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Is Wingtech TechnologyLtd (SHSE:600745) A Risky Investment?

Is Wingtech TechnologyLtd (SHSE:600745) A Risky Investment?

Wingtech Technology Ltd(SHSE:600745)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  06/11 00:19

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Wingtech Technology Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600745) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過:“波動性與風險遠非同義詞。” 當您考慮一家公司有多大風險時,考慮其資產負債表是很自然的,因爲債務往往是企業倒閉時涉及到的。我們注意到,聞泰科技股份有限公司(SHSE:600745)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是,這項債務是否會令股東感到擔憂呢?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時有危險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務可以幫助企業度過困境,直到企業用新的資本或自由現金流償還爲止。資本主義的一個重要組成部分就是“創造性破壞”的過程,失敗的企業無情地被銀行家清算。但更常見(但仍然痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低價籌集新股本,從而永久性地稀釋股東的利益。當然,許多公司都使用債務來資助創業板擴張,沒有任何負面後果。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,首先要做的就是看看它的現金和債務的結合。

What Is Wingtech TechnologyLtd's Net Debt?

聞泰科技股份有限公司的淨債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Wingtech TechnologyLtd had debt of CN¥16.8b at the end of March 2024, a reduction from CN¥18.0b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥6.71b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥10.1b.

下面的圖片(可單擊以獲取更多細節)顯示,聞泰科技股份有限公司於2024年3月底負債168億元人民幣,較去年同期的180億元人民幣有所減少。但是,由於它擁有6.71億元人民幣的現金儲備,因此其淨債務爲約101億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600745 Debt to Equity History June 11th 2024
SHSE:600745資產負債表歷史中的債務股本比2024年6月11日

A Look At Wingtech TechnologyLtd's Liabilities

查看聞泰科技股份有限公司的負債情況

According to the last reported balance sheet, Wingtech TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥25.5b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥11.9b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥6.71b and CN¥10.4b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥20.3b.

根據最後報告的資產負債表,聞泰科技股份有限公司於12個月內應付的負債爲255億元人民幣,超過12個月的負債爲119億元人民幣。另一方面,它擁有6.71億元人民幣的現金和104億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款的總和203億元人民幣。

This deficit isn't so bad because Wingtech TechnologyLtd is worth CN¥36.0b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

這種赤字並不太糟糕,因爲聞泰科技股份有限公司價值360億元人民幣,因此如果需要,它可能足以籌集足夠的資金來支撐其資產負債表。但是,我們一定要留意其債務是否帶來了過多的風險。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

通過查看公司的淨債務與利息、稅、折舊、攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)之比以及它的利息費用(利息覆蓋率)可以衡量一個公司的債務負擔與收益能力。因此,我們考慮將債務與有無計算折舊和攤銷費用的收益相對比。

Wingtech TechnologyLtd has net debt worth 2.0 times EBITDA, which isn't too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 6.2 times the interest expense. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. Importantly, Wingtech TechnologyLtd's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 20% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Wingtech TechnologyLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

聞泰科技股份有限公司的淨債務相當於EBITDA的2.0倍,這並不算太多,但其利息覆蓋率看起來有些低,因爲EBIT僅相當於利息支出的6.2倍。雖然這不會引起我太多的擔憂,但它確實表明利息支付有些負擔。重要的是,聞泰科技股份有限公司的EBIT在過去十二個月中驚人地下降了20%。如果這種下跌持續下去,那麼償還債務將比在素食主義者大會上出售鵝肝還難。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯然的開始。但是,未來的收益,尤其是,將決定聞泰科技股份有限公司的資產負債表健康狀況是否能夠保持穩健。因此,如果您想了解專業人士的看法,您可能會發現對分析師盈利預測的免費報告感興趣。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Wingtech TechnologyLtd burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計收益並不能滿足要求。因此,檢查多少EBIT由自由現金流支持是值得的。在過去三年中,聞泰科技股份有限公司燒掉了大量現金。雖然投資者無疑期望這種情況會在適當的時間內逆轉,但這顯然意味着其使用債務的風險更大。

Our View

我們的觀點

To be frank both Wingtech TechnologyLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least its interest cover is not so bad. We're quite clear that we consider Wingtech TechnologyLtd to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Wingtech TechnologyLtd that you should be aware of before investing here.

坦率地說,永吉股份集團對EBIT的轉化爲自由現金流以及其EBIT的增長方面的記錄對其債務水平造成了相當大的不適感。但至少其利息覆蓋率還不錯。我們非常清楚,永吉股份集團的財務狀況使其成爲真正的風險。因此,我們對這隻股票的警惕程度幾乎與一隻飢餓的小貓對主人的魚池一樣:一朝被蛇咬,十年怕井繩。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是開始的地方。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中 - 遠非如此。例如,我們發現了2個威盛集團的警告信號,您在投資之前應該注意到。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

說到底,有時更容易關注那些甚至不需要債務的公司。讀者可以免費查看零淨債務增長股票列表,立即獲得。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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