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Soft Inflation Data Boosts Small Caps, Real Estate, Regional Banks; Traders Anticipate Fed Rate Cuts As Stocks React

Soft Inflation Data Boosts Small Caps, Real Estate, Regional Banks; Traders Anticipate Fed Rate Cuts As Stocks React

軟通貨膨脹數據提振小市值股票、房地產業、區域型銀行;交易員預期隨着股票的反應,聯邦儲備委員會將進行利率削減。
Benzinga ·  06/12 10:09

A cooler-than-expected U.S. inflation report fueled a rally on Wall Street, ahead of the highly anticipated Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting at 2:00 p.m. Wednesday.

週三下午 2:00 備受期待的聯邦公開市場委員會(FOMC)會議之前,一份低於預期的美國通脹報告推動了華爾街的上漲。

What happened: Inflation slowed to 3.3% annually in May, below both the expected and previous rate of 3.4%. On a monthly basis, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) remained flat, below the anticipated 0.1% increase and a significant drop from April's 0.3% rise.

發生了什麼:5月份的年通貨膨脹率放緩至3.3%,低於預期和之前的3.4%。按月計算,消費者價格指數(CPI)保持平穩,低於預期的0.1%的漲幅,較4月份的0.3%大幅下降。

Additionally, the core measure of inflation, which excludes energy and food, weakened more than predicted. Annually, core inflation slowed from 3.6% to 3.4%, falling short of the 3.5% expectation.

此外,不包括能源和食品的核心通貨膨脹指標的疲軟程度超過了預期。每年,核心通貨膨脹率從3.6%放緩至3.4%,未達到3.5%的預期。

Why it matters: Lower-than-expected inflation data is bolstering hopes for a steady return to the Federal Reserve's 2% target and raising expectations for interest rate cuts later this year.

爲何重要:低於預期的通貨膨脹數據增強了人們對聯儲局穩定恢復2%目標的希望,並提高了對今年晚些時候降息的預期。

Markets are now assigning a probability of over 70% for a September rate cut, up from 54% before the inflation report. Notably, Fed futures now indicate 55 basis points of rate cuts priced in by the end of the year, implying two rate cuts.

現在,市場認爲9月份降息的可能性超過70%,高於通脹報告發布前的54%。值得注意的是,聯儲局期貨現在顯示,到年底將有55個點子的降息,這意味着兩次降息。

Prospects of a declining cost of borrowing are aiding interest-rate sensitive sectors and stocks, which had lagged in recent weeks due to fears of prolonged higher rates.

借貸成本下降的前景爲利率敏感板塊和股票提供了幫助,由於擔心利率長期上升,最近幾周這些行業和股票一直處於滯後狀態。

Market reactions: Small caps, as tracked by the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:IWM), were the brightest spot in the market, opening 2.9% higher and on track for the best-performing day year to date.

市場反應:根據iShares Russell 2000 ETF(紐約證券交易所代碼:IWM)追蹤的小盤股是市場上最亮的股票,開盤上漲2.9%,有望創下今年迄今爲止表現最好的日子。

Chart: Small Caps Eye Best Day Since Mid-December 2023

圖表:小盤股看上自2023年12月中旬以來的最佳日子

In comparison, large-cap indices such as the S&P 500, the Nasdaq 100, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average were all about 0.9% higher.

相比之下,標普500指數、納斯達克100指數和道瓊斯工業平均指數等大盤股指數均上漲約0.9%。

Sector-wise, real estate and materials were the best performers, with the Vanguard Real Estate ETF (NYSE:VNQ) and the Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:XLB) up 2.2% and 1.6%, respectively.

板塊方面,房地產和材料業表現最好,Vanguard房地產ETF(紐約證券交易所代碼:VNQ)和材料精選板塊SPDR基金(紐約證券交易所代碼:XLB)分別上漲2.2%和1.6%。

Industry-wise, homebuilders, regional banks, solar, and biotech stocks were the top performers, showing notable increases.

行業方面,房屋建築商、地區銀行、太陽能和生物技術股票表現最好,漲幅顯著。

  • SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (NYSE:XHB) up 4%
  • Invesco Solar ETF (NYSE:TAN) 3.9%
  • SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:KRE) up 3.3%
  • SPDR S&P Biotech ETF (NYSE:XBI) up 2.3%
  • SPDR標普房屋建築商ETF(紐約證券交易所代碼:XHB)上漲4%
  • 景順太陽能ETF(紐約證券交易所代碼:TAN)3.9%
  • SPDR標普地區銀行ETF(紐約證券交易所代碼:KRE)上漲3.3%
  • SPDR標普生物技術ETF(紐約證券交易所代碼:XBI)上漲2.3%

According to Benzinga pro data the top-performing stocks (with at least $1 billion of market cap) in the hour following the U.S. inflation report were:

根據Benzinga的專業數據,在美國通脹報告發布後的一個小時內,表現最好的股票(市值至少爲10億美元)是:

  1. Sunrun Inc. (NASDAQ:RUN): 7.87%
  2. Array Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:ARRY): 7.65%
  3. Opendoor Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:OPEN): 7.44%
  4. Element Solutions Inc. (NYSE:ESI): 6.78%
  5. TeraWulf Inc. (NASDAQ:WULF): 6.68%
  6. Iamgold Corporation (NYSE:IAG): 6.55%
  7. Globus Medical Inc. (NYSE:GMED): 6.04%
  8. Dyne Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ:DYN): 5.99%
  9. Enphase Energy Inc. (NASDAQ:ENPH): 5.93%
  10. Upstart Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:UPST): 5.75%
  1. Sunrun Inc.(納斯達克股票代碼:RUN):7.87%
  2. Array Technologies Inc.(納斯達克股票代碼:ARRY):7.65%
  3. 開門科技公司(納斯達克股票代碼:OPEN):7.44%
  4. 元素解決方案公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:ESI):6.78%
  5. TeraWulf Inc.(納斯達克股票代碼:WULF):6.68%
  6. Iamgold Corporation(紐約證券交易所代碼:IAG):6.55%
  7. Globus Medical Inc.(紐約證券交易所代碼:GMED):6.04%
  8. 達因療法公司(納斯達克股票代碼:DYN):5.99%
  9. Enphase Energy Inc.(納斯達克股票代碼:ENPH):5.93%
  10. Upstart Holdings Inc.(納斯達克股票代碼:UPST):5.75%

Looking ahead, traders are now eagerly anticipating the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The statement and new macroeconomic projections will be released at 2:00 p.m. ET, followed by Fed Chair Powell's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET.

展望未來,交易者現在熱切期待聯邦公開市場委員會(FOMC)會議。該聲明和新的宏觀經濟預測將在美國東部時間下午 2:00 發佈,隨後聯儲局主席鮑威爾將在美國東部時間下午 2:30 舉行新聞發佈會。

Read now: Fed Meeting Preview: Economists Predict Steady Rates In June, Fewer Cuts Ahead

立即閱讀: 聯儲局會議預覽:經濟學家預測6月份利率將保持穩定,未來減幅將減少

Photo: Shutterstock

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