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While Shareholders of Harbin Dongan Auto EngineLtd (SHSE:600178) Are in the Black Over 5 Years, Those Who Bought a Week Ago Aren't so Fortunate

While Shareholders of Harbin Dongan Auto EngineLtd (SHSE:600178) Are in the Black Over 5 Years, Those Who Bought a Week Ago Aren't so Fortunate

雖然哈爾濱東安汽車發動機股份有限公司的股東在過去5年裏盈利,但購買一週以上的股票的人就不那麼幸運了。
Simply Wall St ·  06/10 02:50

Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. And while active stock picking involves risks (and requires diversification) it can also provide excess returns. For example, the Harbin Dongan Auto Engine Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600178) share price is up 78% in the last 5 years, clearly besting the market return of around 9.9% (ignoring dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 56% in the last year, including dividends.

一般來說,積極的股票挑選的目的是找到提供超過市場平均回報的公司。儘管積極的股票挑選存在風險(需要分散投資),但它也可以提供超額回報。例如,東安動力股份有限公司(SHSE:600178)股價在過去5年中上漲了78%,明顯超過市場年回報約爲9.9%(不考慮分紅派息)。然而,最近的回報並不像那樣令人印象深刻,包括分紅派息,股票在過去一年中僅上漲了56%。

In light of the stock dropping 8.6% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive five-year return.

鑑於該股過去一週下跌了8.6%,我們想調查更長期的情況,看看基本面是否是公司五年回報率的推動因素。

While Harbin Dongan Auto EngineLtd made a small profit, in the last year, we think that the market is probably more focussed on the top line growth at the moment. As a general rule, we think this kind of company is more comparable to loss-making stocks, since the actual profit is so low. For shareholders to have confidence a company will grow profits significantly, it must grow revenue.

雖然東安動力股份有限公司在過去一年中獲得了微薄的利潤,但我們認爲目前市場可能更關注營業收入的增長。通常情況下,我們認爲這種公司更類似於虧損的股票,因爲實際利潤很低。要讓股東對公司將大幅增長利潤充滿信心,它必須增加營業收入。在過去的5年中,東安動力股份有限公司年複合營業收入增長達18%。這遠高於大多數未盈利公司。很高興看到股票增長了12%,但考慮到營業收入顯示強勁增長,這並不完全令人驚訝。如果強勁的營業收入增長持續下去,我們希望股票價格會在適當的時間跟隨上漲。市場沒有完全爲潛在業務增長定價的地方才是機會所在。

In the last 5 years Harbin Dongan Auto EngineLtd saw its revenue grow at 18% per year. That's well above most pre-profit companies. It's good to see that the stock has 12%, but not entirely surprising given revenue shows strong growth. If the strong revenue growth continues, we'd hope to see the share price to follow, in time. Opportunity lies where the market hasn't fully priced growth in the underlying business.

股票回報率僅反映股票價格的變化,而TSR包括股息的價值(假設它們被再投資)和任何折扣的融資或剝離的利益。可以說,TSR提供了更全面的股票回報圖景。恰好,東安動力股份有限公司過去5年的TSR爲81%,超過了前面提到的股票回報率。毫無疑問,股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異!

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

你可以在下面的圖片中看到收入和營業收入隨時間的變化情況(單擊圖表可查看精確值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600178 Earnings and Revenue Growth June 10th 2024
SHSE:600178收益和營收增長2024年6月10日

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

你可以在這個免費的互動圖表中看到它的資產負債表如何隨着時間的推移而加強(或削弱)。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Harbin Dongan Auto EngineLtd's TSR for the last 5 years was 81%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是考慮總股東回報(TSR)和股票回報之間的差異。 TSR包括任何剝離或折讓的資本籌集(基於股息被重新投資的假設),以及任何股息。因此,對於支付慷慨的股息公司而言,TSR通常比股票回報高得多。就中國神威藥業集團而言,其TSR在過去5年中達到了75%。這超過了我們之前提到的股票回報。該公司支付的股息已經提高了總股東回報。總股東回報股票回報我們很高興地報告,東安動力股份有限公司股東在一年內獲得了總股東回報56%,包括分紅。 這比過去半個十年的年化回報13%更好,說明公司最近的表現更好。持樂觀態度的人可以將TSR的最近改善視爲表明業務本身隨着時間的推移正在變得更好。雖然考慮市場條件可能對股票價格產生的不同影響非常值得,但其他更重要的因素也存在。例如,投資風險的隱患。我們已經確定了東安動力股份有限公司的3個警示標誌(至少有1個與我們不太合適),了解它們應該是你投資過程的一部分。

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

We're pleased to report that Harbin Dongan Auto EngineLtd shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 56% over one year. That's including the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 13% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Harbin Dongan Auto EngineLtd (at least 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

總的來說,積極的股票挑選的目的是找到提供超過市場平均回報的公司。儘管積極的股票挑選存在風險(需要分散投資),但它也可以提供超額回報。例如,東安動力股份有限公司(SHSE:600178)股價在過去5年中上漲了78%,明顯超過市場年回報約爲9.9%(不考慮分紅派息)。然而,最近的回報並不像那樣令人印象深刻,包括分紅派息,股票在過去一年中僅上漲了56%。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).

如果您喜歡與管理層一起購買股票,那麼您可能會喜歡這個公司的免費列表。 (提示:其中許多公司不爲人注意且具有吸引力的估值。)

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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