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Investors Five-year Losses Continue as China Petroleum Engineering (SHSE:600339) Dips a Further 3.1% This Week, Earnings Continue to Decline

Investors Five-year Losses Continue as China Petroleum Engineering (SHSE:600339) Dips a Further 3.1% This Week, Earnings Continue to Decline

投資者五年來的虧損繼續,因爲中國石油股份(SHSE:600339)本週再次下跌3.1%,收益繼續下降。
Simply Wall St ·  06/17 20:16

Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But even the best stock picker will only win with some selections. So we wouldn't blame long term China Petroleum Engineering Corporation (SHSE:600339) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 27% over a half decade. We also note that the stock has performed poorly over the last year, with the share price down 21%. More recently, the share price has dropped a further 11% in a month. We do note, however, that the broader market is down 5.4% in that period, and this may have weighed on the share price.

理想情況下,您的整個投資組合應該超過市場平均水平。但是,即使是最好的股票選擇人也只有在...上取勝。一些股票的選擇是必須的。因爲股價在過去的五年中下跌了27%,股票表現差,所以長揸中油工程股票的股東們可能開始懷疑他們的決定。我們也注意到,股價在過去的一年中表現不佳,股價下跌了21%。最近,股價在一個月內進一步下跌了11%。但是,我們確實注意到,在那段時間,整個市場下跌了5.4%,這可能是對股價的壓制。

Since China Petroleum Engineering has shed CN¥558m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

自從過去7天,中油工程公司的市值減少了55800萬人民幣,讓我們看看更長期的下跌是否源於業務的經濟。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

引用巴菲特的話:“船隻將周遊世界,而‘地平派’仍會興旺。市場上的價格和價值仍會存在廣泛的差距……”考慮一家公司在市場上的認知如何變化的一個不完美但簡單的方法是比較每股收益(EPS)的變化和股價的波動。

Looking back five years, both China Petroleum Engineering's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 5.9% per year. In this case, the EPS change is really very close to the share price drop of 6% a year. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. So it's fair to say the share price has been responding to changes in EPS.

回顧過去五年,中油工程的股價和每股收益都下降了;每股收益年均下降5.9%。在這種情況下,每股收益的變化與股價每年下跌6%非常接近。這表明公司的市場情緒在那段時間沒有太大的改變,所以可以說股價一直在對每股收益的變化做出反應。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

該公司的每股收益(隨時間的推移)如下圖所示(單擊可查看確切數字)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:600339 Earnings Per Share Growth June 18th 2024
SHSE:600339 每股收益增長2024年6月18日

This free interactive report on China Petroleum Engineering's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

如果您想進一步調查該股票,可以在這份免費的互動報告中了解中油工程的收益、營業收入和現金流。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of China Petroleum Engineering, it has a TSR of -22% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是考慮總股東回報(TSR)和股票回報之間的差異。 TSR包括任何剝離或折讓的資本籌集(基於股息被重新投資的假設),以及任何股息。因此,對於支付慷慨的股息公司而言,TSR通常比股票回報高得多。就中國神威藥業集團而言,其TSR在過去5年中達到了75%。這超過了我們之前提到的股票回報。該公司支付的股息已經提高了總股東回報。總股東回報股票回報TSR是一種回報計算,考慮到現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都被再投資)以及任何折扣後的增資和分拆的計算價值。因此,對於支付高額股息的公司而言,TSR往往比股價回報率高得多。在中油工程的情況下,它在過去的5年中的TSR爲-22%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報!這在很大程度上是由於其分紅派息引起的!

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

While the broader market lost about 15% in the twelve months, China Petroleum Engineering shareholders did even worse, losing 20% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 4% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with China Petroleum Engineering .

雖然整個市場在過去的12個月中下跌了約15%,但中國石油股份股東的情況更糟,跌幅達20%(甚至還包括分紅派息)。然而,股票價格受到整個市場情緒的影響可能只是臨時的,有可能存在很好的機會,值得密切關注基本面。遺憾的是,去年的表現令人失望,股東在過去的五年中面臨着每年總虧損4%的風險。我們知道,羅斯柴爾德男爵曾說過投資者應該 “在街頭流血時買入”,但我們提醒投資者首先確保他們正在購買優質的業務。雖然考慮市場條件對股價產生的不同影響是非常值得的,但有其他更重要因素需要考慮。基於這個原因,你應該注意到我們在中國石油工程中發現的 1 個警告信號。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

當然,您可能在其他地方找到一家出色的企業進行投資。因此,請查看我們預計將實現盈利增長的公司的免費列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,也可以發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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