Shanghai Fortune Techgroup (SZSE:300493) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Shanghai Fortune Techgroup (SZSE:300493) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Shanghai Fortune Techgroup Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300493) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
禾倫•巴菲特曾經說過,“波動性遠非風險的同義詞。” 當你考慮一家公司的風險程度時,查看企業負債表是很自然的,因爲企業破產通常涉及債務。 我們注意到,潤欣科技(SZSE:300493)的負債表上確實有債務。 但更重要的問題是:這些債務產生了多少風險?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時有危險?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
債務是幫助企業發展的工具,但如果企業無力償還其債權人,那麼它就處於他們的掌控之下。資本主義的重要組成部分是“創造性毀滅”過程,在這個過程中,失敗的企業被他們的銀行家無情地清算。然而,更普遍的情況(雖然仍然很昂貴)是企業必須以便宜的股價稀釋股東,以控制債務。當考慮企業使用多少債務時,首先要做的是考慮其現金和債務的總體情況,這樣債務才能成爲企業特別是資本密集型企業的重要工具。
What Is Shanghai Fortune Techgroup's Debt?
潤欣科技的債務是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Shanghai Fortune Techgroup had debt of CN¥133.3m at the end of March 2024, a reduction from CN¥177.5m over a year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥310.2m in cash, leading to a CN¥176.9m net cash position.
以下圖片(可單擊以獲得更多詳細信息)顯示,截至2024年3月,潤欣科技的債務爲1.333億元人民幣,較去年的1.775億元人民幣減少。 另一方面,它也擁有3.102億元人民幣的現金,導致淨現金頭寸爲1.769億元人民幣。
How Healthy Is Shanghai Fortune Techgroup's Balance Sheet?
潤欣科技的資產負債表狀況如何?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shanghai Fortune Techgroup had liabilities of CN¥591.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥26.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥310.2m and CN¥755.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥448.1m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
從最近的資產負債表上,我們可以看出,潤欣科技在一年內到期的負債爲5.91億元人民幣,超過一年到期的負債爲268萬元人民幣。 另一方面,它擁有3.102億元人民幣的現金和7.558億元人民幣的應收賬款。 因此,它實際上擁有4.481億元人民幣的資產。比總負債還多出了更多的流動資產。
This short term liquidity is a sign that Shanghai Fortune Techgroup could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Shanghai Fortune Techgroup boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
這種短期流動性是潤欣科技可以輕鬆償還債務的跡象,因爲它的資產負債表遠未過度糾結。 簡而言之,潤欣科技擁有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!
In fact Shanghai Fortune Techgroup's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 30% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Shanghai Fortune Techgroup can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
事實上,潤欣科技的拯救之道是其較低的債務水平,因爲其利潤(EBIT)在過去十二個月中下降了30%。 日益下降的收益(如果趨勢繼續)可能會使即使是適度的債務也相當危險。 從資產負債表中沒有疑問地可以了解到債務的情況。但最終商業的未來盈利能力將決定潤欣科技能否隨時間加強其資產負債表。 因此,如果您想了解專業人士的看法,您可能會發現利潤預測的分析師免費報告很有趣。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Shanghai Fortune Techgroup may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Shanghai Fortune Techgroup burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
最後,儘管稅務機構可以崇拜會計利潤,但借款人只接受冷硬的現金。 儘管潤欣科技在資產負債表上擁有淨現金,但查看企業將其利潤(主營業務利潤)轉化爲自由現金流的能力非常有趣,因爲這將影響其管理債務的需求和能力。 在過去的三年中,潤欣科技燒掉了很多現金。 雖然投資者毫無疑問地期望這種情況很快會有所改變,但明確表明其債務使用處於更高風險水平。
Summing Up
總之
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Shanghai Fortune Techgroup has net cash of CN¥176.9m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So although we see some areas for improvement, we're not too worried about Shanghai Fortune Techgroup's balance sheet. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Shanghai Fortune Techgroup's earnings per share history for free.
儘管我們對債務擔憂的投資者表示同情,但您應謹記,潤欣科技擁有1.769億元人民幣的淨現金,並且比其負債更多的是流動資產。 因此,儘管我們看到了一些需要改進的地方,但我們對潤欣科技的資產負債表不太擔心。 最重要的是,我們認爲跟蹤每股收益增長的速度特別重要,無論增長快慢。 如果您也有這種認識,那麼您很幸運,因爲今天您可以免費查看潤欣科技每股收益歷史的交互式圖表。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。
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