The Guizhou Chitianhua Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600227) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 27%. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 51% share price decline.
After such a large drop in price, Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x, considering almost half of all companies in the Chemicals industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 2x and even P/S higher than 4x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
For example, consider that Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 10% decrease to the company's top line. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 5.1% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 23% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd's P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd with six simple checks.
If you're unsure about the strength of Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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