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Is Weakness In Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Corporation Limited (HKG:2411) Stock A Sign That The Market Could Be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?

Is Weakness In Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Corporation Limited (HKG:2411) Stock A Sign That The Market Could Be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?

深圳興業證券(集團)股份有限公司(HKG:2411)股票走弱,是市場可能錯判其強勁的財務前景的跡象嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  06/12 20:15

Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) (HKG:2411) has had a rough three months with its share price down 12%. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. In this article, we decided to focus on Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group)'s ROE.

深圳寶塔實業(集團)股份有限公司(HKG:2411)經歷了漫長的三個月,其股價下跌12%。 然而,股價通常受公司在長期內的財務表現驅動,而在這種情況下,前景看起來相當有前途。 在本文中,我們將重點關注深圳寶塔實業(集團)的ROE。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股東應考慮的重要因素是淨資產收益率或roe,因爲它告訴他們投資的資本如何被有效地再投資。簡單來說,它用於評估公司與其股權資本相關的盈利能力。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎樣計算ROE?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

淨資產收益率可以使用以下公式進行計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) is:

因此,根據上述公式,深圳寶塔實業(集團)的ROE爲:

10% = CN¥340m ÷ CN¥3.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

10%=3430萬元 ÷ 33億元(截至2023年12月的過去12個月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each HK$1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made HK$0.10 in profit.

“回報”是過去十二個月的利潤。 一種概念化的方法是,對於每1港元的股東資本,公司獲得了0.10港元的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

既然我們已經確定ROE是一種有效的利潤生成標準,用於評估公司未來的盈利能力,我們現在需要評估公司“保留”爲未來增長而重新投資的利潤多少,這使我們對公司的增長潛力有了一個了解。一般而言,在其他條件相等的情況下,ROE和利潤留存高的公司,增長率比沒有這些屬性的公司要高。

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到ROE衡量公司如何高效地生成利潤。現在我們需要評估公司以後的增長潛力,即公司重新投資或“保留”的利潤。其他條件相同的情況下,同時具有較高的股權回報率和較高的利潤保留的公司通常是相對於不具備相同特點的公司而言增長率更高的公司。

Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group)'s Earnings Growth And 10% ROE

深圳寶塔實業(集團)的盈利增長和10%的ROE

To start with, Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group)'s ROE looks acceptable. Even when compared to the industry average of 10% the company's ROE looks quite decent. This probably goes some way in explaining Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group)'s significant 21% net income growth over the past five years amongst other factors. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

首先,深圳寶塔實業(集團)的ROE看起來是可以接受的。 即使與10%的行業平均水平相比,公司的ROE也相當不錯。 這可能在一定程度上解釋了深圳寶塔實業(集團)在過去五年中顯着的21%淨利潤增長,以及其他因素。 我們認爲這裏還可能有其他因素。 例如,公司的管理層可能已經做出了一些好的戰略決策,或者公司的紅利支付比率較低。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group)'s reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 31% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

接下來,與行業淨利潤增長相比,我們發現深圳寶塔實業(集團)的報告增長低於近幾年的行業增長31%,這不是我們喜歡看到的。

past-earnings-growth
SEHK:2411 Past Earnings Growth June 13th 2024
SEHK:2411過去的盈利增長2024年6月13日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

盈利增長是股票估值的一個重要因素。 投資者知道市場是否已經預測了公司的預期盈利增長(或下降)非常重要。 通過這樣做,他們將了解股票是進入清澈的藍色水域還是面對沼澤水域。 一項很好的預期盈利增長指標是市盈率,它根據股票的收益前景確定市場願意爲其支付的價格。 因此,您可能需要檢查深圳寶塔實業(集團)是否基於其行業的高市盈率或低市盈率交易。

Is Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

深圳寶塔實業(集團)是否有效利用其利潤?

Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group)'s three-year median payout ratio is a pretty moderate 32%, meaning the company retains 68% of its income. This suggests that its dividend is well covered, and given the high growth we discussed above, it looks like Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) is reinvesting its earnings efficiently.

深圳寶塔實業(集團)三年的中位數分紅比率相當適中,爲32%,這意味着公司保留了其收入的68%。 這表明其紅利得到了很好的覆蓋,並且考慮到我們上面討論的高增長,深圳寶塔實業(集團)看起來在有效地重新投資其收益。

While Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group) has been growing its earnings, it only recently started to pay dividends which likely means that the company decided to impress new and existing shareholders with a dividend. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 22% over the next three years. However, the company's ROE is not expected to change by much despite the lower expected payout ratio.

儘管深圳寶塔實業(集團)一直在增長其收益,但它剛開始支付股息,這可能意味着公司決定通過股息向新老股東展示。 在研究最新的分析師共識數據時,我們發現公司未來的紅利支付比率預計將在未來三年內降至22%。 但是,儘管預計紅利支付比率降低,公司的ROE不會發生太大變化。

Conclusion

結論

In total, we are pretty happy with Shenzhen Pagoda Industrial (Group)'s performance. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a high rate of return, that has resulted in a respectable growth in its earnings. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總的來說,我們對深圳寶塔實業(集團)的表現感到非常滿意。 特別是,公司正在大力投資自己的業務,並且隨着高回報率,這導致了其盈利的可觀增長。 話雖如此,公司的盈利增長預計將放緩,如當前分析師預期所示。 這些分析師的預期是基於該行業的廣泛預期,還是基於該公司的基本面? 單擊此處轉到我們的分析師預測頁面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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