share_log

Why It Might Not Make Sense To Buy Fujian Minfa Aluminium Inc. (SZSE:002578) For Its Upcoming Dividend

Why It Might Not Make Sense To Buy Fujian Minfa Aluminium Inc. (SZSE:002578) For Its Upcoming Dividend

爲什麼爲即將到來的股息收購福建民發鋁業有限公司(SZSE:002578)可能沒有意義
Simply Wall St ·  06/01 21:55

Fujian Minfa Aluminium Inc. (SZSE:002578) stock is about to trade ex-dividend in 3 days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date, which is the cut-off date for shareholders to be present on the company's books to be eligible for a dividend payment. It is important to be aware of the ex-dividend date because any trade on the stock needs to have been settled on or before the record date. Meaning, you will need to purchase Fujian Minfa Aluminium's shares before the 6th of June to receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 6th of June.

The company's next dividend payment will be CN¥0.04 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of CN¥0.04 per share. Last year's total dividend payments show that Fujian Minfa Aluminium has a trailing yield of 1.3% on the current share price of CN¥3.05. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. So we need to check whether the dividend payments are covered, and if earnings are growing.

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. Fujian Minfa Aluminium distributed an unsustainably high 138% of its profit as dividends to shareholders last year. Without extenuating circumstances, we'd consider the dividend at risk of a cut. A useful secondary check can be to evaluate whether Fujian Minfa Aluminium generated enough free cash flow to afford its dividend. Fujian Minfa Aluminium paid a dividend despite reporting negative free cash flow last year. That's typically a bad combination and - if this were more than a one-off - not sustainable.

It's disappointing to see that the dividend was not covered by profits, but cash is more important from a dividend sustainability perspective, and Fujian Minfa Aluminium fortunately did generate enough cash to fund its dividend. If executives were to continue paying more in dividends than the company reported in profits, we'd view this as a warning sign. Very few companies are able to sustainably pay dividends larger than their reported earnings.

Click here to see how much of its profit Fujian Minfa Aluminium paid out over the last 12 months.

historic-dividend
SZSE:002578 Historic Dividend June 2nd 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

When earnings decline, dividend companies become much harder to analyse and own safely. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. With that in mind, we're discomforted by Fujian Minfa Aluminium's 7.1% per annum decline in earnings in the past five years. Such a sharp decline casts doubt on the future sustainability of the dividend.

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. It looks like the Fujian Minfa Aluminium dividends are largely the same as they were nine years ago. When earnings are declining yet the dividends are flat, typically the company is either paying out a higher portion of its earnings, or paying out of cash or debt on the balance sheet, neither of which is ideal.

The Bottom Line

Is Fujian Minfa Aluminium an attractive dividend stock, or better left on the shelf? It's looking like an unattractive opportunity, with its earnings per share declining, while, paying out an uncomfortably high percentage of both its profits (138%) and cash flow as dividends. Unless there are grounds to believe a turnaround is imminent, this is one of the least attractive dividend stocks under this analysis. Overall it doesn't look like the most suitable dividend stock for a long-term buy and hold investor.

With that in mind though, if the poor dividend characteristics of Fujian Minfa Aluminium don't faze you, it's worth being mindful of the risks involved with this business. To help with this, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Fujian Minfa Aluminium (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you ought to be aware of before buying the shares.

Generally, we wouldn't recommend just buying the first dividend stock you see. Here's a curated list of interesting stocks that are strong dividend payers.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論