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Here's Why We're Not At All Concerned With HUYA's (NYSE:HUYA) Cash Burn Situation

Here's Why We're Not At All Concerned With HUYA's (NYSE:HUYA) Cash Burn Situation

這就是爲什麼我們根本不關心HUYA(紐約證券交易所代碼:HUYA)的現金消耗情況的原因
Simply Wall St ·  05/30 09:50

Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But while history lauds those rare successes, those that fail are often forgotten; who remembers Pets.com?

即使業務虧損,如果股東以正確的價格買入好的業務,仍然有可能賺錢。例如,生物科技和礦業勘探公司經常在發現新的治療方法或礦產資源前多年虧損。但儘管歷史上讚揚那些罕見的成功案例,但失敗的公司往往被遺忘;誰還會記得Pets.com呢?

So, the natural question for HUYA (NYSE:HUYA) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.

那麼,對於虎牙股東而言,現金燒損速度是否令人擔憂呢?爲了本文的目的,現金燃燒是負盈利公司爲資助其增長而支出現金的年度速度;它的負自由現金流。讓我們先來看看公司現金相對於其現金燒損的情況。

How Long Is HUYA's Cash Runway?

虎牙現金的剩餘時間是多少?一個公司的現金儲備可用時間是指以其當前的現金燒損速率每年燃燒其現金儲備所需的時間。最後一次披露業績是在2024年3月,當時虎牙沒有債務,現金價值爲72億元人民幣。重要的是,其現金燃燒在過去的十二個月內爲1.63億人民幣。這意味着截至2024年3月,它有很多年的現金儲備。然而,值得注意的是,分析師們認爲虎牙會在那之前(在自由現金流水平上)實現盈虧平衡。如果發生這種情況,那麼它的現金剩餘時間,在今天就將變得不再重要。下圖展示了虎牙現金餘額在過去幾年中的變動情況。

A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. When HUYA last reported its March 2024 balance sheet in May 2024, it had zero debt and cash worth CN¥7.2b. Importantly, its cash burn was CN¥163m over the trailing twelve months. That means it had a cash runway of very many years as of March 2024. Notably, however, analysts think that HUYA will break even (at a free cash flow level) before then. If that happens, then the length of its cash runway, today, would become a moot point. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

一家公司的現金儲備可用時間是指以其當前的現金燒損速率每年燃燒其現金儲備所需的時間。雖然虎牙在現金儲備方面做得很好,但它的經營收入在同一時期下降了25%。鑑於上述因素,評估公司隨時間變化的方式並不比較差。儘管過去總是值得研究的,但最重要的還是未來。因此,審視一下公司的分析師預測是很有意義的。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:HUYA Debt to Equity History May 30th 2024
NYSE:虎牙資產負債歷史記錄2024年5月30日

How Well Is HUYA Growing?

令人高興的是,虎牙在現金燒損方面正在朝着正確的方向發展,去年下降了65%。不幸的是,同一時期其經營收入下降了25%。考慮到以上因素,在評估公司隨時間變化的方式時,公司表現得並不差。雖然過去總是值得研究的,但最重要的還是未來。因此,審視一下公司的分析師預測是很有意義的。

Happily, HUYA is travelling in the right direction when it comes to its cash burn, which is down 65% over the last year. Unfortunately, however, operating revenue dropped 25% during the same time frame. Considering the factors above, the company doesn't fare badly when it comes to assessing how it is changing over time. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.

虎牙爲更多增長而籌集資金有多難?雖然虎牙似乎處於不錯的位置,但如果需要的話,仍有必要考慮它籌集更多資金的可行性。公司可以通過債務或股本來籌集資本。許多公司最終發行新股票來爲未來的增長籌集資金。我們可以將一家公司的現金燒損與其市值相比較,以了解公司需要發行多少新股票才能爲一年的經營活動籌集資金。

How Hard Would It Be For HUYA To Raise More Cash For Growth?

虎牙爲更多增長而籌集資金有多難?雖然虎牙似乎處於不錯的位置,但如果需要的話,仍有必要考慮它籌集更多資金的可行性。公司可以通過債務或股本來籌集資本。許多公司最終發行新股票來爲未來的增長籌集資金。我們可以將一家公司的現金燒損與其市值相比較,以了解公司需要發行多少新股票才能爲一年的經營活動籌集資金。

While HUYA seems to be in a decent position, we reckon it is still worth thinking about how easily it could raise more cash, if that proved desirable. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

虎牙爲更多增長而籌集資金有多難?雖然虎牙似乎處於不錯的位置,但如果需要的話,仍有必要考慮它籌集更多資金的可行性。公司可以通過債務或股本來籌集資本。許多公司最終發行新股票來爲未來的增長籌集資金。我們可以將一家公司的現金燒損與其市值相比較,以了解公司需要發行多少新股票才能爲一年的經營活動籌集資金。

HUYA has a market capitalisation of CN¥8.8b and burnt through CN¥163m last year, which is 1.8% of the company's market value. That means it could easily issue a few shares to fund more growth, and might well be in a position to borrow cheaply.

虎牙的市值爲88億元人民幣,去年燒掉了1.63億元人民幣,佔公司市值的1.8%。這意味着它可以輕鬆發行一些股票來籌集更多資金,並且很可能可以借入低成本資金。

Is HUYA's Cash Burn A Worry?

虎牙的現金燒損情況是否令人擔憂?正如您現在可以看出的那樣,我們對虎牙的現金燒損並不擔心。特別是,我們認爲它的現金剩餘時間是公司控制支出的明顯證據。儘管其營收下滑使我們有些擔心,但我們上文討論的其他一些指標還是給出了一個整體積極的預測。顯然,分析師們預測公司很快就會盈虧平衡,這非常正面。綜合考慮本報告中的所有因素,我們對公司的現金燒損毫不擔心,因爲該公司的資本處於良好的狀態,可以投入所需的資金。讀者應該認識到可能會影響公司運營的風險,並且我們爲虎牙選擇了1個投資者在購買該股票時應知道的警示信號。

As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about HUYA's cash burn. In particular, we think its cash runway stands out as evidence that the company is well on top of its spending. Although its falling revenue does give us reason for pause, the other metrics we discussed in this article form a positive picture overall. It's clearly very positive to see that analysts are forecasting the company will break even fairly soon. Taking all the factors in this report into account, we're not at all worried about its cash burn, as the business appears well capitalized to spend as needs be. Its important for readers to be cognizant of the risks that can affect the company's operations, and we've picked out 1 warning sign for HUYA that investors should know when investing in the stock.

虎牙的現金燒損情況是否令人擔憂?正如您現在可以看出的那樣,我們對虎牙的現金燒損並不擔心。特別是,我們認爲它的現金剩餘時間是公司控制支出的明顯證據。儘管其營收下滑使我們有些擔心,但我們上文討論的其他一些指標還是給出了一個整體積極的預測。顯然,分析師們預測公司很快就會盈虧平衡,這非常正面。綜合考慮本報告中的所有因素,我們對公司的現金燒損毫不擔心,因爲該公司的資本處於良好的狀態,可以投入所需的資金。讀者應該認識到可能會影響公司運營的風險,並且我們爲虎牙選擇了1個投資者在購買該股票時應知道的警示信號。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies with significant insider holdings, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

當然,您可能通過在其他地方尋找發現一筆極好的投資。所以請查看這份擁有重要內部持股的公司免費榜單,以及這份根據分析師預測的增長率列出的股票榜單。

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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