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We Think Acadia Healthcare Company (NASDAQ:ACHC) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

We Think Acadia Healthcare Company (NASDAQ:ACHC) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

我們認爲阿卡迪亞醫療保健公司(納斯達克:ACHC)在負債方面承擔了一定風險。
Simply Wall St ·  06/14 14:00

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. (NASDAQ:ACHC) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

伯克希爾哈撒韋的查理·芒格所支持的外部基金經理李璐毫不掩飾地說:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動性,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。” 當我們考慮一家公司的風險性時,我們總是想看看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過載會導致破產。 我們可以看到,阿卡迪亞醫療保健公司(納斯達克:ACHC)在其業務中確實使用了債務。 但真正的問題是這個債務是否使公司變得風險高發。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務帶來了什麼風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

當債務和其他負債無法輕易實現自由現金流或者以有吸引力的價格籌資時,它們就會對企業構成風險。在最糟糕的情況下,公司無法償付債權人而破產。然而,更常見的(但仍然昂貴)情況是,公司必須以低廉的股票價格稀釋股東的利益,只爲控制債務。然而,在消除稀釋的情況下,債務可以成爲需要以高回報率投資增長的企業非常好的工具。當我們思考一家公司的債務使用情況時,首先看的是現金和債務。

What Is Acadia Healthcare Company's Debt?

阿卡迪亞醫療保健公司的債務是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Acadia Healthcare Company had US$1.86b of debt, an increase on US$1.42b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$77.3m, its net debt is less, at about US$1.78b.

您可以點擊下面的圖形查看歷史數字,但它顯示出截至2024年3月,阿卡迪亞醫療保健公司負有18.6億美元的債務,較一年前的14.2億美元增加。然而,因爲它有77.3百萬美元的現金儲備,所以它的淨債務較少,大約爲17.8億美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:ACHC Debt to Equity History June 14th 2024
納斯達克GS:ACHC股本負債率歷史記錄,截至2024年6月14日。

A Look At Acadia Healthcare Company's Liabilities

我們可以從最近的資產負債表上看到,阿卡迪亞醫療保健公司面臨着4.823億美元的短期到期負債和20.6億美元的長期到期負債。與之相對的是,它有7,730萬美元的現金以及價值4.711億美元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的組合多1.99億美元。

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Acadia Healthcare Company had liabilities of US$482.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$2.06b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$77.3m as well as receivables valued at US$471.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$1.99b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

阿卡迪亞醫療保健公司的這種赤字並不太糟,因爲該公司價值61.5億美元,因此如果有需要,它可能會籌集足夠的資本來支持其資產負債表。然而,仍然有必要仔細研究其償付債務的能力。

This deficit isn't so bad because Acadia Healthcare Company is worth US$6.15b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

阿卡迪亞醫療保健公司的債務與剩餘現金流量比率爲2.7,其稅前利潤涵蓋了其利息支出5.9倍。這表明雖然債務水平較高,但我們不會認爲它們是有問題的。阿卡迪亞醫療保健公司可以通過停止借入而繼續以約14%左右的速度增長稅前利潤來消滅其債務,這是一種方式。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表上最了解債務。但未來的收益,尤其是未來的收益,將決定阿卡迪亞醫療保健公司維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你關注未來,你可以查看這份免費報告,了解分析師的利潤預測。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

爲了對公司的債務相對於其收益進行規模適應,我們計算其淨債務與利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA)之比及其稅前收益(EBIT)與利息支出之比(利息保障倍數)。因此,我們既考慮到不包括折舊和攤銷費用在內的收益,又包括折舊和攤銷費用的收益相對於債務。

Acadia Healthcare Company has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.7 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 5.9 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. One way Acadia Healthcare Company could vanquish its debt would be if it stops borrowing more but continues to grow EBIT at around 14%, as it did over the last year. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Acadia Healthcare Company's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

最後,儘管稅務部門可能喜歡會計利潤,但銀行家只接受現金。因此,邏輯上看,要看哪一個稅前利潤與實際自由現金流相匹配的比例。在過去的三年中,阿卡迪亞醫療保健公司總共記錄了負的自由現金流。債務通常在負自由現金流的公司手中更昂貴,也幾乎總是更加風險。股東們應該希望有所改善。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Acadia Healthcare Company recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

阿卡迪亞醫療保健公司將稅前利潤轉化爲自由現金流的困難使我們開始懷疑它的資產負債表實力,但我們考慮的其他數據點相對來說還是瞞好。例如,其稅前利潤增長率相對較高。我們還應該指出,像阿卡迪亞醫療保健公司這樣的醫療健康行業公司通常會在沒有問題的情況下使用債務。從上面提到的所有角度來看,似乎阿卡迪亞醫療保健公司作爲一種有債務風險的投資,但這並不一定是壞事,因爲槓桿可以提高股本回報率,但這也是需要注意的問題。當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的領域。但並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,這些風險很難發現。每個公司都會面臨這些風險,我們已經發現阿卡迪亞醫療保健公司的一個風險警示,你需要知道。

Our View

我們的觀點

Acadia Healthcare Company's struggle to convert EBIT to free cash flow had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. For example, its EBIT growth rate is relatively strong. We should also note that Healthcare industry companies like Acadia Healthcare Company commonly do use debt without problems. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Acadia Healthcare Company is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Acadia Healthcare Company you should know about.

阿卡迪亞醫療保健公司將稅前利潤轉化爲自由現金流的困難使我們開始懷疑它的資產負債表實力,但我們考慮的其他數據點相對來說還是瞞好。例如,其稅前利潤增長率相對較高。我們還應該指出,像阿卡迪亞醫療保健公司這樣的醫療健康行業公司通常會在沒有問題的情況下使用債務。從上面提到的所有角度來看,似乎阿卡迪亞醫療保健公司作爲一種有債務風險的投資,但這並不一定是壞事,因爲槓桿可以提高股本回報率,但這也是需要注意的問題。當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的領域。但並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,這些風險很難發現。每個公司都會面臨這些風險,我們已經發現阿卡迪亞醫療保健公司的一個風險警示,你需要知道。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有負債負擔的股票的投資者,則今天就可以發現我們的獨家淨現金增長股清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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