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The Total Return for Federal Agricultural Mortgage (NYSE:AGM) Investors Has Risen Faster Than Earnings Growth Over the Last Five Years

The Total Return for Federal Agricultural Mortgage (NYSE:AGM) Investors Has Risen Faster Than Earnings Growth Over the Last Five Years

在過去五年中,聯邦農業抵押貸款(紐約證券交易所代碼:AGM)投資者的總回報率增長速度超過了收益的增長
Simply Wall St ·  05/29 07:37

When you buy shares in a company, it's worth keeping in mind the possibility that it could fail, and you could lose your money. But on the bright side, if you buy shares in a high quality company at the right price, you can gain well over 100%. For instance, the price of Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (NYSE:AGM) stock is up an impressive 142% over the last five years. In contrast, the stock has fallen 9.1% in the last 30 days. The company reported its financial results recently; you can catch up on the latest numbers by reading our company report.

當您購買一家公司的股票時,應注意可能會面臨公司破產和損失資金的風險。但好在,如果您以正確的價格購買高質量公司的股票,您可以獲得高達100%以上的收益。例如,聯邦農業抵押貸款公司(NYSE:AGM)的股票價格在過去五年中上漲了驚人的142%。相比之下,該股票在過去30天下跌了9.1%。該公司最近發佈了其財務業績報告,您可以通過閱讀我們的公司報告了解最新的數字。

While this past week has detracted from the company's five-year return, let's look at the recent trends of the underlying business and see if the gains have been in alignment.

雖然過去的一週削弱了公司的五年回報,但讓我們看看業務的最近趨勢,並查看收益是否已對齊。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

市場有時候是有效的,但價格並不總是反映公司的基本業務表現。通過比較每股收益和股價變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的看法如何隨着時間變化而變化。

During five years of share price growth, Federal Agricultural Mortgage achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 13% per year. This EPS growth is lower than the 19% average annual increase in the share price. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth.

在過去五年的股價增長期間,聯邦農業抵押貸款公司實現了每股收益(EPS)增長13%的複合增長率。這種EPS增長低於股價每年增長的19%的平均水平。因此,可以合理地假設市場對該業務的看法比五年前更高。鑑於增長的歷史記錄,這並不令人驚訝。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖顯示了EPS隨時間變化的情況(點擊圖像以顯示確切值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:AGM Earnings Per Share Growth May 29th 2024
NYSE:AGM的每股收益增長截至2024年5月29日。

We know that Federal Agricultural Mortgage has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? Check if analysts think Federal Agricultural Mortgage will grow revenue in the future.

我們知道聯邦農業抵押貸款公司的底線近期有所改善,但它是否會增長營業收入?請查看分析師是否認爲聯邦農業抵押貸款公司將來會增長營業收入。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Federal Agricultural Mortgage the TSR over the last 5 years was 190%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

除了衡量股價回報之外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報(TSR)。而股價回報僅反映了股價的變化,TSR包括股息的價值(假設股息被再投資)以及任何折價的資本籌集或剝離的利益。可以說,TSR提供了股票收益的更全面的圖片。我們注意到,聯邦農業抵押貸款公司過去5年的TSR爲190%,比上述股價回報要好。這在很大程度上是由於其股息支付造成的!

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

We're pleased to report that Federal Agricultural Mortgage shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 32% over one year. Of course, that includes the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 24% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Federal Agricultural Mortgage better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Federal Agricultural Mortgage .

我們很高興地報告,聯邦農業抵押貸款公司股東在一年內獲得了32%的股東總回報。當然,這包括股息。由於一年的TSR高於五年的TSR(後者爲每年24%),因此似乎該股票的表現近期有所改善。在最理想的情況下,這可能暗示着真正的業務動力,這意味着現在深入挖掘的時機可能非常好。跟蹤較長期的股價表現總是很有趣的。但是要更好地了解聯邦農業抵押貸款公司,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。爲此,您應該知道我們發現的1個警告信號,即聯邦農業抵押貸款公司。

We will like Federal Agricultural Mortgage better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我們看到一些大型內部人士購買,我們會更喜歡聯邦農業抵押貸款公司。在等待期間,請查看這份免費的低價股票(主要是小市值股票),其中包括最近的內部購買。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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