Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Shanghai Yanhua Smartech Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002178) share price has dived 31% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 18% in that time.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Construction industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1x, you may still consider Shanghai Yanhua Smartech Group as a stock not worth researching with its 3.2x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
How Shanghai Yanhua Smartech Group Has Been Performing
Shanghai Yanhua Smartech Group has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing revenue at a reasonable pace. It might be that many expect the reasonable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shanghai Yanhua Smartech Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shanghai Yanhua Smartech Group?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shanghai Yanhua Smartech Group would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 6.3% gain to the company's revenues. Still, lamentably revenue has fallen 1.1% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 15% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that Shanghai Yanhua Smartech Group is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Shanghai Yanhua Smartech Group's P/S
Shanghai Yanhua Smartech Group's shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've established that Shanghai Yanhua Smartech Group currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shanghai Yanhua Smartech Group you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shanghai Yanhua Smartech Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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