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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) CO., LTD (SZSE:002541)?

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) CO., LTD (SZSE:002541)?

股票下跌和堅實的基本面:市場對鴻路鋼構股份有限公司(SZSE:002541)錯了嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  06/10 02:45

Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) (SZSE:002541) has had a rough month with its share price down 12%. But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. Specifically, we decided to study Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group)'s ROE in this article.

安徽鴻路鋼構(集團)(深圳證券交易所:002541)股價下跌12%,本月表現不佳。但是,如果您仔細觀察,您可能會發現其強大的財務狀況意味着,考慮到市場通常獎勵好的財務狀況的公司,該股票在長期內有可能看到價格上漲。具體而言,我們決定在本文中研究安徽鴻路鋼構(集團)ROE。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

roe或權益回報率是評估公司有效利用股東投資產生回報效率的有用工具。簡而言之,roe顯示每個股東投資所產生的利潤。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股東權益報酬率?

The formula for return on equity is:

權益回報率的計算公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) is:

因此,根據上述公式,安徽鴻路鋼構(集團)的ROE爲:

13% = CN¥1.2b ÷ CN¥9.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

13%=CN¥1.2b÷CN¥9.4b(截至2024年3月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.13.

“回報”是指過去十二個月稅後所得。這意味着對於每一元股東投資,公司會產生0.13元的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

ROE與盈利增長有什麼關係?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我們已經確定ROE作爲公司未來收益的有效利潤生成度量。根據公司“保留”多少利潤以及它如何有效地保留利潤,我們能夠評估公司的收益增長潛力。假設其他所有條件相同,具有更高股東權益回報率和更高利潤保留的公司通常是與沒有相同特徵的公司相比增長速度更高的公司。

Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group)'s Earnings Growth And 13% ROE

安徽鴻路鋼構(集團)的盈利增長和13%的ROE

To begin with, Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) seems to have a respectable ROE. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 7.4%. This certainly adds some context to Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group)'s decent 20% net income growth seen over the past five years.

首先,安徽鴻路鋼構(集團)似乎有一個體面的ROE。此外,該公司的ROE與行業平均水平相比相當有利。這無疑爲安徽鴻路鋼構(集團)過去五年中可觀的20%淨利潤增長增添了一些背景。

We then compared Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group)'s net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 12% in the same 5-year period.

然後,我們將安徽鴻路鋼構(集團)的淨利潤增長與行業進行了比較,並且很高興地看到,該公司的增長率比在同樣五年期間增長了12%的行業高。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002541 Past Earnings Growth June 10th 2024
深圳證券交易所:002541過去的盈利增長2024年6月10日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. What is 002541 worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether 002541 is currently mispriced by the market.

公司附加值的基礎在很大程度上與其盈利增長息息相關。投資者知道市場是否定價了公司預期的盈利增長(或下降)非常重要。這樣做,他們將會知道該股票是進入清澈的藍水區還是等待沼澤水。002541今天值多少錢?我們免費研究報告中的內在價值信息圖表可以幫助您想象002541是否被市場目前錯誤定價。

Is Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

安徽鴻路鋼構(集團)是否有效利用其利潤?

In Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group)'s case, its respectable earnings growth can probably be explained by its low three-year median payout ratio of 15% (or a retention ratio of 85%), which suggests that the company is investing most of its profits to grow its business.

在安徽鴻路鋼構(集團)的情況下,其體面的盈利增長可能可以解釋爲其三年的中位數支付率很低,僅爲15%(或保留率爲85%),這表明該公司正在將其大部分利潤投資於業務增長。

Moreover, Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 18%. As a result, Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group)'s ROE is not expected to change by much either, which we inferred from the analyst estimate of 13% for future ROE.

此外,安徽鴻路鋼構(集團)決心繼續與股東分享其利潤,我們從其至少十年付息歷史推斷出來。根據最新的分析師估計,我們發現該公司未來三年的股息支付比率預計將保持穩定,爲18%。因此,我們推斷出Anhui Honglu Steel Construction (Group)未來ROE的分析師估計爲13%。

Conclusion

結論

In total, we are pretty happy with Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group)'s performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

總的來說,我們對安徽鴻路鋼構(集團)的表現非常滿意。特別是,我們喜歡公司正在大量重新投資其業務,並以很高的回報率進行投資。毫不奇怪,這導致了可觀的盈利增長。但是,預測中分析師估計,公司的盈利增長預計將放緩。要了解有關公司未來盈利增長預測的更多信息,請查看有關該公司分析師預測的免費報告。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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