解。一般而言,在其他條件相等的情況下,ROE和利潤留存高的公司,增長率比沒有這些屬性的公司要高。

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解了roe是公司盈利能力的一種衡量標準。根據公司重新投資或“保留”的利潤數量和效率,我們可以評估公司的盈利增長潛力。假設其他所有因素保持不變,roe和保留的利潤越高,相對於不一定具有這些特徵的公司,公司的增長率就越高。

Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group's Earnings Growth And 7.6% ROE

農發種業的盈利增長和7.6%的ROE

When you first look at it, Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, the fact that the its ROE is quite higher to the industry average of 6.3% doesn't go unnoticed by us. Particularly, the substantial 50% net income growth seen by Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group over the past five years is impressive . That being said, the company does have a slightly low ROE to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. Therefore, the growth in earnings could also be the result of other factors. For example, it is possible that the broader industry is going through a high growth phase, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

剛開始看農發種業的ROE並不那麼吸引人。然而,它的ROE比行業平均水平(6.3%)高得多沒有逃脫我們的注意力。特別是在過去五年中,農發種業的淨利潤增長了50%,令人印象深刻。儘管如此,該公司的ROE略低於行業平均水平,但高於其他板塊。因此,收益增長也可能是其他因素的結果。例如,更廣泛的行業正在經歷高速增長階段,或者這家公司的股息支付比例較低。

As a next step, we compared Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 7.8%.

作爲下一步,我們將農發種業的淨利潤增長與行業進行了對比。令人高興的是,我們發現該公司的增長超過了平均行業增長率(7.8%)。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600313 Past Earnings Growth May 27th 2024
SHSE:600313過去的盈利增長情況(截至2024年5月27日)

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

盈利增長是考慮股票估值時要考慮的重要指標。投資者了解市場是否已經反映出公司預期的盈利增長(或下降)非常重要。這樣做,他們將了解股票是否進入明朗的境地,或者沼澤水域的等候。預期盈利增長的一個良好指標是市盈率,它是確定市場根據其盈利前景願意支付股票價格的指標。因此,您可能要檢查農發種業的市盈率是否高於或低於其他板塊。

Is Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

農發種業是否有效利用其利潤?

Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group doesn't pay any regular dividends currently which essentially means that it has been reinvesting all of its profits into the business. This definitely contributes to the high earnings growth number that we discussed above.

農發種業目前不支付任何普通股息,這基本上意味着它一直在將其所有利潤重新投資到業務中。這肯定有助於我們討論的高盈利增長數。

Summary

總的來說,我們對偉明環保的表現非常滿意。具體而言,我們喜歡公司以高回報率再投資了其利潤的很大一部分。當然,這導致公司的收益大幅增長。但是,最新的行業分析師預測表明,該公司的收益預計將加速增長。

Overall, we are quite pleased with Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group's performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business at a moderate rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. If the company continues to grow its earnings the way it has, that could have a positive impact on its share price given how earnings per share influence long-term share prices. Not to forget, share price outcomes are also dependent on the potential risks a company may face. So it is important for investors to be aware of the risks involved in the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 2 risks we have identified for Zhongnongfa Seed Industry Group.

總的來說,我們非常滿意農發種業的表現。特別是我們喜歡這家公司以一個適度的回報率大量重投其業務。毫不奇怪,這導致了令人印象深刻的盈利增長。如果公司繼續保持這樣的增長,這可能對股價產生積極影響,因爲每股收益如何影響長期股價。切勿忘記,股價結果也取決於公司可能面臨的潛在風險。因此,投資者必須注意業務中涉及的風險。我們的風險儀表板將顯示我們爲農發種業確定的2種風險。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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