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Anhui Xinhua Media (SHSE:601801) Could Easily Take On More Debt

Anhui Xinhua Media (SHSE:601801) Could Easily Take On More Debt

皖新傳媒(SHSE:601801)可以輕鬆承擔更多債務。
Simply Wall St ·  06/07 18:19

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Anhui Xinhua Media Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601801) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

傳奇基金經理陸杉(也受到查理·芒格的支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受資本的永久損失。” 當你考慮一家公司的風險時,審查它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲當企業崩潰時通常涉及到債務。我們可以看到皖新傳媒股份有限公司(SHSE:601801)在商業中使用債務。但真正的問題是,這些債務是否會使公司變得風險更高。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務對一家公司是有利的,除非公司無法用新資本或自由現金流償還債務,否則就是它的災難性結果。公司如果無法償還債務,最壞的情況下是破產。儘管這種情況並不普遍,我們經常會看到負債的公司因爲當債權人強制他們以低於正常價格的方式募集資本而不斷地稀釋股東的股權。當然了,債務可以是一種重要的工具,尤其是對於有體量業務的企業而言。當我們考慮一家公司對債務的利用情況時,首先要看的是現金和債務的總量。

What Is Anhui Xinhua Media's Net Debt?

皖新傳媒的淨債務是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Anhui Xinhua Media had CN¥1.30b of debt, up from CN¥288.9m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥10.9b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥9.65b.

正如您下面所看到的,截至2024年3月底,皖新傳媒債務總額爲13億元,比一年前的2,889萬元增加了一個數量級。請點擊圖片了解更多詳情。然而,它確實有109億元現金抵消,使淨現金達到96.5億元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:601801 Debt to Equity History June 7th 2024
SHSE:601801股本負債歷史2024年6月7日

How Strong Is Anhui Xinhua Media's Balance Sheet?

皖新傳媒的資產負債表有多強?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Anhui Xinhua Media had liabilities of CN¥6.73b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥932.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥10.9b as well as receivables valued at CN¥2.40b due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥5.68b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根據最近披露的資產負債表,皖新傳媒的負債包括由在12個月內到期的67.3億元和12個月後到期的9320萬元。抵消這些負債,它有109億元的現金以及24億元應於12個月內收回的應收賬款。因此,它實際上擁有56.8億元。總負債還多出了更多的流動資產。

This excess liquidity is a great indication that Anhui Xinhua Media's balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. On this view, lenders should feel as safe as the beloved of a black-belt karate master. Simply put, the fact that Anhui Xinhua Media has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這種過剩的流動性表明皖新傳媒的資產負債表幾乎與福特諾克斯一樣強。從這個角度來看,借款人應該感到非常安全。簡而言之,皖新傳媒擁有的現金多於債務這一事實可以認爲是它能夠安全管理債務的一個好的跡象。

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Anhui Xinhua Media has boosted its EBIT by 42%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Anhui Xinhua Media can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

除此之外,我們很高興地報告,皖新傳媒已經增加了42%的EBIt,從而減少了未來債務償還的惡魔。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解到了關於債務的大部分信息。但是,最終業務的未來盈利能力將決定皖新傳媒是否能夠隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您想了解專業人士的思路,您可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Anhui Xinhua Media may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Anhui Xinhua Media actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金而不是會計利潤償還債務。皖新傳媒的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但是看看它的收益(利潤前利息和稅前)轉化爲自由現金流的能力有多強,這仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響它管理債務的需要和能力。在過去的三年中,皖新傳媒實際上生產的自由現金流超過了EBIt。作爲貸款人保持良好關係的有力手段,沒有什麼比收到現金更好的了。

Summing Up

總之

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Anhui Xinhua Media has CN¥9.65b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥144m, being 160% of its EBIT. At the end of the day we're not concerned about Anhui Xinhua Media's debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Anhui Xinhua Media is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored...

儘管調查公司的債務總是明智的,但是在這種情況下,皖新傳媒擁有96.5億元人民幣的淨現金和一個看起來不錯的資產負債表。自由現金流達到1.44億元人民幣,是EBIT的160%。最後,我們並不擔心皖新傳媒的債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯的開始控件,但並不是所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中。請注意,皖新傳媒在我們的投資分析中顯示了2個警示信號,其中1個不應被忽視...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

說到底,有時更容易關注那些甚至不需要債務的公司。讀者可以免費查看零淨債務增長股票列表,立即獲得。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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