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Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688103) Stock Is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688103) Stock Is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

崑山國立電子科技股份有限公司(SHSE:688103)的股票正在飆升,但財務狀況似乎不太一致:這股上漲趨勢會繼續下去嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  06/13 18:37

Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology's (SHSE:688103) stock is up by a considerable 16% over the past week. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Specifically, we decided to study Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology's ROE in this article.

上週,崑山國立電子科技股份有限公司(SHSE: 688103)的股價上漲了16%。但是,我們決定關注公司的基本面,這些基本面似乎並沒有給出公司財務健康的明確信號。具體來說,在本文中,我們決定研究崑山國立電子科技公司的ROE。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回報率或roe是評估公司管理層如何有效利用公司資本的關鍵指標。簡而言之,ROE顯示每美元股東投資所產生的利潤。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股東權益報酬率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

淨資產收益率可以使用以下公式進行計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology is:

因此,根據上述式子,崑山國立電子科技的ROE爲:

5.0% = CN¥57m ÷ CN¥1.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

5.0%= CN¥ 57m ÷ CN¥1.1b(基於過去十二個月至2024年3月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.05 in profit.

“回報”是企業上一年賺取的收入。換句話說,對於每1元的權益,公司能夠賺取0.05元的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

ROE與盈利增長有什麼關係?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到ROE衡量公司利潤的效率如何。基於公司選擇再投資或保留多少利潤,我們隨後能夠評估公司未來產生利潤的能力。總的來說,在其他條件相等的情況下,具有高ROE和利潤保留的公司的增長率比沒有這些特徵的公司要高。

Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology's Earnings Growth And 5.0% ROE

崑山國立電子科技的盈利增長和5.0%的ROE

When you first look at it, Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology's ROE doesn't look that attractive. We then compared the company's ROE to the broader industry and were disappointed to see that the ROE is lower than the industry average of 6.9%. For this reason, Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology's five year net income decline of 10% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For example, it is possible that the business has allocated capital poorly or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

一開始看,崑山國立電子科技的ROE並不那麼有吸引力。然後,我們將公司的ROE與整個行業進行了比較,遺憾的是,ROE低於6.9%的行業平均水平。因此,考慮到低ROE,我們認爲崑山國立電子科技的五年淨收入下降10%。我們認爲還可能存在其他方面對公司收益前景產生負面影響的因素。例如,企業可能會錯配資本,或者公司具有非常高的股利支付比率。

However, when we compared Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 12% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

然而,當我們將崑山國立電子科技的增長與行業進行比較時,我們發現儘管公司的收益有所下降,但行業在同一時期內的收益增長了12%。這非常令人擔憂。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:688103 Past Earnings Growth June 13th 2024
SHSE: 688103過去的盈利增長2024年6月13日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

公司附加價值的基礎在很大程度上與其盈利增長相關。投資者了解市場是否已經爲公司的預期盈利增長(或下降)定價很重要。這有助於他們確定股票在未來是通往光明還是黑暗。預期盈利增長的一個很好的指標是市盈率,它根據股票的盈利前景決定市場願意支付的價格。因此,您可能需要檢查崑山國立電子科技的市盈率是高於行業平均水平還是低於行業平均水平。

Is Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

崑山國立電子科技是否有效地再投資其利潤?

In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 34% (that is, a retention ratio of 66%), the fact that Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology's earnings have shrunk is quite puzzling. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

儘管該公司的三年中位數股利支付比率爲34%(即留存比率爲66%),但崑山國立電子科技的收益下降的事實相當令人困惑。因此,在這方面可能會有其他解釋。例如,該公司的業務可能正在惡化。

Only recently, Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology stated paying a dividend. This likely means that the management might have concluded that its shareholders have a strong preference for dividends.

最近,崑山國立電子科技開始支付股息。這可能意味着管理層認爲其股東非常希望獲得股息。

Conclusion

結論

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總體而言,我們認爲崑山國立電子科技表現出的業績可能被解讀多種。雖然該公司擁有較高的再投資率,但低的ROE意味着所有的再投資都沒有給其投資者帶來任何好處,而且有負面影響收益增長。在此情況下,最新的行業分析師預測顯示,分析師們預計看到公司的盈利增長率會大幅提高。這些分析師的預期是基於行業的廣泛預期還是基於公司的基本面?請單擊此處,訪問我們的分析師預測頁面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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