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Should Weakness in Joyoung Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:002242) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

Should Weakness in Joyoung Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:002242) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

九陽股份(SZSE:002242)股票走弱可視爲市場會在基本面良好的情況下調整股價的信號嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  06/11 21:28

With its stock down 5.7% over the past month, it is easy to disregard JoyoungLtd (SZSE:002242). However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. Particularly, we will be paying attention to JoyoungLtd's ROE today.

在過去的一個月裏,沃特世股價下跌了5.7%,我們很容易就會忽略它。但股票價格通常是長期受到公司財務的驅動,而在這種情況下 JoyoungLtd 的財務情況看起來相當可觀。特別是今天我們將關注 JoyoungLtd 的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

ROE(淨資產收益率)是股東需考慮的一個重要因素,因爲它告訴他們資本被有效地再投資的效果如何。換句話說,它揭示了公司將股東的投資轉化爲利潤的成功程度。

How Is ROE Calculated?

淨資產收益率怎麼計算?

The formula for return on equity is:

權益回報率的計算公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for JoyoungLtd is:

因此,根據上述公式,JOYOUngLtd的roe爲:

11% = CN¥399m ÷ CN¥3.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

11%= CN¥3.99億 ÷ CN¥36億 (基於最近12個月截至2024年3月的數字).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.11 in profit.

“回報”是企業在過去一年內賺取的收入。一個概念化的方法是,對於每一元人民幣的股東資本,公司賺取0.11元的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

ROE與盈利增長之間的關係是什麼?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到roe是公司盈利能力的一種衡量標準。根據公司選擇重新投資或“留存”的利潤比例,我們能夠評估公司未來產生利潤的能力。其他條件不變的情況下,roe和盈利留存越高,相較於不具備這些特徵的公司,企業的增長率越高。

JoyoungLtd's Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

JoyoungLtd的盈利增長和11%的roe

To start with, JoyoungLtd's ROE looks acceptable. Even when compared to the industry average of 9.8% the company's ROE looks quite decent. However, while JoyoungLtd has a pretty respectable ROE, its five year net income decline rate was 14% . So, there might be some other aspects that could explain this. For example, it could be that the company has a high payout ratio or the business has allocated capital poorly, for instance.

首先,JoyoungLtd 的roe看起來是可以接受的。即使與行業平均水平的 9.8% 相比,公司的roe也相當不錯。然而,儘管 JoyoungLtd 的roe相當可觀,但其五年淨利潤下降率達到了14%。因此,可能還有其他方面可以解釋這種情況。例如,公司的支付比率很高,或者業務的資本配置不佳等等。

That being said, we compared JoyoungLtd's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 6.1% in the same 5-year period.

話雖如此,我們將 JoyoungLtd 的表現與行業進行了比較,並發現雖然公司的收益縮水,但同一5年期間行業的收益增長率達到了6.1%。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002242 Past Earnings Growth June 12th 2024
SZSE:002242過去的盈利增長2024年6月12日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about JoyoungLtd's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

盈利增長是股票估值中的一個重要因素。對於投資者來說,了解市場是否已經定價了公司預期的盈利增長(或下降)是很重要的。通過這樣做,他們將有一個想法,股票是否進入了清澈的藍水區還是陰暗的泥濘之地。如果您想了解JoyoungLtd的估值,請查看與其所處行業相比的市盈率這個標準。

Is JoyoungLtd Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

JoyoungLtd是否有效利用其利潤?

JoyoungLtd's declining earnings is not surprising given how the company is spending most of its profits in paying dividends, judging by its three-year median payout ratio of 79% (or a retention ratio of 21%). With only very little left to reinvest into the business, growth in earnings is far from likely.

鑑於JoyoungLtd支付的股息佔利潤的三年中位數爲79%(或留存比率爲21%),該公司的盈利下降是毫不意外的。因爲幾乎沒有剩餘的利潤再重新投資到業務中,所以獲得盈利增長的可能性非常小。此外,JoyoungLtd已經支付股息至少十年,這表明即使以犧牲業務增長爲代價,保持支付股息也比其他更重要。現有分析師的估計表明,該公司未來的股息支付比率預計將在未來三年內下降至36%。該公司的roe預計在同一時期將上升至14%,這是由於股息支付比率的下降所解釋的。

In addition, JoyoungLtd has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Existing analyst estimates suggest that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 36% over the next three years. The fact that the company's ROE is expected to rise to 14% over the same period is explained by the drop in the payout ratio.

總的來說,我們認爲JoyoungLtd有一些積極的特點。雖然我們對高roe的公司沒有盈利增長感到失望,但需要注意的是,該公司只重新投資了一小部分的利潤,這意味着投資者並沒有獲得高額回報。儘管如此,最新的行業分析師預測顯示,分析師預計該公司的盈利增長率將有很大的改善。要了解更多關於公司未來盈利增長的預測,請查看關於該公司的分析師預測的免費報告。

Conclusion

結論

On the whole, we do feel that JoyoungLtd has some positive attributes. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a high ROE. Bear in mind, the company reinvests a small portion of its profits, which means that investors aren't reaping the benefits of the high rate of return. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

JoyoungLtd總體上具有一些積極因素。儘管如此,令人失望的是,即使roe很高,盈利增長還是缺乏增長。需要記住的是,公司只重新投資了一小部分的利潤,這意味着投資者沒有獲得高收益率的好處。儘管如此,最新的行業分析師預測顯示,分析師預計該公司的盈利增長率將有很大的改善。要了解更多關於公司未來盈利增長的預測,請查看關於該公司的分析師預測的免費報告。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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