share_log

Is Perfect World (SZSE:002624) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Perfect World (SZSE:002624) Using Too Much Debt?

完美世界 (SZSE: 002624) 是否使用過多的債務?
Simply Wall St ·  05/31 20:12

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Perfect World Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002624) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

作爲投資者,有人認爲波動性而不是債務是最好的風險考慮方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過,“波動性遠非風險的同義詞。”所以聰明的投資者明白,債務通常與破產有關,是評估公司風險的非常重要的因素。重要的是,完美世界(Perfect World Co., Ltd.)(SZSE:002624)確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這些債務造成了多大的風險?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

債務對企業有所幫助,直到企業開始用新資本或自由現金流償還債務。在最糟糕的情況下,如果企業無法償還債權人,則會破產。儘管這種情況不太常見,我們經常看到負債企業由於貸方強迫他們以低於正常價格的價格籌集資本而導致股東永久性稀釋情況發生。當然,許多公司使用債務來資助成長,沒有任何負面影響。考慮一家公司的債務水平的第一步是將其現金和債務合併考慮。

What Is Perfect World's Debt?

完美世界的債務是什麼?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Perfect World had CN¥540.6m of debt, an increase on CN¥450.9m, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥4.43b in cash, so it actually has CN¥3.89b net cash.

您可以單擊下面的圖表查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2024年3月,完美世界的債務爲人民幣5.406億元,較一年前的人民幣4.509億元增加。然而,它的資產負債表顯示,它持有人民幣44.3億元的現金,因此實際上有人民幣38.9億元的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002624 Debt to Equity History June 1st 2024
SZSE:002624的債務股本比歷史記錄從2024年6月1日開始

How Strong Is Perfect World's Balance Sheet?

完美世界的資產負債表有多強?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Perfect World had liabilities of CN¥3.74b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.55b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥4.43b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.03b due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥158.6m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

聚焦最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到完美世界有374億元的12個月內到期的短期負債和155億元的長期負債。抵消這些義務,它持有443億元現金以及價值103億元的應收賬款,其中在12個月內到期的應收賬款爲103億元。所以它實際上有1.586億元的淨現金。總負債還多出了更多的流動資產。

This state of affairs indicates that Perfect World's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥18.2b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Simply put, the fact that Perfect World has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這種情況表明完美世界的資產負債表看起來相當穩健,因爲其總負債幾乎等於其流動資產。因此,這182億元公司非常不可能現金不足,但仍需關注資產負債表。簡而言之,完美世界擁有比債務更多的現金,可能是其能安全管理債務的良好跡象。

It is just as well that Perfect World's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 93% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Perfect World's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

很幸運,完美世界的負擔並不太重,因爲它的EBIt在過去一年中下降了93%。萎縮的盈利(如果趨勢持續)可能會使即使是適度的債務也變得相當風險。明顯的重點是資產負債表,但未來盈利,尤其是今後決定完美世界能否保持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您想知道專業人士的想法,您可能會發現此免費分析師利潤預測報告有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Perfect World has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Perfect World generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 91% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

但是,我們的最後一項考慮也很重要,因爲一家公司無法用紙質利潤支付債務;它需要冷硬的現金。雖然完美世界的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得看一看其將利息和稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解它正在以多快的速度增加(或侵蝕)現金餘額。在過去的三年中,完美世界產生了非常強勁的自由現金流,相當於其EBIt的91%,超過我們的預期。這使其有很好的機會,如果需要的話,償還債務。

Summing Up

總之

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Perfect World has net cash of CN¥3.89b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with free cash flow of -CN¥4.4m, being 91% of its EBIT. So we don't have any problem with Perfect World's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Perfect World (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored) .

雖然我們對那些擔心債務的投資者表示同情,但您應該記住,完美世界有38.9億元的淨現金,以及比負債更多的流動資產。並且它以-440萬元的自由現金流給我們留下了深刻的印象,相當於其EBIt的91%。所以,我們對完美世界使用債務沒有任何問題。顯然,資產負債表是分析債務的主要區域。但最終,每個公司都可能存在超出資產負債表的風險。因此,您應該了解我們發現的3個警告標誌,其中包括1個不容忽視的警告標誌。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論