Investors in Waste Connections (NYSE:WCN) Have Seen Favorable Returns of 82% Over the Past Five Years
Investors in Waste Connections (NYSE:WCN) Have Seen Favorable Returns of 82% Over the Past Five Years
If you buy and hold a stock for many years, you'd hope to be making a profit. Furthermore, you'd generally like to see the share price rise faster than the market. But Waste Connections, Inc. (NYSE:WCN) has fallen short of that second goal, with a share price rise of 75% over five years, which is below the market return. Looking at the last year alone, the stock is up 19%.
如果你買了股票並持有多年,你肯定希望能賺錢。此外,你也希望看到股價的上漲速度高於市場平均水平。但Waste Connections, Inc.(NYSE:WCN)沒有完成第二個目標,股價在五年內上漲了75%,低於市場回報。僅看上一年,該股上漲了19%。
Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.
現在值得更詳細地了解該公司的基本面,因爲這將幫助我們判斷長期股東回報是否與基礎業務的表現相匹配。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
爲了概述本傑明·格雷厄姆(Benjamin Graham)的話:短期內,市場是一臺投票機,但長期來看,它是一臺衡重機。思考一家公司的市場感知如何轉變的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)變化與股價變動進行比較。
During five years of share price growth, Waste Connections achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 8.2% per year. This EPS growth is lower than the 12% average annual increase in the share price. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth. This favorable sentiment is reflected in its (fairly optimistic) P/E ratio of 53.32.
在五年的股價增長期間,Waste Connections的每股收益(EPS)增長率達到了每年8.2%的複合增長率。這種EPS增長低於股價每年平均增長率12%。因此我們可以認爲市場對該公司的看法比五年前更高。鑑於其創業板板塊的業績記錄,這並不奇怪。這種良好的情緒反映在其(相當樂觀的)市盈率達到53.32。
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
該公司的每股收益(隨時間的推移)如下圖所示(單擊可查看確切數字)。
We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..
我們很高興報告說,該公司的CEO薪酬比同等資本化公司中的大多數CEO要低得多。但是,儘管CEO薪酬值得檢查,但真正重要的問題是該公司是否能夠在未來增長收益。在買入或賣出股票之前,我們始終建議進行歷史增長趨勢的仔細研究,可以在這裏獲得歷史數據。
What About Dividends?
那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Waste Connections, it has a TSR of 82% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
在考慮投資回報時,重要的是考慮總股東回報(TSR)和股票回報之間的差異。 TSR包括任何剝離或折讓的資本籌集(基於股息被重新投資的假設),以及任何股息。因此,對於支付慷慨的股息公司而言,TSR通常比股票回報高得多。就中國神威藥業集團而言,其TSR在過去5年中達到了75%。這超過了我們之前提到的股票回報。該公司支付的股息已經提高了總股東回報。總股東回報和股票回報TSR包括任何分拆或折價融資的價值,以及任何股息,這基於股息被再投資的假設。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。對於Waste Connections而言,其在過去五年中的TSR爲82%。這超過了我們先前提到的股價回報。這在很大程度上是其分紅款項的結果。
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
Waste Connections shareholders are up 20% for the year (even including dividends). But that return falls short of the market. The silver lining is that the gain was actually better than the average annual return of 13% per year over five year. This suggests the company might be improving over time. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Waste Connections that you should be aware of before investing here.
Waste Connections的股東們今年的收益率增長了20%(包括分紅派息)。但是這種回報還是低於市場水平。好消息是,這個增長實際上比過去五年平均年回報率13%要好。這表明該公司可能隨着時間的推移而不斷改善。我認爲,長期觀察股價是了解業務表現的一種替代方法,但要真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,在此之前我們已發現了Waste Connections的2個警示跡象,您在進行投資之前應該知道這些信息。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
當然,您可能在其他地方找到一家出色的企業進行投資。因此,請查看我們預計將實現盈利增長的公司的免費列表。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。