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Kingdee International Software Group (HKG:268) Adds HK$1.0b to Market Cap in the Past 7 Days, Though Investors From Three Years Ago Are Still Down 70%

Kingdee International Software Group (HKG:268) Adds HK$1.0b to Market Cap in the Past 7 Days, Though Investors From Three Years Ago Are Still Down 70%

金蝶國際軟件集團(HKG:268)在過去7天內市值增加了10億港元,但3年前的投資者仍下跌了70%。
Simply Wall St ·  06/14 18:21

As an investor, mistakes are inevitable. But you have a problem if you face massive losses more than once in a while. So spare a thought for the long term shareholders of Kingdee International Software Group Company Limited (HKG:268); the share price is down a whopping 70% in the last three years. That would certainly shake our confidence in the decision to own the stock. The more recent news is of little comfort, with the share price down 32% in a year. Unfortunately the share price momentum is still quite negative, with prices down 10% in thirty days.

作爲投資者,犯錯誤是不可避免的。但是,如果你偶爾面臨巨額損失,那麼你將面臨問題。因此,請爲金蝶國際軟件集團有限公司(HKG:268)的長期股東着想;股價在過去三年中驚人地下降了70%。這肯定會動搖我們持有該股票的信心。最近的新聞也很讓人不安,股價在一年內下跌了32%。不幸的是,股價勢頭仍然非常疲軟,價格在30天內下降了10%。

While the stock has risen 3.5% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.

儘管該股上週上漲了3.5%,但長期股東仍處於虧損狀態,讓我們看看基本面能告訴我們什麼。

Given that Kingdee International Software Group didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.

考慮到金蝶國際軟件集團在過去十二個月內沒有盈利,我們將關注其營業收入增長形成其業務發展的快速視圖。一般來說,預計沒有盈利的公司每年都會增長收入,並且增長速度很快。正如你所想象的那樣,快速的營收增長,如果能夠保持,往往會導致快速的利潤增長。

In the last three years, Kingdee International Software Group saw its revenue grow by 16% per year, compound. That's a pretty good rate of top-line growth. So it's hard to believe the share price decline of 19% per year is due to the revenue. More likely, the market was spooked by the cost of that revenue. If you buy into companies that lose money then you always risk losing money yourself. Just don't lose the lesson.

在過去的三年中,金蝶國際軟件集團的營業收入年複合增長率爲16%。這是一個相當不錯的營收增長率。因此,很難相信每年下跌19%的股價是由於營收所致。更有可能的是,市場被營收成本嚇壞了。如果你投資於虧損的公司,那麼你總是會冒着虧損的風險。只是不要忘了這個教訓。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了收益和營收隨時間變化的情況(如果你點擊圖像,可以看到更多細節):

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:268 Earnings and Revenue Growth June 14th 2024
SEHK:268股票營業收入於2024年6月14日增長。

Kingdee International Software Group is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. If you are thinking of buying or selling Kingdee International Software Group stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst consensus estimates for future profits.

金蝶國際軟件集團是一家知名的股票公司,有很多分析師的報道,表明未來增長的某些可見性。如果你考慮買入或賣出金蝶國際軟件集團的股票,你應該查看此免費報告,以了解分析師關於未來利潤的一致預測。

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

Investors in Kingdee International Software Group had a tough year, with a total loss of 32%, against a market gain of about 2.3%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 0.7% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Kingdee International Software Group better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Kingdee International Software Group .

金蝶國際軟件集團的投資者度過了一個艱難的一年,總損失達32%,而市場則獲得了約2.3%的收益。即使好股票的股價有時也會下跌,但我們希望在對一個公司的基本指標進行改進之前,看到企業基本面的改善。不幸的是,去年的業績可能表明存在未解決的挑戰,因爲其比過去半個世紀的年化收益率下降了0.7%更糟糕。一般來說,長期的股價疲軟可能是一個不好的跡象,儘管持不同意見的投資者可能希望研究股票,以期望扭轉局面。 跟蹤股價的長期表現總是很有趣的。但是要更好地了解金蝶國際軟件集團,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。爲此,你應該了解我們發現的1個警告信號。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

當然,您可能在其他地方找到一家出色的企業進行投資。因此,請查看我們預計將實現盈利增長的公司的免費列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了當前在香港證券交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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