When close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 29x, you may consider Yantai Eddie Precision Machinery Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603638) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 44x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
Recent times have been advantageous for Yantai Eddie Precision Machinery as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
SHSE:603638 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 10th 2024 If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Yantai Eddie Precision Machinery.
Is There Enough Growth For Yantai Eddie Precision Machinery?
Yantai Eddie Precision Machinery's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 16%. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 55% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 14% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 25% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it concerning that Yantai Eddie Precision Machinery is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Final Word
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Yantai Eddie Precision Machinery currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Yantai Eddie Precision Machinery with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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