share_log

Is Shenzhen Capchem Technology (SZSE:300037) A Risky Investment?

Is Shenzhen Capchem Technology (SZSE:300037) A Risky Investment?

新宙邦科技 (SZSE:300037) 是一項有風險的投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  06/11 20:08

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Shenzhen Capchem Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300037) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

禾倫布菲特曾經說過:“波動與風險遠非同義詞。”考慮到企業破產往往涉及債務,因此在評估風險時考慮公司的資產負債表是很自然的事情。從深圳新宙邦科技股份有限公司(SZSE:300037)的債務使用情況可以發現,其業務確實使用了債務。但更重要的問題是:這些債務帶來了多大的風險?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果企業不能償還其債權人,則必須接受其懲罰。最終,如果公司不能履行法定還債義務,股東可能一無所獲。然而,更常見的(但仍然痛苦的)情況是,公司需要以低價格籌集新的股本資本,從而永久性削弱股東權益。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理其債務,並獲得自身利益。在我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先考慮現金和債務水平。

How Much Debt Does Shenzhen Capchem Technology Carry?

深圳新宙邦科技有多少債務負擔?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Shenzhen Capchem Technology had debt of CN¥3.15b, up from CN¥2.58b in one year. However, it does have CN¥3.77b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥614.6m.

如下圖,2014年3月,深圳新宙邦技術有限公司的債務從25.8億元增至31.5億元。但其有37.7億元的現金可用於抵消,淨現金爲6146萬元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:300037 Debt to Equity History June 12th 2024
SZSE:300037資產負債表債務與權益歷史數據爲2024年6月12日。

How Strong Is Shenzhen Capchem Technology's Balance Sheet?

深圳新宙邦科技的資產負債表強度如何?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Shenzhen Capchem Technology had liabilities of CN¥4.44b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥2.66b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥3.77b and CN¥3.56b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥229.1m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,深圳新宙邦技術有限公司有444億元的短期負債和266億元的長期負債。另一方面,其有37.7億元的現金和3560萬元的應收賬款。因此,實際上它有2291萬元的自由現金流。總負債還多出了更多的流動資產。

This state of affairs indicates that Shenzhen Capchem Technology's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥23.0b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Succinctly put, Shenzhen Capchem Technology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

這種情況表明,深圳新宙邦科技的資產負債表看起來相當堅實,因爲其總負債幾乎等於流動資產。因此,雖然很難想象這230億元的公司在爲現金而奮鬥,但我們仍然認爲監控其資產負債表是值得的。簡言之,深圳新宙邦科技擁有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有過重的債務負擔!

It is just as well that Shenzhen Capchem Technology's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 36% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shenzhen Capchem Technology's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

幸好深圳新宙邦技術的負擔並不太重,因爲其Ebit在過去一年中下降了36%。下降的收益(如果趨勢持續下去)最終可能使即使是適度的債務變得相當風險。分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯要從這裏開始的。但是未來的收益才是決定深圳新宙邦科技保持健康資產負債表能力的關鍵,尤其是任何一家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表之外的風險。例如,我們已經找到了一項深圳新宙邦科技的警示信號,您應該了解它。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Shenzhen Capchem Technology has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent three years, Shenzhen Capchem Technology recorded free cash flow of 21% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

最後,儘管稅務管理人員可能會喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冰冷的現金。儘管深圳新宙邦技術有淨現金,但看看其將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力仍然值得一看,以幫助我們了解它正在快速地構建(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度。在最近的三年中,深圳新宙邦技術的自由現金流佔EBIT的21%,比我們預期的要弱。從還債的角度來看,這並不太好。

Summing Up

總之

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Shenzhen Capchem Technology has net cash of CN¥614.6m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't have any problem with Shenzhen Capchem Technology's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Shenzhen Capchem Technology that you should be aware of.

儘管我們理解認爲債務令人擔憂的投資者,但您應該記住,深圳新宙邦技術有6146萬元的淨現金,以及比負債更多的流動資產。因此,我們不認爲深圳新宙邦科技使用債務有任何問題。顯然,在分析債務時資產負債表是需要關注的領域。但是,最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表之外的風險。例如,我們已經確認了深圳新宙邦科技一項警告信號,您應該知道。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

總的來說,專注於沒有淨債務的公司往往更好。您可以訪問我們的特別列表,其中包含這些公司(所有這些公司都有盈利增長的記錄)。這是免費的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論