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Is Man Wah Holdings (HKG:1999) A Risky Investment?

Is Man Wah Holdings (HKG:1999) A Risky Investment?

曼華控股(HKG: 1999)是否是一項高風險的投資?
Simply Wall St ·  06/17 19:39

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Man Wah Holdings Limited (HKG:1999) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

傳奇基金經理李璐(查理・芒格支持的)曾說:“最大的投資風險不是價格波動性,而是您是否會遭受到永久性的資本損失。” 當您檢查投資風險時,考慮公司資產負債表是很自然的,因爲公司倒閉時往往涉及債務。 重要的是,萬華國際傢俱集團股份有限公司(HKG:1999)確實存在債務。 但股東們應該擔心其是否使用了債務嗎?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

債務能幫助企業,直到企業有困難無法用新資本或自由現金流償還債務。 在最壞的情況下,如果一個公司無法償還債權人的債務,它可能會破產。 然而,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低價沖淡股東的股價,以便控制債務。 當然,很多公司使用債務來資助增長,沒有任何負面影響。 考慮公司的現金和債務總額是評估企業債務水平的第一步。

What Is Man Wah Holdings's Net Debt?

萬華國際傢俱集團股份有限公司的淨債務是多少?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Man Wah Holdings had HK$4.11b in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it does have HK$3.55b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about HK$563.7m.

您可以點擊下面的圖表以了解詳情,其中顯示,萬華國際傢俱集團股份有限公司在2024年3月有41.1億港元的債務,與去年大致相同。 然而,它確實有35.5億港元的現金來抵消這一情況,導致淨債務約爲5.637億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1999 Debt to Equity History June 17th 2024
SEHK:1999債務與股權歷史,截至2024年6月17日

How Healthy Is Man Wah Holdings' Balance Sheet?

萬華國際傢俱集團股份有限公司的資產負債表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Man Wah Holdings had liabilities of HK$6.43b falling due within a year, and liabilities of HK$304.2m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$3.55b as well as receivables valued at HK$2.43b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by HK$748.4m.

我們可以看到從最近的資產負債表中,萬華國際傢俱集團股份有限公司有債務6.43億港元在一年內到期,304.2萬港元的債務超過一年後到期。 抵銷這些義務,它擁有35.5億港元的現金,以及12個月內到期的應收賬款價值24.3億港元。 因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款的總和達到7.484億港元。 當然,萬華國際傢俱集團股份有限公司市值達到236億港元,因此這些負債可能是可以管理的。 儘管如此,很明顯,我們應該繼續監視其資產負債表,以免出現惡化的情況。

Of course, Man Wah Holdings has a market capitalization of HK$23.6b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

當然,萬華國際傢俱集團股份有限公司的淨債務與EBITDA比率僅爲0.16,且其EBIT覆蓋其利息開支高達65.6倍。 因此,我們對其超級保守的債務使用感到相當放鬆。 另一個好跡象是,萬華國際傢俱集團股份有限公司在12個月內將EBIT提高了22%,這使得償還債務更加容易。 明顯,資產負債表是分析債務的關鍵。 但決定萬華國際傢俱集團股份有限公司未來能否保持健康資產負債表的能力,還要更多地看未來收益。 因此,如果您想要了解專業人士的看法,您可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

爲了對公司的債務相對於其收益進行規模適應,我們計算其淨債務與利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA)之比及其稅前收益(EBIT)與利息支出之比(利息保障倍數)。因此,我們既考慮到不包括折舊和攤銷費用在內的收益,又包括折舊和攤銷費用的收益相對於債務。

Man Wah Holdings has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.16. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 65.6 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Another good sign is that Man Wah Holdings has been able to increase its EBIT by 22% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Man Wah Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

最後,雖然納稅人可能會喜歡會計利潤,但放貸人只接受冷硬現金。 因此,檢查有多少EBIT受自由現金流支持是值得的。 在過去的三年中,萬華國際傢俱集團股份有限公司記錄下了價值佔其EBIT的52%的自由現金流,這是正常水平,因爲自由現金流不包括利息和稅收。 如果有適當的機會,這個自由現金流將使公司處於良好的償還債務位置。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Man Wah Holdings recorded free cash flow worth 52% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

令人高興的是,萬華國際傢俱集團股份有限公司的利息覆蓋率令人印象深刻,這意味着它在債務方面佔優勢。 而且,好消息還不止這些,因爲它的淨債務與EBITDA比率也非常令人欣慰。 總體而言,萬華國際傢俱集團股份有限公司似乎相當合理地使用債務,這在我們看來是值得肯定的。 當然,債務確實帶來風險,但是如果明智地使用,它也可以帶來更高的股本回報率。 在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯的起點。 然而,並不是所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,相反,遠非如此。 例如,-萬華國際傢俱集團股份有限公司有1個警告信號,我們認爲您應該注意它。

Our View

我們的觀點

Happily, Man Wah Holdings's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its net debt to EBITDA is also very heartening. Zooming out, Man Wah Holdings seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Man Wah Holdings has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

您會發現,當債務使用得當時,利用債務可以帶來更高的股本回報率。 計算債務水平時,資產負債表是一個明顯的起點。 不過,遠非所有的投資風險都藏身於資產負債表中。 Man Wah Holdings還有其他風險? 我們在這裏討論這些問題。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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