Sino Gas Holdings Group Limited (HKG:1759) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 32% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Looking further back, the 17% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.
Since its price has surged higher, Sino Gas Holdings Group may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15.9x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios under 9x and even P/E's lower than 5x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
For instance, Sino Gas Holdings Group's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Sino Gas Holdings Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Sino Gas Holdings Group's Growth Trending?
Sino Gas Holdings Group's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 21%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 30% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 21% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's alarming that Sino Gas Holdings Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Sino Gas Holdings Group's P/E
The strong share price surge has got Sino Gas Holdings Group's P/E rushing to great heights as well. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Sino Gas Holdings Group revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
It is also worth noting that we have found 5 warning signs for Sino Gas Holdings Group (2 are a bit concerning!) that you need to take into consideration.
You might be able to find a better investment than Sino Gas Holdings Group. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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Sino Gas控股集團有限公司(HKG:1759)的股東無疑很高興看到股價在過去一個月內反彈了32%,儘管它仍然在努力彌補最近失去的地盤。更進一步看,儘管在過去的30天中表現強勁,但在過去12個月中升值17%並不算太糟糕。