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The Five-year Earnings Decline Is Not Helping Shanghai Aj GroupLtd's (SHSE:600643 Share Price, as Stock Falls Another 5.3% in Past Week

The Five-year Earnings Decline Is Not Helping Shanghai Aj GroupLtd's (SHSE:600643 Share Price, as Stock Falls Another 5.3% in Past Week

五年收益的下降對上海安傑集團有限公司(SHSE: 600643)的股價沒有幫助,因爲過去一週股價又下跌了5.3%
Simply Wall St ·  05/29 18:32

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But every investor is virtually certain to have both over-performing and under-performing stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Shanghai Aj Group Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600643), since the last five years saw the share price fall 54%.

爲了證明選擇個股投資的價值,努力打敗市場指數基金的回報是值得的。但是每位投資者都幾乎肯定會有超額表現和低於預期回報的股票。此時,一些股東可能在質疑他們對上海愛建集團股份有限公司(SHSE:600643)的投資,因爲過去五年股價下跌了54%。

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

考慮到過去一週對股東來說是艱難的,讓我們調查一下基本面並看看我們能學到什麼。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

市場有時無疑是高效的,但價格並不總是反映基礎業務表現。 一種檢查市場情緒如何隨時間改變的方法是查看公司的股價與每股收益(EPS)之間的互動。

Looking back five years, both Shanghai Aj GroupLtd's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 71% per year. This was, in part, due to extraordinary items impacting earnings. The share price decline of 14% per year isn't as bad as the EPS decline. So the market may previously have expected a drop, or else it expects the situation will improve. The high P/E ratio of 2.86k suggests that shareholders believe earnings will grow in the years ahead.

回顧過去五年,上海愛建集團股份有限公司的股價和每股收益均下降,後者年均下降率爲71%,部分原因是非常規項目對盈利的影響。每年下跌14%的股價下跌速度不如每股收益下降速度快。因此,市場可能之前預期會有下跌,或者預計情況會有所改善。高達0.286萬的市盈率表明股東相信未來幾年收益將增長。

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下面的圖片中查看每股收益如何隨時間變化(單擊圖表以查看確切的價值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:600643 Earnings Per Share Growth May 29th 2024
SHSE:600643每股收益增長2024年5月29日

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

在購買或出售股票之前,我們始終建議仔細研究歷史增長趨勢,此處提供。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Shanghai Aj GroupLtd the TSR over the last 5 years was -47%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是考慮總股東回報(TSR)和股票回報之間的差異。 TSR包括任何剝離或折讓的資本籌集(基於股息被重新投資的假設),以及任何股息。因此,對於支付慷慨的股息公司而言,TSR通常比股票回報高得多。就中國神威藥業集團而言,其TSR在過去5年中達到了75%。這超過了我們之前提到的股票回報。該公司支付的股息已經提高了總股東回報。總股東回報股票回報相對於股價回報僅反映股價變動,綜合回報率還包括股息的價值(假設它們被再投資)以及任何折價資本籌集或分拆帶來的利益。可以說,綜合回報率更全面地展現了股票產生的回報情況。我們注意到,對於上海愛建集團股份有限公司,過去5年的綜合回報率爲-47%,比上述股價回報率要好。而且,毫無疑問,股息支付很大程度上解釋了這種差異!

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

While the broader market lost about 10% in the twelve months, Shanghai Aj GroupLtd shareholders did even worse, losing 18% (even including dividends). Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 8% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Shanghai Aj GroupLtd (2 are significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

儘管更廣泛的市場在過去12個月中損失約10%,但上海愛建集團股份有限公司的股東表現得更差,虧損了18%(包括股息)。儘管如此,在熊市中有些股票被過度拋售是不可避免的。關鍵是要關注基本面的發展。不幸的是,去年的表現表明存在未解決的挑戰,因爲它比過去半個世紀的年化虧損率8%還要糟糕。我們知道,羅斯柴爾德男爵曾說過:“在街頭湧出鮮血時買股票”,但我們警告說,投資者首先應該確定他們正在購買高質量的企業。雖然考慮市場條件對股價可能產生的不同影響非常重要,但有其他更重要的因素。例如,我們發現了4個警示信號,包括2個重大警示信號,你在此投資之前一定要了解。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.

如果您像我一樣,就不會希望錯過這份免費的內部人士正在購買的低估小市值股票列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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