Is Giti Tire (SHSE:600182) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Giti Tire (SHSE:600182) Using Too Much Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Giti Tire Corporation (SHSE:600182) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
李璐(受Charlie Munger支持的傳奇基金經理)曾經說過,“最大的投資風險不是價格波動,而是你是否會遭受資本永久損失。”因此,當您考慮有關任何股票的風險時,需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會拖垮一家公司。重要的是,佳通輪胎股份有限公司(SHSE:600182)確實負有債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其使用債務?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時有危險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
通常情況下,只有當公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,債務才成爲真正的問題,要麼通過籌集資本或利用自有現金流來償還。 如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。 但更常見的情況是,公司合理管理債務並從中獲益,雖然痛苦但仍可承受。 在考慮公司債務水平的第一步是考慮其現金和債務。
What Is Giti Tire's Net Debt?
佳通輪胎淨負債是多少?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Giti Tire had CN¥695.0m in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it also had CN¥265.1m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥429.8m.
下圖顯示,您可以點擊進行詳細了解,2024年3月,佳通輪胎負債總額約爲69500萬元人民幣,與去年大致相同。 然而,它也持有26510萬元人民幣現金,因此其淨負債爲42980萬元人民幣。
How Healthy Is Giti Tire's Balance Sheet?
佳通輪胎資產負債表的健康狀況如何?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Giti Tire had liabilities of CN¥1.20b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥549.0m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥265.1m as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.97b due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥482.7m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,佳通輪胎有12億元人民幣的負債到期,之後還有5490萬元人民幣的負債即將到期。 在抵消這些責任時,它擁有26510萬元人民幣的現金,以及在12個月內到期的197億元人民幣的應收賬款。 因此,它實際擁有48270萬元人民幣。 比總負債還多出了更多的流動資產。
This short term liquidity is a sign that Giti Tire could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched.
這種短期流動性表明,佳通輪胎可能可以輕鬆償還其債務,因爲其資產負債表遠未過度擴張。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Service Corporation International的債務是其EBITDA的3.5倍,而其EBIT可覆蓋其利息開支的3.7倍。綜合考慮,雖然我們不希望看到債務水平上升,但我們認爲它可以應對當前的槓桿。好消息是,Service Corporation International在過去12個月中將其EBIT提高了2.9%,從而逐漸降低了其相對於收益的債務水平。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中獲得了有關債務的大部分內容。但是,相對於資產負債表,更重要的是未來收益,這將決定Service Corporation International維持健康資產負債表的能力。如果您關注未來,您可以查看此免費報告,其中有分析師的利潤預測。
Giti Tire has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.63. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 32.1 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Better yet, Giti Tire grew its EBIT by 219% last year, which is an impressive improvement. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Giti Tire will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
佳通輪胎的淨債務佔EBITDA比率僅爲0.63,而其EBIt的利息費用輕鬆覆蓋,規模爲32.1倍。 因此,我們對其極爲保守的債務使用感到非常放心。 更好的是,去年佳通輪胎的EBIt增長了219%,這是一個令人印象深刻的進步。 如果保持這種增長,未來幾年債務的風險將變得更加可控。 此外,當您分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的領域。 但是,您不能完全孤立地看待債務; 因爲佳通輪胎需要盈利來償還債務。 因此,如果您渴望發現有關其收益的更多信息,可能值得查看其長期收益趨勢的圖表。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, Giti Tire's free cash flow amounted to 33% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
最後,公司只能用實際的現金而不是會計利潤償還債務。 因此,值得檢查其中多少是由自由現金流支持的EBIt。 在過去三年中,佳通輪胎的自由現金流總額相當於其EBIt的33%,低於我們的預期。 這種薄弱的現金轉化使處理負債更加困難。
Our View
我們的觀點
The good news is that Giti Tire's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Looking at the bigger picture, we think Giti Tire's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Giti Tire that you should be aware of.
好消息是,佳通輪胎展示了用其EBIt支付利息費用的能力,這就像小狗對幼兒的歡喜一樣令我們高興。 但是,更加嚴峻的是,我們有點擔心其EBIt轉換成自由現金流。 從更大的圖片來看,我們認爲佳通輪胎使用債務的方式似乎相當合理,我們對此並不擔心。 雖然債務確實存在風險,但是如果明智地使用,則可以帶來更高的股本回報率。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。