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Clarivate (NYSE:CLVT) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 78% If They Invested Three Years Ago

Clarivate (NYSE:CLVT) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 78% If They Invested Three Years Ago

如果三年前投資Clarivate(紐交所:CLVT),投資者將會蒙受78%的損失。
Simply Wall St ·  06/07 08:21

As every investor would know, not every swing hits the sweet spot. But you have a problem if you face massive losses more than once in a while. So take a moment to sympathize with the long term shareholders of Clarivate Plc (NYSE:CLVT), who have seen the share price tank a massive 78% over a three year period. That'd be enough to cause even the strongest minds some disquiet. And the ride hasn't got any smoother in recent times over the last year, with the price 31% lower in that time. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 19% in the last 90 days.

正如每個投資者所知道的那樣,並不是每次揮杆都能命中好球。但如果你經常遭受巨額損失,那麼就有問題。因此,請花一點時間同情Clarivate Plc (NYSE:CLVT)的長期股東,他們已經看到股價在三年的時間內暴跌了78%。這足以使即使是最強大的人也有點不安。而最近一年的演示沒有變得更加平穩,股價下跌了31%。股東最近的運氣甚至更糟,股價在過去90天中下跌了19%。

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

鑑於此,值得看看該公司的基本面是否一直是長期業績的驅動因素,或者是否存在一些不一致之處。

Clarivate wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally hope to see good revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

在過去的十二個月中,Clarivate並沒有盈利,因此其股價與每股收益(EPS)之間的關係不大可能很強。有人說營業收入是我們的下一個最佳選擇。當一家公司沒有盈利時,我們通常希望看到良好的營業收入增長。這是因爲快速的營業收入增長可以很容易地推斷出利潤,這通常是相當大的。

Over three years, Clarivate grew revenue at 18% per year. That's a pretty good rate of top-line growth. So it's hard to believe the share price decline of 21% per year is due to the revenue. More likely, the market was spooked by the cost of that revenue. This is exactly why investors need to diversify - even when a loss making company grows revenue, it can fail to deliver for shareholders.

在三年的時間裏,Clarivate的營業收入每年增長18%,這是相當不錯的營業收入增長率。因此,很難相信每年下跌21%的股價是由於營業收入造成的。更有可能的是,市場對這些營收成本感到緊張。這正是投資者需要分散投資的原因-即使是虧損的公司增長了營業收入,也可能未能爲股東帶來回報。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

以下圖像顯示了公司的營業收入和盈利(隨時間變化)(單擊以查看準確的數字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:CLVT Earnings and Revenue Growth June 7th 2024
NYSE:CLVT收益和營業收入增長2024年6月7日

Clarivate is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

Clarivate是一支知名的股票,有很多分析師進行了覆蓋,表明未來增長有一定的可視性。因此,我們建議查看這份免費報告,展示共識預測。

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

Investors in Clarivate had a tough year, with a total loss of 31%, against a market gain of about 25%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 10% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. You could get a better understanding of Clarivate's growth by checking out this more detailed historical graph of earnings, revenue and cash flow.

在Clarivate的投資者度過了一個艱難的一年,總損失爲31%,而市場的增長約爲25%。即使好股票的股價有時也會下跌,但我們希望在對商業基本指標有所改善之前,看到它們的企業增長。不幸的是,去年的表現可能表明存在未解決的挑戰,因爲它比過去五年的年化收益下跌了10%還糟糕。一般來說,長期股價疲軟可能是一個不好的跡象,儘管逆勢投資者可能希望研究該股票,以期實現逆轉。通過查看這個更詳細的歷史收益、營業收入和現金流的圖表,您可以更好地了解Clarivate的增長情況。

We will like Clarivate better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我們看到一些內部大額購買,我們會更喜歡Clarivate。當我們等待時,請查看這個免費的被低估股票名單(主要是小市值股票),其中包括相當多的近期內部購買。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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