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Jilin Chemical Fibre Stock Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000420) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

Jilin Chemical Fibre Stock Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000420) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

吉林化纖股份有限公司, Ltd (SZSE: 000420) 股票走強但基本面看起來不確定:未來會怎樣?
Simply Wall St ·  05/27 20:47

Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd (SZSE:000420) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 43% over the last three months. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd's ROE today.

吉林化纖股份有限公司(SZSE:000420)在股市上經歷了一次偉大的漲勢,股票在過去三個月內顯著上漲了43%。然而,我們決定關注公司的基本面,因爲這些基本面似乎沒有給出關於公司財務狀況的明確信號。特別是今天我們將關注吉林化纖股份有限公司的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股東必須考慮股本回報率或ROE,因爲它告訴他們公司如何有效地重新投資他們的資本。 簡而言之,ROE顯示每美元股東投資所產生的利潤。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎樣計算ROE?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

淨資產收益率可以使用以下公式進行計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd is:

因此,根據以上公式,吉林化纖股份有限公司的roe爲:

0.7% = CN¥32m ÷ CN¥4.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

0.7%=CN¥3200萬÷CN¥44億(截至2023年12月)

The 'return' is the yearly profit. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.01 in profit.

“回報率”是年利潤。這意味着對於每1元股東權益,公司生成了0.01元利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

ROE與盈利增長有什麼關係?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我們已經確定,roe是一個有效的利潤生成衡量標準,用於評估公司未來的盈利能力。根據公司再投資或“保留”這些利潤的比例以及這樣做的有效性,我們能夠評估公司的盈利增長潛力。假設其他所有因素保持不變,roe和利潤保留的比例越高,相對於沒有這些特徵的公司,公司的增長率就越高。

Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd's Earnings Growth And 0.7% ROE

吉林化纖股份有限公司的盈利增長和0.7%的roe

As you can see, Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd's ROE looks pretty weak. Even when compared to the industry average of 6.3%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 26% seen by Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd over the last five years is not surprising. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

正如您所見,吉林化纖股份有限公司的roe看起來相當疲軟。即使與行業平均水平(6.3%)相比,roe數據也相當令人失望。鑑於此,吉林化纖股份有限公司在過去五年中淨收入大幅下降26%的情況並不令人意外。我們認爲,還可能有其他方面對公司的收益前景產生負面影響。例如,該業務分配資本不當,或者公司的支付比率非常高。

However, when we compared Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 7.8% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

然而,當我們將吉林化纖股份有限公司的增長與行業進行比較時,我們發現儘管公司的收益在萎縮,但行業在同一時期的收益增長爲7.8%,這是非常令人擔憂的。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000420 Past Earnings Growth May 28th 2024
SZSE:000420過去的盈利增長情況(2024年5月28日)

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

盈利增長是考慮股票估值時要考慮的重要指標。對於投資者來說,知道市場是否已經定價了公司預期的盈利增長(或下降)非常重要。這有助於他們確定股票是否面臨光明或黯淡的未來。如果您想了解吉林化纖股份有限公司的估值,請查看其市盈率相對於行業的情況。

Is Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

吉林化纖股份有限公司是否有效地再投資其利潤?

Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd doesn't pay any regular dividends, meaning that the company is keeping all of its profits, which makes us wonder why it is retaining its earnings if it can't use them to grow its business. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

吉林化纖股份有限公司不支付任何定期股息,這意味着公司保留了所有利潤,這讓我們想知道爲什麼它保留了利潤,如果不能用它們來發展業務,那麼原因是什麼。看起來可能有其他原因來解釋這種缺乏,例如業務可能在下滑。

Summary

總的來說,我們對偉明環保的表現非常滿意。具體而言,我們喜歡公司以高回報率再投資了其利潤的很大一部分。當然,這導致公司的收益大幅增長。但是,最新的行業分析師預測表明,該公司的收益預計將加速增長。

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd can be open to many interpretations. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總的來說,我們認爲吉林化纖股份有限公司的表現可能有多種解釋。儘管它似乎保留了大部分利潤,但考慮到roe低,投資者可能並沒有從所有再投資中獲益。低盈利增長表明我們的理論是正確的。也就是說,最新的行業分析師預測顯示,分析師預計公司的盈利增長率將大幅提高。這些分析師的期望是基於對行業的廣泛預期,還是基於公司的基本面?點擊此處以進入我們的分析師預測頁面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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