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Don't Race Out To Buy Lafang China Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603630) Just Because It's Going Ex-Dividend

Don't Race Out To Buy Lafang China Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603630) Just Because It's Going Ex-Dividend

不要因爲將要除息就立刻買入拉芳家化(SHSE:603630)股票
Simply Wall St ·  06/12 18:57

Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Lafang China Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603630) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 4 days. The ex-dividend date occurs one day before the record date which is the day on which shareholders need to be on the company's books in order to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is important because any transaction on a stock needs to have been settled before the record date in order to be eligible for a dividend. Accordingly, Lafang ChinaLtd investors that purchase the stock on or after the 17th of June will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 17th of June.

一直以來,Simply Wall St一直鍾情於分紅派息,因此非常興奮地看到拉芳家化股份有限公司(SHSE:603630)即將在未來4天內交易除權除息日。除權除息日發生在股權登記日前一天,即股東需要在公司賬簿上記錄以便獲得派息的那天。除權除息日非常重要,因爲爲了有資格獲得分紅,股票上的任何交易都需要在股權登記日之前完成。因此,在6月17日之後購買拉芳家化股票的投資者將無法獲得分紅,派息將在6月17日支付。

The company's upcoming dividend is CN¥0.23 a share, following on from the last 12 months, when the company distributed a total of CN¥0.23 per share to shareholders. Calculating the last year's worth of payments shows that Lafang ChinaLtd has a trailing yield of 2.0% on the current share price of CN¥11.51. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. So we need to investigate whether Lafang ChinaLtd can afford its dividend, and if the dividend could grow.

公司即將派發人民幣0.23元/股的股息,接着過去的12個月,公司向股東派發了總計人民幣0.23元/股的分紅。計算過去一年的派息額表明,目前股價爲人民幣11.51元的拉芳家化股份有限公司的分紅率爲2.0%。對於長期股東,分紅是投資回報的主要貢獻者,但前提是分紅繼續支付。因此,我們需要調查拉芳家化股份有限公司能否負擔得起分紅,以及分紅是否會增長。

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Last year Lafang ChinaLtd paid out 92% of its profits as dividends to shareholders, suggesting the dividend is not well covered by earnings. That said, even highly profitable companies sometimes might not generate enough cash to pay the dividend, which is why we should always check if the dividend is covered by cash flow. Thankfully its dividend payments took up just 26% of the free cash flow it generated, which is a comfortable payout ratio.

通常,股息是從公司利潤中支付的,因此,如果公司支付的分紅多於收入,其分紅通常面臨更高的被削減風險。去年,拉芳家化股份有限公司向股東支付了其利潤的92%作爲分紅,表明分紅收益不能通過盈利覆蓋。 也就是說,即使是高獲利的公司有時也可能無法產生足夠的現金來支付分紅,這就是我們應該始終檢查分紅是否被現金流覆蓋的原因。值得慶幸的是,其分紅支付僅佔其自由現金流的26%,這是一個舒適的派息比率。

It's good to see that while Lafang ChinaLtd's dividends were not well covered by profits, at least they are affordable from a cash perspective. Still, if this were to happen repeatedly, we'd be concerned about whether the dividend is sustainable in a downturn.

很高興看到雖然拉芳家化股份有限公司的分紅收益不能通過盈利覆蓋,但至少從現金角度來看,它們仍是可承受的。然而,如果這種情況反覆出現,我們會擔心分紅在經濟下行時是否可持續。

Click here to see how much of its profit Lafang ChinaLtd paid out over the last 12 months.

單擊此處查看拉芳家化股份有限公司過去12個月支付的利潤金額。

historic-dividend
SHSE:603630 Historic Dividend June 12th 2024
SHSE:603630歷史分紅 2024年6月12日

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

收益和股息一直在增長嗎?

Companies with falling earnings are riskier for dividend shareholders. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. With that in mind, we're discomforted by Lafang ChinaLtd's 14% per annum decline in earnings in the past five years. When earnings per share fall, the maximum amount of dividends that can be paid also falls.

營收下降的公司風險更高,面臨減少股息的風險,投資者可能會看到其投資價值蕩然無存。因此,我們對拉芳家化股份有限公司過去五年內每年下降14%的盈利感到不滿。當每股盈利下降時,可分配的最大股息也會下降。

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. In the past seven years, Lafang ChinaLtd has increased its dividend at approximately 8.3% a year on average. That's intriguing, but the combination of growing dividends despite declining earnings can typically only be achieved by paying out a larger percentage of profits. Lafang ChinaLtd is already paying out 92% of its profits, and with shrinking earnings we think it's unlikely that this dividend will grow quickly in the future.

大多數投資者評估一家公司的股息前景的主要方法是檢查其歷史股息增長率。近七年來,拉芳家化股份有限公司的分紅平均每年增長約爲8.3%。這很有趣,但是儘管盈利下降,但股息增長的組合通常只能通過支付更高的利潤百分比來實現。拉芳家化股份有限公司已支付其利潤的92%,而且隨着盈利下降,我們認爲未來這種分紅增長速度不太可能快速增長。

The Bottom Line

還有一件事需要注意的是,我們已經確定了上海醫藥的2個警告信號,了解這些信號應該成爲你的投資過程的一部分。

Has Lafang ChinaLtd got what it takes to maintain its dividend payments? It's never great to see earnings per share declining, especially when a company is paying out 92% of its profit as dividends, which we feel is uncomfortably high. Yet cashflow was much stronger, which makes us wonder if there are some large timing issues in Lafang ChinaLtd's cash flows, or perhaps the company has written down some assets aggressively, reducing its income. Bottom line: Lafang ChinaLtd has some unfortunate characteristics that we think could lead to sub-optimal outcomes for dividend investors.

拉芳家化股份有限公司有能力維持股息支付嗎?盈利每股下降,特別是在公司將92%的利潤作爲分紅支付時,我們認爲情況並不太好。然而,現金流強勁,這使我們猜想拉芳家化股份有限公司的現金流可能存在一些大的時間差或公司可能已經大幅寫下某些資產,從而減少了其收入。

So if you're still interested in Lafang ChinaLtd despite it's poor dividend qualities, you should be well informed on some of the risks facing this stock. To help with this, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Lafang ChinaLtd (1 is a bit concerning!) that you ought to be aware of before buying the shares.

因此,即使拉芳家化股份有限公司的分紅資格不佳,如果您仍然對該公司感興趣,您應該對其股票面臨的一些風險有充分的了解。爲此,我們發現了拉芳家化股份有限公司的4個警示信號(其中1個有點令人擔憂!),在購買股票之前了解一下這些警示信號。

If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.

如果你在尋找強勁的股息支付者,我們建議查看我們的頂級股息股票選擇。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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