We Think Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology (SZSE:300627) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease
We Think Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology (SZSE:300627) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology Ltd (SZSE:300627) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
作爲投資者,有些人認爲,與其考慮債務,不如視波動性爲風險;但禾倫·巴菲特有名地說道,“波動性遠非風險的代名詞”。因此,在考慮任何給定股票的風險時,需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。與許多其他公司一樣,華測導航技術有限公司(SZSE:300627)利用債務。然而,真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司風險加劇。
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
對於一家企業來說,當無法很容易地通過自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌集資本來實現這些責任時,債務和其他負債會向其敞開風險大門。如果情況變得非常糟糕,債權人可以接管企業。雖然這種情況並不是太常見,但我們經常看到負債累累的公司因爲債權人強制要求以息苦本的價格籌集資本而永久稀釋股東的情況。當然,對於資本密集型的企業而言,負債是一個很重要的工具。當我們考慮一家公司的債務使用時,首先要看現金和債務共同構成的情況。
What Is Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology's Debt?
華測導航技術的債務是什麼?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology had debt of CN¥210.3m at the end of March 2024, a reduction from CN¥324.4m over a year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥1.26b in cash, so it actually has CN¥1.05b net cash.
下圖顯示,華測導航技術於2024年3月底負債21030萬人民幣,相較一年前的32440萬人民幣有所減少。然而,其資產負債表顯示其持有12.6億元現金,因此淨現金達到10.5億元人民幣。
How Strong Is Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology's Balance Sheet?
華測導航技術的資產負債表有多強?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology had liabilities of CN¥920.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥190.4m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.26b and CN¥1.09b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥1.24b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
從最近的資產負債表中,我們可以看到華測導航技術面臨着今年到期的92040萬元人民幣的負債,以及之後到期的19040萬元人民幣的負債。另一方面,華測導航技術持有12.6億元人民幣及10.9億元人民幣的年內到期應收賬款。因此,其實還有12.4億元人民幣。這些短期流動資產的存在表明華測導航技術可以輕鬆地償付債務,因爲其資產負債表遠未過度緊張。簡而言之,華測導航技術擁有淨現金,因此可以免除過重的債務負擔!比總負債還多出了更多的流動資產。
This short term liquidity is a sign that Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
此外,我們很高興地報告,華測導航技術的EBIt增長了47%,從而減少了未來債務償還的危險。分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是開始的明顯地方。但最重要的是未來的收入,因爲這將決定華測導航技術維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您想了解專業人士的看法,您可能會發現本免費報告對分析師的盈利預測感興趣。
In addition to that, we're happy to report that Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology has boosted its EBIT by 47%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
但是,我們最後的考慮也很重要,因爲一家公司無法通過紙質利潤支付債務;它需要真正的、切實可行的現金。雖然華測導航技術有淨現金,但仍有必要看一下它將息稅前收益(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其現金餘額是如何快速建立(或侵蝕)的。在最近的三年中,華測導航技術的自由現金流佔EBIt的比例爲40%,這比我們預期的要弱。這種較弱的現金轉化率使其更難以處理負債。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent three years, Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology recorded free cash flow of 40% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
雖然調查一家公司的債務總是明智的,但在這種情況下,華測導航技術擁有10.5億元人民幣的淨現金和一張看起來不錯的資產負債表。我們還喜歡去年的年同比EBIt增長了47%的表現。因此,我們認爲華測導航技術的借貸使用並不冒險。資產負債表顯然是分析債務的重點,但並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中。例如,在投資此處之前,我們已發現華測導航技術存在1個警示信號。
Summing Up
總之
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology has CN¥1.05b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And we liked the look of last year's 47% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Shanghai Huace Navigation Technology that you should be aware of before investing here.
儘管調查公司的債務總是明智的,但在這種情況下,華測導航技術擁有10.5億元人民幣的淨現金和一張看起來不錯的資產負債表。我們還喜歡去年的年同比EBIt增長了47%的表現。因此,我們認爲華測導航技術的借貸使用並不冒險。資產負債表顯然是分析債務的重點,但並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中。例如,在投資此處之前,我們已發現華測導航技術存在1個警示信號。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
說到底,有時更容易關注那些甚至不需要債務的公司。讀者可以免費查看零淨債務增長股票列表,立即獲得。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。