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Is Hangjin Technology (SZSE:000818) A Risky Investment?

Is Hangjin Technology (SZSE:000818) A Risky Investment?

航錦科技(深圳證券交易所股票代碼:000818)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  05/27 22:35

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Hangjin Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000818) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

伯克希爾·哈撒韋旗下的外部基金經理李錄非常明確地表示:“最大的投資風險不是價格波動,而是您是否會遭受資本永久損失。” 因爲債務通常與業務崩潰有關,所以在評估業務風險時,考慮公司的資產負債表是很自然的。言歸正傳,航錦科技股份有限公司(深圳證券交易所:000818)確實有債務。 但更重要的問題是:這種債務造成了多少風險?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時有危險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

當公司無法通過自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格募集資本,無法輕易履行債務和其他負債時,債務和其他負債就會對公司構成風險。最終,如果公司無法履行其法定還款義務,則股東可能會一無所有。雖然這不太常見,但我們經常看到欠債的公司永久性地稀釋股東,因爲貸方迫使它們以窘迫的價格募集資本。當然,債務可以是企業尤其是資本重型企業的重要工具。考慮企業使用多少債務時,首要做法是將其現金和負債一起看。

What Is Hangjin Technology's Debt?

航錦科技的債務是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Hangjin Technology had CN¥1.31b of debt, an increase on CN¥658.4m, over one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥448.0m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥861.7m.

您可以點擊下面的圖形查看歷史數字,但截至2024年3月,航錦科技有13.1億人民幣的債務,較去年增加了6584萬人民幣。相反,它有4,4800萬元的現金,導致淨債務約爲861.7萬元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000818 Debt to Equity History May 28th 2024
深圳證券交易所:000818的負債/淨資產歷史數據於2024年5月28日。

A Look At Hangjin Technology's Liabilities

看看航錦科技的負債情況

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hangjin Technology had liabilities of CN¥2.23b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥618.3m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥448.0m in cash and CN¥1.42b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥976.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Zoom-in最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,航錦技術在12個月內有2230萬元人民幣的負債,超過6183萬元人民幣。相反,它有4,4800萬元的現金和14.2億人民幣的應收賬款,這些賬款在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總計超過現金和短期應收賬款近9760萬元人民幣。

Since publicly traded Hangjin Technology shares are worth a total of CN¥16.9b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

由於公開交易的航錦科技股票總價值約爲169億,因此似乎這種程度的負債不會構成重大威脅。但是,負債足夠大,我們當然建議股東繼續關注資產負債表的變化方向。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

爲了比較一個公司的債務與其收益的關係,我們計算其淨債務除以利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前的收益和利息前的收益(其利息覆蓋率)。因此,我們考慮了債務的絕對數量以及支付的利率。

Hangjin Technology's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.9 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 10.6 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. It is well worth noting that Hangjin Technology's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 78% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Hangjin Technology's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

航錦科技的淨債務/息稅折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA)比率約爲1.9,表明僅對債務進行了適度使用。其10.6倍的EBIT優勢意味着負債輕如孔雀羽毛。 值得注意的是,航錦科技的EBIT在過去十二個月中增長了78%。 這將使其更容易應對債務。 毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解債務最多。 但是,航錦科技的收益將影響資產負債表在未來的承受能力。 因此,在考慮債務時,確實值得關注收益趨勢。 點擊此處查看交互式快照。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Hangjin Technology burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最後,公司只能用現金償付債務,而不能用會計利潤償還債務。因此,我們需要清楚地了解EBIT是否帶來相應的自由現金流。在過去三年中,航錦科技燒掉了大量現金。雖然投資者無疑希望在適當的時候會有所反轉,但這顯然意味着其債務使用更加風險。

Our View

我們的觀點

Based on what we've seen Hangjin Technology is not finding it easy, given its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we are dazzled with its EBIT growth rate. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Hangjin Technology is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Hangjin Technology you should be aware of.

根據我們所見,航錦科技並不容易轉化EBIT爲自由現金流,但我們考慮的其他因素使我們有理由感到樂觀。尤其是,我們對其EBIT增長率感到折服。 如果考慮到以上提到的所有因素,則我們認爲航錦科技正在很好地管理其債務。 但是請注意,我們認爲債務水平已經足夠高,需要進行持續監測。分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的區域。 但是,最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表範圍的風險。 例如:我們發現航錦科技有2個警告信號需要注意。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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