China Renewable Energy Investment Limited (HKG:987) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 29% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 25% in the last twelve months.
Since its price has surged higher, China Renewable Energy Investment's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.4x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 9x and even P/E's below 5x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
For example, consider that China Renewable Energy Investment's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for China Renewable Energy Investment, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is China Renewable Energy Investment's Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like China Renewable Energy Investment's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 25%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 73% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 21% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's alarming that China Renewable Energy Investment's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From China Renewable Energy Investment's P/E?
The large bounce in China Renewable Energy Investment's shares has lifted the company's P/E to a fairly high level. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that China Renewable Energy Investment currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Having said that, be aware China Renewable Energy Investment is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is potentially serious.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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