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Yihai International Holding (HKG:1579) Stock Falls 3.3% in Past Week as Three-year Earnings and Shareholder Returns Continue Downward Trend

Yihai International Holding (HKG:1579) Stock Falls 3.3% in Past Week as Three-year Earnings and Shareholder Returns Continue Downward Trend

益海國際控股(HKG:1579)股票過去一週下跌3.3%,三年收益和股東回報持續下降趨勢。
Simply Wall St ·  06/14 22:25

It's not possible to invest over long periods without making some bad investments. But you have a problem if you face massive losses more than once in a while. So spare a thought for the long term shareholders of Yihai International Holding Ltd. (HKG:1579); the share price is down a whopping 74% in the last three years. That might cause some serious doubts about the merits of the initial decision to buy the stock, to put it mildly. The more recent news is of little comfort, with the share price down 26% in a year. More recently, the share price has dropped a further 21% in a month.

在長期投資中難免會犯一些錯誤的投資決策,但是如果你不斷遭受大規模的虧損,那就會帶來問題。所以,讓我們爲義海國際控股有限公司的長期股東默哀吧(港股代碼:1579); 其股價在過去三年中暴跌74%。這可能會對最初購買該股票的決策的價值產生嚴重的懷疑。更近期的消息也不令人放心,股價在一年內下跌26%。最近,股價在一個月內進一步下跌了21%。

With the stock having lost 3.3% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.

股價在過去一週跌了3.3%,值得關注業務表現,看看是否存在任何風險。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

在他的文章《格雷厄姆和多德斯維爾超級投資者》中,禾倫·巴菲特描述了股票價格並不總是反映公司價值的合理方式。考慮市場對公司的看法如何發生變化的一個不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價的變動進行比較。股票價格並不總是反映公司價值的合理方式禾倫·巴菲特曾稱,股票價格並不總是合理地反映了企業的價值。檢查市場情緒如何隨時間變化的一種方法是查看公司股價和每股收益(EPS)之間的互動。

Yihai International Holding saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 0.9% per year, over the last three years. The share price decline of 36% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past.

在過去的三年中,義海國際控股每股收益以複合年率下降了0.9%。卻比每股收益下降得更厲害,股價下跌了36%,這表明市場過去對該公司業務過於自信。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

該公司的每股收益(隨時間的推移)如下圖所示(單擊可查看確切數字)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:1579 Earnings Per Share Growth June 15th 2024
SEHK:1579每股收益增長2024年6月15日

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Yihai International Holding's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

我們喜歡近十二個月內內部人士買入股票的情況。話雖如此,大多數人認爲收益和營業收入增長趨勢更能有效地指導企業。我們推薦您免費查看義海國際控股的收益、營業收入和現金流等報告,這可能非常值得。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Yihai International Holding, it has a TSR of -72% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

投資者不僅應該衡量股價回報,還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。TSR是一種回報計算方法,考慮股息價值(假設任何收到的股息都是再投資的)和任何打折的募資和分拆的計算價值。可以說,TSR給支付股息的股票提供了更完整的圖片。對於義海國際控股而言,它在過去3年的TSR爲-72%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報。這在很大程度上是其分紅支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

While the broader market gained around 2.3% in the last year, Yihai International Holding shareholders lost 22% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 10% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Yihai International Holding , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

雖然整個市場在過去一年中的漲幅約爲2.3%,義海國際控股的股東卻損失了22%(包括股息在內)。即使是好股票股價有時也會下跌,但是在我們對企業的基本度量進行進一步分析之前,我們要看到企業的基本度量的改善。可悔的是,去年的表現是一個糟糕的起點,股東每年面臨着總損失達10%的情況長達五年。我們知道羅斯柴爾德男爵已經說過投資者應該“在街上有血時購買”,但我們建議投資者首先確定他們購買的是高質量的企業。對於股票業績的長期代表——股價走勢,我覺得它非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得深入的了解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,投資風險的常駐幽靈。我們已經確定義海國際控股有1個警告信號,了解這些應該成爲您的投資過程的一部分。

Yihai International Holding is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find lesser know companies this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

義海國際控股並不是唯一一個內部人士正在購買股票的公司。對於那些喜歡尋找不太知名的公司的人,這個免費的成長型公司列表,其中包括最近有內部人士購買的股票,可能是不二之選。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了當前在香港證券交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,也可以發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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