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Improved Earnings Required Before Xingye Wulian Service Group Co. Ltd. (HKG:9916) Stock's 30% Jump Looks Justified

Improved Earnings Required Before Xingye Wulian Service Group Co. Ltd. (HKG:9916) Stock's 30% Jump Looks Justified

興業五聯服務集團有限公司需要提高收入Ltd. (HKG: 9916) 股價上漲30%看起來是合理的
Simply Wall St ·  06/02 20:21

Xingye Wulian Service Group Co. Ltd. (HKG:9916) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month alone. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 4.5% isn't as attractive.

Although its price has surged higher, Xingye Wulian Service Group may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 6.5x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios greater than 10x and even P/E's higher than 19x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Xingye Wulian Service Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:9916 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 3rd 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Xingye Wulian Service Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Xingye Wulian Service Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 15%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 12% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 21% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's understandable that Xingye Wulian Service Group's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent earnings trends are already weighing down the shares.

The Key Takeaway

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Xingye Wulian Service Group's P/E close to the market median. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Xingye Wulian Service Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its sliding earnings over the medium-term, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Xingye Wulian Service Group that we have uncovered.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Xingye Wulian Service Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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