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Is Chengdu Bright Eye Hospital (SZSE:301239) A Risky Investment?

Is Chengdu Bright Eye Hospital (SZSE:301239) A Risky Investment?

成都科院眼科醫院(SZSE:301239)是一個風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  06/09 22:15

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Chengdu Bright Eye Hospital Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301239) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過:“波動性遠非風險的同義詞。”因此,可以看出明智的投資者知道,在評估公司的風險時,通常與破產有關的負債是一個非常重要的因素。我們可以看到cdccic b2712 Bright Eye Hospital Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301239) 確實在其業務中使用了債務,但更重要的問題是:這些負債製造了多少風險呢?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業發展的工具,但如果一個企業無力償還債權人,那麼它就處於債權人控制之下。如果情況變得非常糟糕,債權人可以接管企業。然而,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以較低的股票價格稀釋股東,僅僅是爲了控制債務。當然,許多公司使用債務來資助其發展,沒有任何負面影響。考慮到一家公司的現金和債務,以及二者之間的關係,是評估其債務水平的第一步。

What Is Chengdu Bright Eye Hospital's Net Debt?

cdccic b2712 Bright Eye Hospital的淨債務是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Chengdu Bright Eye Hospital had CN¥532.3m of debt, an increase on CN¥266.8m, over one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥748.4m in cash, leading to a CN¥216.2m net cash position.

你可以點擊下面的圖表查看歷史數字,但它顯示出cdccic b2712 Bright Eye Hospital在2024年3月有CN¥532.3m的債務,相比一年前的CN¥266.8m增加了。但是另一方面,它也有CN¥748.4m的現金,導致CN¥216.2m的淨現金頭寸。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:301239 Debt to Equity History June 10th 2024
SZSE:301239股權負債歷史 2024年6月10日

A Look At Chengdu Bright Eye Hospital's Liabilities

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看到,cdccic b2712 Bright Eye Hospital有CN¥774.6m的年內到期負債,並有CN¥1.66b的長期負債。相應地,它有CN¥748.4m的現金和CN¥213.1m的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款總和高出CN¥1.47b。

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Chengdu Bright Eye Hospital had liabilities of CN¥774.6m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.66b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥748.4m in cash and CN¥213.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.47b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

cdccic b2712 Bright Eye Hospital的市值爲CN¥6.10b,因此如果需要,它很可能籌集資金來改善其資產負債表。但很明顯,我們應該密切關注它是否能在不稀釋股東的情況下管理其債務。雖然它確實有值得注意的負債,但cdccic b2712 Bright Eye Hospital也比債務多,因此我們非常有信心它可以安全地管理其債務。

Chengdu Bright Eye Hospital has a market capitalization of CN¥6.10b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Chengdu Bright Eye Hospital also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

值得注意的是,cdccic b2712 Bright Eye Hospital的EBIT增長幅度超過了埃隆•馬斯克,僅去年就增長了117%。毫無疑問,我們最能從資產負債表中了解債務。但最終,企業的未來盈利能力將決定cdccic b2712 Bright Eye Hospital能否隨着時間的推移強化其資產負債表。因此,如果你關注未來,可以查看這份免費報告,其中包含分析師的利潤預測。

Notably, Chengdu Bright Eye Hospital's EBIT launched higher than Elon Musk, gaining a whopping 117% on last year. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Chengdu Bright Eye Hospital can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤根本就不能解決問題。雖然cdccic b2712 Bright Eye Hospital的資產負債表看起來有淨現金,但我們仍然需要看看它將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解它正在以多快的速度積累(或消耗)現金。考慮到最近三年,cdccic b2712 Bright Eye Hospital的現金流出總額實際上是負數。負債通常更昂貴,對於一個自由現金流爲負的公司來說風險幾乎總是更高的。股東應該希望它有所改善。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Chengdu Bright Eye Hospital has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Considering the last three years, Chengdu Bright Eye Hospital actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

雖然cdccic b2712 Bright Eye Hospital的負債多於流動資產,但是它也有CN¥216.2m的淨現金。而我們也看到去年的117%的年同比EBIT增長。所以我們對cdccic b2712 Bright Eye Hospital使用債務並不擔心。毫無疑問,我們最能從資產負債表中了解債務。但是,最終,每個公司都可能面臨着超出資產負債表範圍的風險。這些風險很難發現。每個公司都存在這些風險,我們已經發現了2個cdccic b2712 Bright Eye Hospital的預警信號,你應該知道。

Summing Up

總之

While Chengdu Bright Eye Hospital does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥216.2m. And we liked the look of last year's 117% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't have any problem with Chengdu Bright Eye Hospital's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Chengdu Bright Eye Hospital you should know about.

雖然cdccic b2712 Bright Eye Hospital的負債多於流動資產,但是它也有淨現金達 CN¥216.2m。而我們也看到去年的117%的年同比EBIT增長。所以我們對cdccic b2712 Bright Eye Hospital使用債務並不擔心。毫無疑問,我們最能從資產負債表中了解債務。但最終,每個公司都可能面臨超出資產負債表範圍的風險,這些風險很難發現。每個公司都存在這些風險,我們已經發現了2個cdccic b2712 Bright Eye Hospital的預警信號,你應該知道。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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