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Is Jinhui Mining Incorporation (SHSE:603132) A Risky Investment?

Is Jinhui Mining Incorporation (SHSE:603132) A Risky Investment?

金匯礦業股份有限公司(SHSE:603132)是一項危險的投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  06/08 21:33

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Jinhui Mining Incorporation Limited (SHSE:603132) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過:“波動性與風險遠非同義詞。”當我們考慮一家公司的風險程度時,我們總是喜歡看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務超載會導致災難性後果。我們可以看到,金匯礦業股份有限公司(SHSE:603132)在其業務中確實使用了債務。但真正的問題是這些債務是否會使公司更加風險。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務帶來了什麼風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務可以幫助一家企業,直到企業無法用新的資本或自由現金流償還債務爲止。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能什麼也得不到。但更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,一家公司必須以廉價的股價稀釋股東權益,以控制債務。當然,債務的好處是,它通常代表了廉價資本,尤其是當它代替了具有高投資回報率的公司的稀釋時。當我們考慮一家公司的債務使用情況時,我們首先看現金和債務的共同使用。

What Is Jinhui Mining Incorporation's Debt?

金匯礦業股份有限公司的債務是什麼?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Jinhui Mining Incorporation had CN¥2.82b of debt, up from CN¥1.62b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥1.26b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥1.56b.

正如下圖所示,截至2024年3月底,金匯礦業股份有限公司的債務爲人民幣2.82億元,比一年前的1.62億元增加。點擊圖片以獲取更多詳細信息。不過,它確實有12.6億元的現金抵消這筆債務,導致淨債務約爲1.56億元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:603132 Debt to Equity History June 9th 2024
SHSE:603132的股權負債歷史 2024年6月9日

How Healthy Is Jinhui Mining Incorporation's Balance Sheet?

金匯礦業股份有限公司的資產負債表看起來如何?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Jinhui Mining Incorporation had liabilities of CN¥2.10b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.03b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.26b and CN¥38.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.83b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

進一步觀察最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,金匯礦業股份有限公司的短期負債爲2.10億元,超過12個月到期的負債爲1.03億元。另一方面,它有12.6億元的現金和0.384億元的一年內應收賬款。因此,它的負債總額超過了1.83億元,超過了其現金和短期應收賬款的總和。

Of course, Jinhui Mining Incorporation has a market capitalization of CN¥13.9b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

當然,金匯礦業股份有限公司的市值爲13.9億元,因此這些負債可能很好管理。但是債務足夠多,我們肯定建議股東繼續監控資產負債表。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

通過查看公司的淨債務與利息、稅、折舊、攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)之比以及它的利息費用(利息覆蓋率)可以衡量一個公司的債務負擔與收益能力。因此,我們考慮將債務與有無計算折舊和攤銷費用的收益相對比。

Jinhui Mining Incorporation's net debt of 2.2 times EBITDA suggests graceful use of debt. And the alluring interest cover (EBIT of 7.8 times interest expense) certainly does not do anything to dispel this impression. Notably Jinhui Mining Incorporation's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year. Ideally it can diminish its debt load by kick-starting earnings growth. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Jinhui Mining Incorporation's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

金匯礦業股份有限公司的淨債務/稅息折舊及攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)2.2倍表明它債務使用得很得當。而其有吸引力的利息覆蓋率(利息費用的EBIT 7.8倍)則肯定有助於解除擔憂。值得注意的是,金匯礦業股份有限公司的EBIT在過去一年中基本上保持不變。理想情況下,它可以通過啓動盈利增長來減輕負債負擔。資產負債表顯然是研究債務的關鍵領域。但是,最終決定金匯礦業股份有限公司能否保持健康的資產負債表的,還是未來的盈利。因此,如果您想知道專業人士的看法,您可能會發現分析師的盈利預測報告很有趣。沒有最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤並不能解決問題。因此,我們始終查看EBIT中有多少被轉化爲自由現金流。在過去的三年中,金匯礦業股份有限公司的自由現金流價值相當於其EBIT的82%,這比我們通常預期的更強。這使得它在償還債務方面處於非常強勢的地位。金匯礦業股份有限公司將EBIT轉化爲自由現金流的能力表明該公司可以像Cristiano Ronaldo對一個14歲門將進球那樣輕鬆地處理其債務。我們還認爲它的利息覆蓋率是正面的。考慮到所有這些數據,我們認爲金匯礦業股份有限公司採取了相當明智的負債做法。雖然這會帶來一些風險,但也可以爲股東帶來更高的回報。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是開始的明顯地點。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表之內-遠非如此。因此,您應該了解我們發現的2個警告信號(其中1個令人擔憂),學習更多信息。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Jinhui Mining Incorporation recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 82% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

最後,一個企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤並不能解決問題。因此,我們始終查看EBIT中有多少被轉化爲自由現金流。在過去的三年中,金匯礦業股份有限公司的自由現金流相當於其EBIT的82%,這比我們通常預期的更強。這使得它在償還債務方面處於非常強勢的地位。

Our View

我們的觀點

Jinhui Mining Incorporation's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And we also thought its interest cover was a positive. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Jinhui Mining Incorporation takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Jinhui Mining Incorporation (including 1 which is concerning) .

金匯礦業股份有限公司將EBIT轉化爲自由現金流的能力表明該公司可以像Cristiano Ronaldo對一個14歲門將進球那樣輕鬆地處理其債務。我們還認爲它的利息覆蓋率是正面的。考慮到所有這些數據,我們認爲金匯礦業股份有限公司採取了相當明智的負債做法。雖然這會帶來一些風險,但也可以爲股東帶來更高的回報。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是開始的明顯地點。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表之內-遠非如此。因此,您應該了解我們發現的2個警告信號(其中1個令人擔憂),學習更多信息。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有負債負擔的股票的投資者,則今天就可以發現我們的獨家淨現金增長股清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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