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Is MSA Safety (NYSE:MSA) A Risky Investment?

Is MSA Safety (NYSE:MSA) A Risky Investment?

MSA Safety(紐交所:msa safety)是否是一個高風險投資?
Simply Wall St ·  06/05 14:42

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, MSA Safety Incorporated (NYSE:MSA) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露對此毫不掩飾,他說:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。重要的是,MSA安全公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:MSA)確實有債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更頻繁(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是同時考慮其現金和債務。

What Is MSA Safety's Net Debt?

什麼是MSA Safety的淨負債?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that MSA Safety had US$596.2m of debt in March 2024, down from US$869.6m, one year before. However, it also had US$148.3m in cash, and so its net debt is US$447.8m.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示MSA Safety在2024年3月有5.962億美元的債務,低於一年前的8.696億美元。但是,它也有1.483億美元的現金,因此其淨負債爲4.478億美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:MSA Debt to Equity History June 5th 2024
紐約證券交易所:MSA 債務與股本比率歷史記錄 2024 年 6 月 5 日

A Look At MSA Safety's Liabilities

看看 MSA Safety 的責任

According to the last reported balance sheet, MSA Safety had liabilities of US$316.5m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$863.1m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$148.3m and US$279.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$752.2m.

根據上次報告的資產負債表,MSA Safety的負債爲3.165億美元,12個月以後到期的負債爲8.631億美元。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲1.483億美元,還有價值2.791億美元的應收賬款。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額7.522億美元。

Given MSA Safety has a market capitalization of US$6.95b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

鑑於MSA Safety的市值爲69.5億美元,很難相信這些負債會構成很大的威脅。話雖如此,很明顯,我們應該繼續監控其資產負債表,以免情況惡化。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

爲了擴大公司相對於收益的負債規模,我們計算其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),將其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)除以利息支出(利息保障)。這樣,我們既考慮債務的絕對數量,也考慮爲債務支付的利率。

MSA Safety has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.94. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 10.9 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Another good sign is that MSA Safety has been able to increase its EBIT by 27% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if MSA Safety can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

MSA Safety的淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比率很低,僅爲0.94。其息稅前利潤可支付其高達10.9倍的利息支出。因此,你可以爭辯說,它受到債務的威脅並不比大象受到老鼠的威脅更大。另一個好兆頭是,MSA Safety能夠在十二個月內將其息稅前利潤提高27%,從而更容易償還債務。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但最終,該業務的未來盈利能力將決定MSA Safety能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, MSA Safety recorded free cash flow of 32% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。因此,值得檢查一下息稅前利潤中有多少是由自由現金流支持的。縱觀最近三年,MSA Safety的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤的32%,低於我們的預期。這種疲軟的現金轉換使得處理債務變得更加困難。

Our View

我們的觀點

Happily, MSA Safety's impressive EBIT growth rate implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But truth be told we feel its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow does undermine this impression a bit. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that MSA Safety takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that MSA Safety is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

令人高興的是,MSA Safety令人印象深刻的息稅前利潤增長率意味着其債務佔上風。但說實話,我們認爲它將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流確實稍微破壞了這種印象。考慮到所有這些數據,在我們看來,MSA Safety對債務採取了相當明智的態度。儘管這帶來了一些風險,但也可以提高股東的回報。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。請注意,在我們的投資分析中,MSA Safety顯示出兩個警告信號,您應該知道...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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