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Fonterra's Resilience Amidst Global Retreat

Fonterra's Resilience Amidst Global Retreat

恒天然在全球撤退中的韌性
sharecafe ·  05/29 02:03

Fonterra (ASX:FSF), the huge New Zealand-based dairy giant, might be on the retreat globally with a string of asset sales, but as far as the immediate outlook is concerned, it's quite upbeat.

新西蘭乳品巨頭恒天然(ASX:FSF)可能正在全球範圍內撤退,但就眼下來看,其遠景仍很樂觀。

Wednesday saw it reveal a slightly higher first estimate of its key farmgate milk price for the coming season, lift its earnings forecast for the current financial year, and add that it has seen a 'high volume of interest' in potential sale of consumer brands in Australia and New Zealand.

週三公佈了新西蘭恒天然即將到來的關鍵牛奶價格的稍高初步估計,提高了本財年的盈利預測,並表示在澳洲和新西蘭消費品牌的潛在銷售中已經看到了“高得多的興趣”。

Earnings from continuing operations edged up 2% in the third quarter to $NZ1.01 billion, but there was a 6% drop in EBIT from those businesses to $NZ1.44 billion.

持續經營業務的收益在第三季度增長了2%,爲10.1億新西蘭元,但這些業務的息稅前利潤下降了6%,至14.4億新西蘭元。

Its estimated earnings per share from continuing operations were 61 NZ cents, while reported earnings per share were 58 NZ cents.

持續經營業務的預計每股收益爲61新西蘭分,而報告的每股收益爲58新西蘭分。

Fonterra lifted its forecast for the 2024 financial year continuing operations' earnings range from 50-65 NZ cents per share to 60-70 NZ cents per share - that's a possible 20% improvement.

恒天然將2024年財政年持續經營業務收益區間從每股50-65新西蘭分提高到每股60-70新西蘭分,可能會實現20%的改善。

In addition, the opening forecast farmgate milk price for the 2024-25 season was set at $NZ7.25-$NZ8.75 per kgMS, with a midpoint of $NZ8.

此外,2024-2025年度的初始預測牛奶收購價格爲每千克7.25-8.75新西蘭元,其中點爲8新西蘭元。

Fonterra's current season forecast farmgate milk price remained unchanged at a midpoint of $NZ7.80 per kgMS, with a narrowed range of $NZ7.70-$NZ7.90 per kgMS. Directors said the rise in third-quarter earnings was "driven by continued strong earnings across all three of the Co-op's product channels."

恒天然當前的季節預測牛奶收購價格中點保持不變,爲每千克7.8新西蘭元,區間縮小爲7.7-7.9新西蘭元/千克奶固物。董事們表示,第三季度收益的增長是“由合作社的三個產品渠道的持續強勁收益推動的”。

CEO Miles Hurrell says the Co-op's Foodservice and Consumer channels, in particular, had a strong third quarter with a lift in earnings compared to the same time last year.

首席執行官邁爾斯·哈勒爾表示,合作社的食品服務和消費者渠道尤其在第三季度表現強勁,收益相比去年同期有所提高。

The company noted that Global Dairy Trade (GDT) prices have risen in the past couple of months, back to levels seen around the start of this year.

該公司指出,在過去幾個月中,全球乳製品貿易(GDT)價格已經上漲,回到了今年年初的水平。

"Our current season forecast Farmgate Milk Price midpoint remains unchanged at $7.80 per kgMS and as we are nearing the end of the season, we have narrowed the range to $7.70-$7.90 per kgMS.

哈勒爾表示:“我們當前季節的預測收購牛奶價格中點保持不變,爲每千克7.8新西蘭元,由於進入季節末,我們將區間縮小到7.7-7.9新西蘭元/千克奶固物。”

"Looking to the 2024/25 season, milk supply and demand dynamics remain finely balanced and China import volumes have not yet recovered to historic levels.

哈勒爾說:“展望2024/25年,牛奶供需動態仍然處於微妙的平衡狀態,中國進口量尚未恢復到歷史水平。鑑於季節早期,前景的不確定性以及全球市場的持續波動風險,我們以謹慎的態度開始季節。我們的開盤預測區間爲每千克7.25-8.75新西蘭元,其中點爲每千克8新西蘭元。”

"Given the early point in the season, the uncertainty in the outlook and ongoing risk of volatility in global markets, we are starting the season with a cautious approach. Our opening forecast range is $7.25-$8.75 per kgMS with a midpoint of $8.00 per kgMS," says Mr Hurrell.

哈勒爾表示:“恒天然說,相應業務(在澳洲、新西蘭和斯里蘭卡)的消費者和關聯業務引起了許多關注。在這個過程中,仍處於早期階段,我們還在推進更新的戰略工作,並期望在未來幾個月內分享更多細節。”

"Fonterra said its sales volumes were up slightly on last year by 1%, due to higher sales volumes in its Foodservice and Consumer channels.

恒天然的銷售量較去年略有增長,增長1%,這歸因於其食品服務和消費者渠道的銷售量有所增加。

"We also saw price relativities ease over the quarter, and we anticipate them to narrow further in Q4 as they return to more historic levels.

“我們也看到相對價格在本季度有所放緩,預計它們將在第四季度進一步縮小,因爲它們將回歸到更加歷史悠久的水平。”

"Gross margins remain strong across all three channels as our in-market teams continue to drive pricing and volume. Foodservice and Consumer volumes are up 4% and 7% respectively year on year, with margins consistent with Q2," the CEO said.

首席執行官表示:“我們市場團隊繼續推動價格和銷量,所有三個渠道的毛利仍然強勁。食品服務和消費者銷量分別同比增長了4%和7%,利潤率與第二季度持平。”

And in an update of the major strategy switch announced several weeks ago, Hurrell said Fonterra has seen a lot of interest in its consumer and associated business (in Australia, NZ, and Sri Lanka).

在更新數週前宣佈的重大戰略轉變中,哈勒爾表示,恒天然已經看到了其澳洲、新西蘭和斯里蘭卡的消費者和相關業務的很多興趣。

"It's still early days in this process, and we are also progressing work on our updated strategy and expect to share further detail over the coming months," according to Mr. Hurrell.

哈勒爾表示:“這個過程仍然處於早期階段,我們也在推進更新的戰略工作,並期望在未來幾個月內分享更多細節。”

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