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Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery Joint-Stock Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002304) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery Joint-Stock Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002304) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

洋河股份(SZSE:002304)的股票最近表現不佳,但財務前景看好:市場錯了嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  06/12 19:39

Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery (SZSE:002304) has had a rough three months with its share price down 14%. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. Specifically, we decided to study Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery's ROE in this article.

江蘇洋河酒廠(SZSE:002304)在過去的三個月裏股價跌了14%。然而,股票價格通常是長期受公司財務狀況影響的,而在這種情況下,公司財務狀況看起來相當可觀。特別是,我們決定在本文中研究江蘇洋河酒廠的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股東應考慮的重要因素是淨資產收益率或roe,因爲它告訴他們投資的資本如何被有效地再投資。簡單來說,它用於評估公司與其股權資本相關的盈利能力。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎樣計算ROE?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery is:

因此,根據上述公式,江蘇洋河酒廠的roe爲:

18% = CN¥10b ÷ CN¥58b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

18% = CN¥100 billion ÷ CN¥580 billion (基於截至2024年3月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.18 in profit.

「回報」是公司在過去一年中獲得的收入。一種概念化這一點的方法是,對於每1元股東資本,公司的利潤爲0.18元。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

ROE與盈利增長之間的關係是什麼?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我們已經確定ROE作爲評估公司未來收益的有效指標。現在我們需要評估公司爲未來增長所保留的利潤量,從而給我們一個關於公司增長潛力的想法。假設其他條件都相同,既具有較高ROE又具有較高利潤保留的公司通常是增長率更高的公司,相比之下沒有這些特點的公司會更低。

Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery's Earnings Growth And 18% ROE

江蘇洋河酒廠的盈利增長和18%的roe

At first glance, Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery seems to have a decent ROE. And on comparing with the industry, we found that the the average industry ROE is similar at 16%. Consequently, this likely laid the ground for the decent growth of 6.3% seen over the past five years by Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery.

乍一看,江蘇洋河酒廠的roe似乎還不錯。與行業平均roe大致相同的16%相比,我們發現行業板塊也如此。因此,這很可能爲江蘇洋河酒廠過去五年內看到的6.3%的不錯增長奠定了基礎。

We then compared Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 15% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

然後,我們比較了江蘇洋河酒廠的淨利潤增長與行業發現,公司的增長率低於同一5年期的行業平均增長率15%,這有點令人擔憂。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002304 Past Earnings Growth June 12th 2024
SZSE:002304過去的盈利增長2024年6月12日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

盈利增長是股票估值的一個重要因素。投資者需要判斷的下一件事是,預期的盈利增長,或其缺乏,是否已經融入股價。然後,這有助於他們確定股票是否面臨光明或黯淡的未來。如果你想知道江蘇洋河酒廠的估值,請查看此環比與該行業的股票市盈率的比較。

Is Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

江蘇洋河酒廠在利用其利潤方面是否有效?

While Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery has a three-year median payout ratio of 59% (which means it retains 41% of profits), the company has still seen a fair bit of earnings growth in the past, meaning that its high payout ratio hasn't hampered its ability to grow.

儘管江蘇洋河酒廠的三年中位數紅利支付率爲59%(這意味着公司保留了41%的利潤),但公司過去仍然看到了相當多的盈利增長,這意味着其高紅利支付率沒有阻礙其增長能力。

Besides, Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 69%. Still, forecasts suggest that Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery's future ROE will rise to 21% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

此外,江蘇洋河酒廠已經連續十年或更長時間支付紅利。這表明公司致力於與股東分享利潤。我們最新的分析師數據顯示,未來三年公司的紅利支付比率預計約爲69%。儘管如此,預測表明江蘇洋河酒廠的未來roe將提高到21%,即使公司的紅利支付比率不太會有所變化。

Conclusion

結論

On the whole, we do feel that Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery has some positive attributes. Its earnings have grown respectably as we saw earlier, which was likely due to the company reinvesting its earnings at a pretty high rate of return. However, given the high ROE, we do think that the company is reinvesting a small portion of its profits. This could likely be preventing the company from growing to its full extent. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

總的來說,我們認爲江蘇洋河酒廠具有一些積極的特點。正如我們之前看到的,其盈利增長是可觀的,這很可能是由於公司利潤以相當高的回報率再投資。然而,鑑於高roe,我們認爲公司在再投資利潤的一小部分。這可能會阻止公司實現全部增長。雖然如此,最新的分析師預測顯示公司將繼續看到盈利的擴張。要了解更多關於公司的最新分析師預測,請查看此公司分析師預測的可視化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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